The Denver Broncos (9‑2) hit the road to face the Washington Commanders (3‑8) in Week 13’s Sunday Night Football matchup in the NFL. Denver arrives riding an eight‑game win streak and with a two-game lead in the AFC West standings. Washington is having a tough season that has been derailed by injuries and inconsistency. Can the Commanders pull off the upset on their home turf? Continue reading to get my Broncos vs Commanders prediction for Sunday night.
Our Broncos vs Commanders Pick
Pick: Under 42.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Denver Broncos @ Washington Commanders
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 30, 2025, 8:20 p.m. ET
- Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover, Maryland
- Broadcast: NBC / Peacock
Broncos vs Commanders Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Denver –6.5 | Denver –320 / Washington +260 | 42.5 points |
Key Storylines
- The Broncos aim to extend an eight‑game winning streak and stay in position for a top seed in the AFC playoffs. Their defense ranks among the league’s best in total, rushing, and scoring defense and will try to shut down the Commanders here.
- Washington hopes to stabilize things after a string of six straight losses. They have a depleted roster that has struggled to stay healthy and consistent.
- Washington has been hit hard by injuries, particularly at quarterback and on defense. Their statistical output this season tells a story of a team that still runs the ball well but struggles to stop opponents and has struggled to move the ball through the air with the face of their franchise injured.
- Denver’s balanced offense and improving running game could exploit Washington’s weak run defense. That will be especially important if the weather or field conditions lead to less passing and more of the ground game.
Quarterback Play
The Commanders are expected to again rely on backup quarterback Marcus Mariota, as Jayden Daniels remains sidelined with a dislocated left elbow. Top receiver Terry McLaurin is optimistic about playing after he was recently limited by a quad/hip flexor strain.
For the Broncos, Bo Nix has been solid with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions going into Week 13. The key to this game for Nix is going to be avoiding turnovers, as the Commanders’ offense should struggle as long as they aren’t afforded short fields to work with.
Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 5-5-1 against the spread this season.
- Washington is tied for the worst record in the NFL against the spread at 3-8.
- The Commanders are 5-5-1 this season in the over/under market.
- Denver has gone under the total in 8 of their first 11 games.
Broncos vs Commanders Model Projection
Score Projection: Denver 27 – Washington 14
Win Probability: Denver 78% – Washington 22%
Final Thoughts
I’m going to take the under in this Sunday Night Football matchup between the Broncos and Commanders. The Commanders’ offense has sputtered with Daniels out and that should continue against a capable Washington defense. The Broncos should win handily in what will be a low-scoring game from Landover.
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