The Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs are both coming off of comeback wins in Week 9 of the NFL season. This week, they meet at Arrowhead Stadium, with the Chiefs designated as heavy favorites in this AFC clash. In our NFL predictions for Sunday, we look at Jaguars vs Chiefs in a game where the Chiefs look to get back on track offensively.
Jaguars vs Chiefs Betting Pick
This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 13, 2022.
Why Bet The Jaguars:
✅ The Chiefs are clearly the better team heading into this matchup. But they have really struggled to cover the spread at home this year. Kansas City is 0-4 against the spread as a home team during the 2022 NFL season and will continue to struggle as a huge favorite here.
✅ Jacksonville is 3-6 on the season, but they have been better than their record has shown. The Jaguars have a positive point differential on the season despite their subpar performance in the win column. They will continue to outperform their record here, even if they are unlikely to win this game.
✅ Kansas City is allowing nearly four points per game more than the Jaguars so far this season. Jacksonville is a better defensive team, despite their relative shortcomings offensively. Expect the Jaguars defense to keep them within arm’s length.
NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
JAX | Passing | KC |
---|---|---|
412 | CMP | 340 |
620 | ATT | 556 |
66.5 | CMP% | 61.2 |
242.7 | YDS/GM | 176.5 |
7.1 | Y/A | 6.0 |
6.2 | NY/A | 4.9 |
14 | INT | 8 |
41 | SK | 57 |
Defense/Offense
JAX | Passing | KC |
---|---|---|
404 | CMP | 421 |
617 | ATT | 635 |
65.5 | CMP% | 66.3 |
239.8 | YDS/GM | 246.4 |
7.1 | Y/A | 6.9 |
6.2 | NY/A | 6.3 |
16 | INT | 17 |
40 | SK | 28 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
JAX | Rushing | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
453 | ATT | 432 |
1646 | YDS | 1925 |
96.8 | Y/G | 113.2 |
3.6 | Y/A | 4.5 |
17 | TD | 10 |
1 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
JAX | Rushing | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
421 | ATT | 417 |
1752 | YDS | 1784 |
103.1 | Y/G | 104.9 |
4.2 | Y/A | 4.3 |
15 | TD | 9 |
0.9 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
JAX | Special Teams | KC |
---|---|---|
29 | Punts/Ret | 20 |
297 | Punt/Yds | 207 |
10.2 | Punt/Y/R | 10.4 |
29 | Kick Off/Ret | 11 |
688 | Kick Off/Yds | 311 |
23.7 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 28.3 |
Defense/Offense
JAX | Special Teams | KC |
---|---|---|
22 | Punts/Ret | 41 |
143 | Punt/Yds | 380 |
6.5 | Punt/Y/R | 9.3 |
14 | Kick Off/Ret | 12 |
356 | Kick Off/Yds | 241 |
25.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.1 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
JAX | Scoring | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
17 | RshTD | 10 |
22 | RecTD | 19 |
30 | FGM | 22 |
37 | FGA | 26 |
22.2 | Pts/G | 17.3 |
Defense/Offense
JAX | Scoring | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
15 | RshTD | 9 |
27 | RecTD | 28 |
21 | FGM | 33 |
26 | FGA | 35 |
21.8 | Pts/G | 21.8 |
Team Advanced Defense
JAX | Defense | KC |
---|---|---|
30.0% | Bltz% | 32.9% |
8.5% | Hrry% | 9.8% |
9.4% | QB Hit% | 10.8% |
22.6% | QB Prss% | 27.8% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Bartch | G | Knee | Out | 11/13/22 |
Calvin Ridley | WR | Suspended | Out | 11/13/22 |
De'Shaan Dixon | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
John Miller | G | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Jordan Smith | DE | Knee | Out | 11/13/22 |
Kendric Pryor | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
K'Lavon Chaisson | OLB | Knee | Out | 11/13/22 |
Shaquill Griffin | CB | Back | Out | 11/13/22 |
Tevaughn Campbell | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Tyree Gillespie | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Evan Engram | TE | Back | Questionable | 11/11/22 |
Rayshawn Jenkins | S | Concussion | Probable | 11/13/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Bell | TE | Hip | Out | 11/13/22 |
Darian Kinnard | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Frank Clark | DE | Suspension | Out | 11/13/22 |
Jerrion Ealy | WR | Suspended | Out | 11/13/22 |
Joshua Kaindoh | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Justyn Ross | WR | Foot | Out | 11/13/22 |
Mecole Hardman | WR | Abdomen | Out | 11/13/22 |
Nazeeh Johnson | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Ronald Jones | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Shane Buechele | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Tershawn Wharton | DT | Acl | Out | 11/13/22 |
L'Jarius Sneed | CB | Knee | Questionable | 11/11/22 |
Lucas Niang | OT | Kneecap | Questionable | 11/13/22 |
Deon Bush | DB | Knee | Probable | 11/10/22 |
Derrick Nnadi | DT | Achilles | Probable | 11/10/22 |
Jerick McKinnon | RB | Knee/shoulder | Probable | 11/13/22 |
Jody Fortson | TE | Quad | Probable | 11/10/22 |
Travis Kelce | TE | Neck | Probable | 11/11/22 |
Betting Trends
JAX | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
20.33 | Avg Score | 28 |
21.33 | Avg Opp Score | 21.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
28.67 | Avg Score | 23.33 |
24.33 | Avg Opp Score | 23.33 |
JAX | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
18.8 | Avg Score | 31 |
22.2 | Avg Opp Score | 24.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-5-0 |
23.6 | Avg Score | 24.2 |
30.2 | Avg Opp Score | 24.2 |
JAX | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
22.5 | Avg Score | 30.9 |
18.9 | Avg Opp Score | 25.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-9-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
2-8-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
17 | Avg Score | 31.1 |
28.8 | Avg Opp Score | 20.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jacksonville Jaguars scored a comeback win over the Las Vegas Raiders last week. They trailed 17-0, but clamped down on Davante Adams in the second half to pull their way back into the game. This week, the Jaguars will have to do the same thing on defense to Travis Kelce to avoid falling behind against the explosive Chiefs offense.
The Jaguars have found a spark offensively with Travis Etienne in the backfield, as Etienne is a part of a Jaguars running game that is top-10 in yards per game on the ground. The Chiefs have shown some vulnerability against the run recently, and the Jaguars will need to take advantage of that to stay in this contest.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs needed overtime to beat the Tennessee Titans in Week 9, coming back from a 17-9 deficit in the final minutes of the game. The Chiefs struggled against Malik Willis and Derrick Henry in the first half. But they allowed just one first down in the second half and overtime to see themselves to the finish line.
This week, the Chiefs need to get their running game going in some capacity. Kansas City is barely averaging 100 yards per game on the ground, and they struggled mightily to run the ball through anyone but Patrick Mahomes against the Titans. If that does not change on Sunday, the Chiefs could find themselves on upset alert once again.