Padres vs Giants NRFI (-145)
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- Both teams are sending excellent pitchers to the mound for this game, as Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants and Blake Snell gets the start for the Padres.
- San Diego ranks sixth in the league in percentage of games where they have held opponents scoreless in the first inning.
One of the most popular types of bets in Major League Baseball betting has become the NRFI bet, or No Run First Inning bet. This type of wager is settled quickly and makes the first six outs of a baseball game feel incredibly exciting. All MLB season long, we will offer up our NRFI betting picks, and try to make you some money while predicting whether or not a run will be scored in the first inning of several games on the schedule.
MLB Best Bets
Best NRFI Picks For September 25, 2023
NRFI Best Bet #1: Padres vs Giants NRFI (-145)
Our top NRFI/YRFI bet in Major League Baseball for Monday is for there to be a scoreless first inning in the NL West matchup between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants. Both teams are going to struggle offensively early on, thanks in large part to the pitching matchup for this matchup. Blake Snell is the leader in the NL Cy Young race, and should pitch well for the Padres here, while San Francisco’s Logan Webb has had a great season of his own. Both should hold the opposition scoreless in the first inning.
What Are NRFI Bets?
NRFI bets stand for No Run First Inning bets. These wagers ask bettors to predict whether there will be a run scored in the opening inning of a baseball game. In this market, it does not matter which team scores or the method by which that run is scored. All that matters is whether or not the first inning sees at least one run cross the plate.
The thought process behind the first inning NRFI bet is that many innings do not feature runs in baseball, especially with pitchers being as talented as they are today. After all, just six outs without a run being scored means a win when betting on no run being scored in the first. But both teams getting shut out in the first is easier said than done.
How to Handicap First Inning Bets
There are several ways to break down the MLB NRFI betting market. There are several strategic ideas that go into betting into this market, which we will break down in greater detail here so you can reference them throughout the MLB season.
Look at the Pitching Matchup
The most important thing to consider when making NRFI picks is what the pitching matchup for each game looks like. After all, the better the pitchers on the mound, the lower the chance of each team breaking through to push a run across the plate. For example, if Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Angels is facing Gerrit Cole of the New York Yankees, there is a better chances of a scoreless opening inning than if the fifth starters for those teams were on the hill.
Top of the Order Impact
The other component to break down before every game is the way the top of both lineups look. Some teams have more power at the top of their order than others, which could mean scoring against even the best pitchers in the league. Making sure that best hitters on each team are healthy and in the lineup is also crucial, as injuries to teams like the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies can really impact their potential for early extra base hits.
Can I Place YRFI Bets Instead?
Yes, it is possible to place a YRFI bet instead of a bet on a scoreless first inning at many sportsbook. The YRFI bet stands for Yes Run in the First Inning, where bettors are wagering on some scoring taking place before the opening inning of the game is completed. This can often be just as good a bet as a bet on the NRFI side.
It is worth noting that these bets can be found in one of two ways. Bettors can either find the choice between an NRFI and YRFI option in the props section of each game. Alternatively, there is the ability to bet on the over/under in first innings, with the total set at 0.5 runs scored.
Can I Parlay NRFI Betting Picks?
It is possible to put together a NRFI parlay, by making multiple NRFI picks and combining them onto one ticket. A parlay bet on first innings allows bettors to wager a small amount of money with the potential for a sizable payout. However, it is worth noting that parlays do not give players the best odds, as sportsbooks hold a little extra vig on parlay bets relative to the true odds of each outcome coming through successfully.
Are NRFI Picks Good Bets?
There is some debate as to whether or not it is worth betting on whether or not there will be one or more runs scored in the opening inning of each game. While the odds can be appealing in many cases, there is always the potential for one mistake pitch to ruin even the best bet in this market. In many cases, there is more value on other markets that sportsbooks offer throughout the baseball season.
However, bettors who do their research and can find profitable angles are more than capable of winning in the NRFI market against the sportsbooks in the long run. Developing an in-depth understanding of each team, its pitchers, and how each batting order works together can give bettors an edge.
More than First Inning Bets
Here at ATS, we offer way more than just bets on the NRFI market. For single game wagers, parlays, and predictions in the MLB futures market, you can click on the links below. Each page has best bets that are updated on a regular basis throughout the season, to help bettors maximize their profitability this year.
