This piece will have you covered leading into and throughout the season for everything NFC North related. We will cover props for all four teams to win the division as well as win totals, which are ever fluctuating.
Updated through six weeks of play.
Expectations at the bottom of the division entering the season have come to fruition thus far. The Bears and Lions were not highly regarded, and they are far from being competitive in the divisional race with a combined three wins between them. The top of the division however has a switch from initial expectations. The Packers have had a struggle and are just a .500 team. It is the Vikings sitting atop the division at an impressive 5-1.
NFC North Odds & Betting Preview
A look at the current odds at time of writing to win the NFC North division and regular season win totals:
- Minnesota Vikings -300 to win NFC North, 11 Win Total
- Green Bay Packers +250 to win NFC North, 9.5 Win Total
- Detroit Lions +2500 to win NFC North, 6.5 Win Total
- Chicago Bears +10000 to win NFC North, 5 Win Total
Risk Free Bets
The Vikings have exceeded preseason expectations to this point in 2022. A comfortable lead in the NFC North is more than what was expected of them, and that is where they sit at 5-1. A soft schedule deserves at least part of the credit for the result. The only team above .500 that they have run into are the Eagles. That game was a runaway win for Philly. That said, the Vikings can only play the teams that are listed on their schedule. They have won those games, but the only win by more than a score was back in Week 1. Their schedule certainly gets more difficult the rest of the way. Sportsbooks have acknowledged this and set their win total at 11. This seems low considering a 5-1 current record, and takes away the ability to attack an under, as would be preferred.
Green Bay Packers
The Packers have been one of the more disappointing teams in the entire NFL through six weeks. Their 3-3 record does not accurately depict the product that they have put on the field. This was a team widely expected to be a Super Bowl contender by many, and have appeared to be anything but that. Their schedule will not get easier so the offense will have to pick up their level of play significantly. The defense is not one that has been torched, but the offense is inconsistent and not nearly elite even when in rhythm. Considering the gap between them and the Vikings is just two games, their +250 mark to win the division is much more attractive than the -300 of Minnesota. Their win total of 9.5, which we would prefer to attack with an over, is set too high to do so.
The Lions are a somewhat expected 1-4 through six weeks, and have already had their bye week. The Jared Goff lead offense has been far more impressive and potent than we could have imagined. Three of their losses have come when scoring 24, 35 and 45 points, so we certainly cannot blame that side of the ball for the record. They have dealt with significant absences with their skill position players as well. Top back D’andre Swift and top wide out Amon-Ra St. Brown have already missed time. Additionally DJ Chark has been out of the lineup and first round pick Jameson Williams is yet to play a snap. The defense will continue to be a liability to be sure, but this team is going to be completely competitive in most weeks. The oddsmakers are keen to this, and have their win total all the way up at 6.5. The expectation is for them to hover around .500 the rest of the way and it takes away any opportunity at attacking a win total over.
In an ironic twist, it is the lowly Bears that offer the best betting value at this point in the season. Their 2-4 record is what we expected. The offensive struggles, particularly in the passing game are what we expected as well. That said, this team is quite sound defensively and they have shown a consistent ability to run the ball. They will notch surprise wins over the last two thirds of the season. The schedule looks difficult but they do still have two dates with the Lions and one with the Falcons. What is most surprising is their win total is set all the way down at 5. Keeping the same pace they are on now, they would land on 6 wins, 5 at worst. This is a wager I did not think was going to be a possibility, but the Bears going over 5 wins is the best current bet in the NFC North.