New York Giants vs New England Patriots Prediction - 12/1/2025
Updated November 29, 2025
Updated November 29, 2025
The New York Giants (2‑10) head into Monday night’s game against the New England Patriots (10‑2) hoping to salvage some pride late in the regular season. The Patriots are favored by a touchdown entering this matchup at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough as they try to move a step closer to claiming the AFC East title. Can New England hold serve on their home turf? I'll try to answer that question with my Giants vs Patriots prediction.
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Spread | Moneyline | Total (O/U) |
|---|---|---|
Patriots –7 | Patriots –360 | Giants +280 | 46.5 points |
Jaxson Dart returns to the lineup for the Giants after clearing concussion protocol. Over nine starts this season, he has thrown for 1,417 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. On the ground, he has added 317 yards and a team‑high 7 rushing touchdowns.
Drake Maye is a bona fide MVP candidate for the Patriots at quarterback this season. Maye has 3,130 passing yards, 21 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. His numbers aren't as impressive as those of Rams quarterback Matt Stafford, but the Patriots are winning and Maye is a big reason for that.
Score Projection: Patriots 27 – Giants 14
Win Probability: Patriots 82%, Giants 18%
The return of Jaxson Dart will make the Giants a much more interesting football team to watch. But I don't think Dart's return will make the Giants meaningfully better, especially against a team as good as the Patriots. I recommend laying the points with the Patriots here, as they should flex their defensive muscle en route to a convincing victory at Foxborough.
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