The Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills are both in the upper echelon of their respective conferences. This week, they face one another in a huge inter-conference matchup that both teams are hoping will be a Super Bowl preview. In our NFL betting picks for Week 10, we take a closer look at Vikings vs Bills from Orchard Park.
Vikings vs Bills Betting Pick
This game will be played at Highmark Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 13, 2022.
Why Bet The Bills:
✅ Buffalo is undefeated at home so far this season, beating opponents by an average of 26.3 points per game at home. They will continue to dominate at home here against a Vikings team that is not as good as their record has shown.
✅ Despite their loss to the Jets last week, the Bills still have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Buffalo is allowing 14.8 points per game so far this year, making them the best scoring defense in the league through nine weeks.
✅ Minnesota has not been a good team against the spread this season despite their 7-1 record. They are 3-4-1 against the spread so far this year, and could be 3-5 if you bet on the Commanders early last week.
NFL
Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo Bills
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
MIN | Passing | BUF |
---|---|---|
424 | CMP | 363 |
631 | ATT | 552 |
67.2 | CMP% | 65.8 |
256.4 | YDS/GM | 196.6 |
7.4 | Y/A | 6.7 |
6.4 | NY/A | 5.5 |
19 | INT | 18 |
47 | SK | 54 |
Defense/Offense
MIN | Passing | BUF |
---|---|---|
426 | CMP | 385 |
606 | ATT | 579 |
70.3 | CMP% | 66.5 |
234.5 | YDS/GM | 244.4 |
7.1 | Y/A | 7.4 |
6.1 | NY/A | 6.9 |
11 | INT | 18 |
43 | SK | 24 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
MIN | Rushing | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
393 | ATT | 409 |
1553 | YDS | 1880 |
91.4 | Y/G | 110.6 |
4.0 | Y/A | 4.6 |
7 | TD | 14 |
0.4 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Defense/Offense
MIN | Rushing | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
446 | ATT | 512 |
1678 | YDS | 2212 |
98.7 | Y/G | 130.1 |
3.8 | Y/A | 4.3 |
14 | TD | 22 |
0.8 | TD/G | 1.3 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
MIN | Special Teams | BUF |
---|---|---|
37 | Punts/Ret | 19 |
289 | Punt/Yds | 237 |
7.8 | Punt/Y/R | 12.5 |
19 | Kick Off/Ret | 29 |
477 | Kick Off/Yds | 649 |
25.1 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 22.4 |
Defense/Offense
MIN | Special Teams | BUF |
---|---|---|
28 | Punts/Ret | 31 |
277 | Punt/Yds | 360 |
9.9 | Punt/Y/R | 11.6 |
17 | Kick Off/Ret | 17 |
405 | Kick Off/Yds | 349 |
23.8 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.5 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
MIN | Scoring | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
7 | RshTD | 14 |
30 | RecTD | 18 |
24 | FGM | 26 |
30 | FGA | 28 |
20.2 | Pts/G | 18.3 |
Defense/Offense
MIN | Scoring | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 22 |
23 | RecTD | 29 |
32 | FGM | 24 |
36 | FGA | 29 |
21.3 | Pts/G | 26.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
MIN | Defense | BUF |
---|---|---|
51.5% | Bltz% | 23.5% |
9.5% | Hrry% | 6.9% |
6.8% | QB Hit% | 10.7% |
21.9% | QB Prss% | 24.4% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Benton Whitley | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Bisi Johnson | WR | Knee (acl) | Out | 11/13/22 |
Cameron Dantzler Sr. | CB | Ankle | Out | 11/13/22 |
Chris Reed | OL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Dalvin Tomlinson | DL | Calf | Out | 11/13/22 |
Esezi Otomewo | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Irv Smith Jr. | TE | Ankle | Out | 11/13/22 |
Kenny Willekes | DE | Undisclosed | Out | 11/13/22 |
Lewis Cine | S | Ankle | Out | 11/13/22 |
Luiji Vilain | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Thomas Hennigan | WR | Undisclosed | Out | 11/13/22 |
Ty Chandler | RB | Ankle | Out | 11/13/22 |
Vederian Lowe | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Ben Ellefson | TE | Groin | Questionable | 11/13/22 |
Garrett Bradbury | C | Ankle | Questionable | 11/11/22 |
Jalen Nailor | WR | Illness | Questionable | 11/09/22 |
Adam Thielen | WR | Ankle | Probable | 11/11/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Baylon Spector | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Greg Rousseau | DE | Ankle | Out | 11/13/22 |
Ike Boettger | G | Achilles | Out | 11/13/22 |
Jamison Crowder | WR | Ankle | Out | 11/13/22 |
Jordan Poyer | S | Elbow | Out | 11/13/22 |
Justin Murray | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Kaiir Elam | CB | Ankle | Out | 11/13/22 |
Marquez Stevenson | WR | Foot | Out | 11/13/22 |
Micah Hyde | S | Neck | Out | 11/13/22 |
Tommy Doyle | OT | Knee (acl) | Out | 11/13/22 |
Tommy Sweeney | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/13/22 |
Tre'Davious White | CB | Knee | Out | 11/13/22 |
Mitch Morse | C | Elbow | Questionable | 11/11/22 |
Rodger Saffold | G | Back | Questionable | 11/10/22 |
Cam Lewis | CB | Forearm | Probable | 11/10/22 |
Dane Jackson | CB | Neck | Probable | 11/11/22 |
David Quessenberry | OL | Groin | Probable | 11/11/22 |
Josh Allen | QB | Elbow | Probable | 11/13/22 |
Matt Milano | LB | Oblique | Probable | 11/11/22 |
Spencer Brown | OT | Ankle | Probable | 11/11/22 |
Tremaine Edmunds | LB | Groin/heel | Probable | 11/13/22 |
Betting Trends
MIN | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
2-0-1 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
26 | Avg Score | 22.67 |
19.67 | Avg Opp Score | 19 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
24 | Avg Score | 35.33 |
19.33 | Avg Opp Score | 9 |
MIN | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
27 | Avg Score | 25.8 |
21.2 | Avg Opp Score | 16 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
1-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
17.8 | Avg Score | 36 |
23.8 | Avg Opp Score | 10.8 |
MIN | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
23.4 | Avg Score | 30.3 |
21.5 | Avg Opp Score | 17.7 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-3-1 |
21.7 | Avg Score | 29.1 |
24.5 | Avg Opp Score | 14.9 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Minnesota Vikings
The Minnesota Vikings picked up a sixth straight win last week, moving to 7-1 with a victory over the Washington Commanders. The Vikings trailed for much of the game, but made big offensive plays late, getting a game-winning field goal late in the fourth quarter. This week, the Vikings face their biggest test of the season on both sides of the ball against the Super Bowl favorites.
For Minnesota, the biggest key to this game is going to be defending the pass. Minnesota ranks 27th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game this season. Against Josh Allen and the Bills, that could come back to haunt them in a big way.
Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills suffered just their second loss of the season last week, falling to the New York Jets on the road. Josh Allen threw multiple interceptions in that game, which cost the Bills several chances to win the game. Allen was highly critical of his own performance in that game, and will be expected to be better in this matchup with the red-hot Vikings.
Along with Allen’s performance, run defense will be key for the Bills here. If they can prevent Dalvin Cook from getting going on the ground, that will mean obvious passing situations for a quarterback in Kirk Cousins that has historically struggled in important games.