We lost last week’s NFL teaser to fall to 1-1 for the season when the Steelers stunk it up against the Raiders. Pittsburgh was simply outmatched in that one and never really in it. This week, we’ll take a look at the concept of ‘wheeling’ in a teaser, which isn’t for the feint of heart, and if you’re way off base on your key selection, you’re going to lose all of your selections, but if you’re right, you have a decent chance of going 3-1 or 4-1, etc., depending on how many teasers you end up playing.
The concept of wheeling isn’t a popular one, as there are obvious drawbacks, but the premise is you take your top play of the week and use it with all of your teasers. For an example, we’ll use three teasers this week and the key selection is going to be the Minnesota Vikings +7.5 against the Seattle. The Vikings are 0-2 on the season but could just as easily be 2-0 right now. A fumble in overtime at the Cincinnati 38 did them in in the first game and a missed field goal at the end of the game against Arizona did them in and now they finally get to play in front of the home fans.
With Seattle favored by 1.5 – a 6-point teaser will push the Vikings to 7.5, giving us the key number of 7, so there’s really no reason to play 6.5- or 7-point teasers.
NFL Week 3 Teaser
1. Tampa Bay +4.5 and Minnesota +7.5. Yes, the Rams look better with Stafford at quarterback, but the Bucs look just as strong as they did last season and are out to prove 2020 wasn’t a fluke or a COVID-fueled Super Bowl title. Getting the Bucs at +4.5 also gives us the key numbers of 3 and 4 should the Rams squeak out a victory.
2. Cleveland -1 and Minnesota +7.5. This one is essentially just taking the Browns to defeat the Bears at home and have to think Cleveland can at least win the game straight-up here, which is all we’re asking them to do in this spot.
3. Buffalo -1.5 and Minnesota +7.5. We’ll wrap it up with the Buffalo Bills and once again, we’re basically just asking the Bills to get the victory, although a one-point win will do us in. The Bills looked good a week and their defense is playing well, which should be the difference in this one.
Record 1-1 (-.30)
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NFL Week 2 Teaser
We won our teaser last week, but that was the lone highlight of the week in the NFL, as the two regular plays both went by the wayside due to late fumbles by the Vikings and Patriots, which isn’t the way you want to start the season.
This week’s teaser is going to be a 6.5-point teaser (-130) due to the odds and getting up to a key number with one of the two plays, using the odds at William Hill.
The Cardinals are favored by 3.5 over the Vikings and we will be on Minnesota in that one but it’s much better to have the Vikings +10 than +9.5, which is why we’ll go ahead and take the 6.5 points, while the second play will be Pittsburgh +1 against Las Vegas.
This Week’s NFL Teaser: 2 Team 6.5pts Vikings +10 & Pitt +1
The Vikings weren’t very impressive in their game with the Bengals on Sunday. They did have a slight edge in total yards and both teams were at 5.4 yards per play. A questionable fumble call in overtime didn’t help the Vikings, but it was still the defense who needed a stop and couldn’t come up with one, which was the deciding factor in the game. Minnesota didn’t help themselves with 12 penalties for 116 yards, while the Bengals were flagged three times for 15 yards.
The Cardinals were impressive in their victory over the Titans, rolling up 416 yards and allowing 248, but teams are seldom as good as they look in blowout victories, nor as bad as they look when they’re on the losing end.
The line in this one is a little bit inflated after last week and think the Vikings are worth a stab with 10 points.
The Raiders are coming off a huge overtime victory in their Las Vegas debut and now travel to Pittsburgh on a short week, so certainly not a great situation for the Raiders, as they’ll be playing a 1 p.m. EST game against the Steelers. Las Vegas gained 491 yards and allowed 406 in the win over Baltimore, but the Pittsburgh defense should pose a bigger challenge than Baltimore did.
The Steelers came up with the plays when they needed to against Buffalo, but were outgained by 119 yards. They should look a little better playing in front of the home fans against a team on a short week and do a better job stopping the run than the Ravens did.
NFL Week 1 Teaser
We’re going to do something different this year and have an NFL Teaser of the Week. Over the course of the year, we’ll look at different strategies pertaining to teasers. Since this is the first article of the season and we probably have some newcomers, we’ll start off with the basics behind teasers.
Teasers are bets of two are more teams and all of them must win in order for you to win your wager, but you do get to move the points spread 6 to 7 points whichever you want. In Sunday’s game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Las Vegas Raiders, the Ravens are favored by 4.5 points. If you take a 6-point teaser, you will have Baltimore +1.5. If you take Las Vegas on the same 6-point teaser, you will have the Raiders +10.5 points.
In the NFL, when you make a two-team, 6-point teaser you’re asked to lay -120. If you make a 6.5-point teaser, you’re laying -130 and you have to lay -140 when you play a 7-point teaser.
College football teasers are done in the same manner, expect 6-point teasers are even money, while you lay -110 for 6.5-point teasers and 7-point teasers require you to lay -120.
A number of years ago, the college football odds were the same ones used by the NFL, but as NFL lines got sharper, sportsbooks raised the odds.
Some sportsbooks say that ties lose on teasers, so be sure to check the rules of your sportsbook before making a play, as most of them will simply reduce the number of teams in your teaser. A three-team teaser with a push will revert to a two-team teaser, while a two-team teaser becomes a one-team teaser at odds between -260 (for a 6-point teaser) to -300 (for a 7-point teaser).
This week’s Teaser: Two-team, 6-point teaser on Washington +6 & L.A. Rams -1.5
I like Washington to get the win at home against the Chargers. They have a solid defense and Ryan Fitzpatrick will be asked not to lose games, which he can do adequately. Asking him to win games might be a little too much at this stage of his career, but he’s a smart quarterback and knows his defense can keep him in games.
The Rams are a popular play this week with bettors, which always makes you a little nervous, but Los Angeles should be able to handle the Bears. Matthew Stafford now has a solid defense behind him, something he seldom had while with the Lions. Andy Dalton will hold down the starting job in Chicago until the coaches believe Fields is ready and that could happen sooner than you think.