Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers Odds, Pick & Prediction – 10/20/24

Texans vs Packers Betting Odds

Two of the hottest teams in the NFL will do battle on Sunday in the Texans vs Packers matchup in Week 7. Both of these teams find themselves above .500 for the year and will look to make a statement against a fellow team with Super Bowl aspirations. Green Bay is favored by three points going into this inter-conference matchup, while the over/under has been set at 47 points.

Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans faceoff against Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers. The Packers enter the game as a favorite (-145) as the home team. Green Bay is currently favored by -3.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 47.5.

Green Bay's primary disadvantage has been their pass defense, which has allowed a monstrous 252 yards per game through the air this year, sliding them into the #8 spot among the league's worst. Opposing running backs have given the Packers pass defense the most trouble, posting 50 yards per game against them (#2-worst in football). Green Bay's coverage problems have been exacerbated by their linebackers, who rank just #26 in the league in locking down opposing pass-catchers. Green Bay's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #6-worst unit in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Green Bay given that the Texans air attack has been so good this year, passing their way to 7.17 yards per target (#14-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Packers check in at #8 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 242 yards per game (#12 in football). Their run game has ranked #19 with 4.17 yards per attempt on the ground.

Houston's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #5 in the league with 364 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #4-best in football with 265 yards per game. In terms of their defense, the Texans have ranked #3 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 182 yards per game through the air against them (#29 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #23 with 4.47 yards per carry. Houston has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 4.61 yards per target (#1-best). Positionally, perhaps their worst defensive asset has been their linebackers, which rank just #27 in the league in terms of getting to the passer.

Texans On Fire Entering Week 7 Showdown

This season has gone close to perfectly for the Houston Texans entering Week 7 against the Green Bay Packers. Houston is 5-1 so far this season, with their lone loss coming against a Minnesota Vikings team that has yet to lose a game themselves in 2024. While the flashy passing of CJ Stroud and all of his receiving targets has grabbed most of the headlines, it has been the defense of the Texans that has stolen the show this year. Houston has allowed 21 or fewer points in four of their last five games and they will look to shut down Jordan Love and the Packers here as well.

Packers Look For Fifth Win In Six Games

The Green Bay Packers are also above .500 this season, boasting a record of 4-2 heading into this Texans vs Packers clash. Green Bay has won four of their last five games, including their Week 6 game at home against the Arizona Cardinals. The Packers will look to take advantage of some injuries to the Texans receiving corps, as the dynamic Nico Collins was placed on injured reserve before Week 6. That should allow the Packers to allocate more attention to stopping Stefon Diggs and the rest of the weapons that Houston has in its arsenal.

Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers Prediction

Final Score: Houston Texans 23.91 vs Green Bay Packers 27.25

Our best bet for Texans vs Packers is for the Green Bay Packers to cover the spread as a home favorite. While the Texans looked very good without Collins in their matchup with the Patriots, the Packers are a much different level of opponent. Look for that and the fact that Houston is playing on the road for the second straight week to make a huge difference in a game that could be a Super Bowl matchup in the not-too-distant future.

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