NFL Week 6 has a late afternoon slate banger on the schedule with a playoff rematch between the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs set to be played at Arrowhead Stadium. A rematch and measuring stick game for the Buffalo Bills, who have the opportunity to prove they are the clubhouse leaders for a Super Bowl run by exacting revenge on the Chiefs. And for bettors, a chance to cash a Bills vs Chiefs parlay.
Last season’s playoff game at Arrowhead was a classic that ended in overtime with Patrick Mahomes getting the better of Josh Allen in a quarterback battle for the ages. Now, many in the football world expect Allen to finally surpass Mahomes this season. Starting with this Sunday, with oddsmakers listing the Bills as -2.5 favorites.
Will Allen and the Bills live up to expectations and get their revenge on the Chiefs? Or will Mahomes and Travis Kelce haunt the Bills at Arrowhead yet again? Will we see another shootout like the 42-36 final in the playoffs, or will the Bills defense solve the Chiefs with the addition of Von Miller to the pass rush?
These are the burning questions for Week 6’s biggest game. Some of the answers can be found in this Bills vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay.
Pick 1 | Buffalo Bills Moneyline (-145) |
Pick 2 | Buffalo Bills Over 2.5 sacks (+135) |
Pick 3 | Josh Allen Over 297.5 passing yards (-110) |
Parlay Odds | +600 (Bet $20 to win $120) |
Pick 1: Buffalo Bills Moneyline (-145)
The Buffalo Bills being road favorites here is not shocking if you have watched the two teams this season. Buffalo has been dominant and look the part as Super Bowl favorites, racking up blowout wins over the Rams and Titans along with an impressive comeback win over the Los Angeles Rams.
Josh Allen is still lighting up scoreboards and the offense looks like it has added a few improved wrinkles under new offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey. Von Miller’s addition to the Bills pass rush has also proved impactful as there is a lot to love about the Bills.
Meanwhile, Kansas City has an identical record to the Bills but things feel just a little off as the Chiefs look to have taken a step back rather than a step forward. The Chiefs ultimately came away from Monday Night Football last week with a win over the Las Vegas Raiders but looked like a team that deserved to lose.
That near loss at home against the Raiders is a big concern for the Chiefs as they will be in deep trouble if they don’t put forward an improved performance for the step up in competition against this loaded Buffalo squad. With the Bills returning tight end Dawson Knox to deepen their arsenal of talent, this looks to be a task too difficult for the Chiefs to overcome at this stage of their season.
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Pick 2: Buffalo Bills Over 2.5 Sacks (+135)
One of the troubling things last week for the Kansas City Chiefs was the amount of pressure the offensive line was giving up to the Raiders. Maxx Crosby had two sacks and Denzel Perryman claimed another as the Raiders were in Mahomes’ face early and often on Monday night.
The Bills average just over two sacks per game and are coming off a three sack performance in their blowout win over Pittsburgh in Week 5. Given the Chiefs issues in stopping the Raiders pass rush, it looks likely a pass rush with sharper teeth can do even more damage and register at least three sacks at minimum on Sunday.
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Pick 3: Josh Allen Over 297.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Josh Allen threw the ball all over Arrowhead in defeat in the playoffs last season, going off for 329 yards and four touchdowns. Gabe Davis caught 200 of those passing yards and all four of those touchdowns in two of the best individual performances in defeat in NFL history.
Both players will be looking to replicate those performances and come out as winners on Sunday. Allen’s numbers indicate he will easily replicate his yardage from last year’s playoffs as he has thrown for 297 yards or more in four of the first five games of the season.
With Kansas City missing a handful of bodies in their secondary and the significance of Sunday’s game and all the narratives it brings, there is a real good situation brewing for Allen to put forth a monster day. Averaging 412.75 yards per game so far this season, bank on Allen to cross the 300 passing yard mark yet again on the national stage.
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Bills vs Chiefs Preview
The average total in games featuring Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes (including playoffs) is the highest for any quarterbacking matchup in over 30 years. The last four games between Mahomes and Allen have had an average total of 55.3, with the Over going 3-1 including the last three of their meetings against each other. Sunday’s total is 54 at the time of writing.
Travis Kelce is the current NFL leader in touchdowns with seven TD grabs in five games. Kelce tortured the Raiders in Week 5, scoring four touchdowns on the night in the Chiefs comeback win over their AFC West rivals.
Two of the league’s best pass rushers will be going to work on Sunday afternoon. Chris Jones and Von Miller are currently #1 and #2 in the league in quarterback hurries per Pro Football Reference. Miller’s move to Buffalo has the Bills sitting as the league’s best defense, allowing the lowest points per game at 12.2 per game and sitting second in defensive DVOA behind the San Francisco 49ers.
NFL
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
BUF | Passing | KC |
---|---|---|
385 | CMP | 340 |
579 | ATT | 556 |
66.5 | CMP% | 61.2 |
244.4 | YDS/GM | 176.5 |
7.4 | Y/A | 6.0 |
6.9 | NY/A | 4.9 |
18 | INT | 8 |
24 | SK | 57 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Passing | KC |
---|---|---|
363 | CMP | 421 |
552 | ATT | 635 |
65.8 | CMP% | 66.3 |
196.6 | YDS/GM | 246.4 |
6.7 | Y/A | 6.9 |
5.5 | NY/A | 6.3 |
18 | INT | 17 |
54 | SK | 28 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
BUF | Rushing | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
512 | ATT | 432 |
2212 | YDS | 1925 |
130.1 | Y/G | 113.2 |
4.3 | Y/A | 4.5 |
22 | TD | 10 |
1.3 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Rushing | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
409 | ATT | 417 |
1880 | YDS | 1784 |
110.6 | Y/G | 104.9 |
4.6 | Y/A | 4.3 |
14 | TD | 9 |
0.8 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
BUF | Special Teams | KC |
---|---|---|
31 | Punts/Ret | 20 |
360 | Punt/Yds | 207 |
11.6 | Punt/Y/R | 10.4 |
17 | Kick Off/Ret | 11 |
349 | Kick Off/Yds | 311 |
20.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 28.3 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Special Teams | KC |
---|---|---|
19 | Punts/Ret | 41 |
237 | Punt/Yds | 380 |
12.5 | Punt/Y/R | 9.3 |
29 | Kick Off/Ret | 12 |
649 | Kick Off/Yds | 241 |
22.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.1 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
BUF | Scoring | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
22 | RshTD | 10 |
29 | RecTD | 19 |
24 | FGM | 22 |
29 | FGA | 26 |
26.5 | Pts/G | 17.3 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Scoring | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 9 |
18 | RecTD | 28 |
26 | FGM | 33 |
28 | FGA | 35 |
18.3 | Pts/G | 21.8 |
Team Advanced Defense
BUF | Defense | KC |
---|---|---|
23.5% | Bltz% | 32.9% |
6.9% | Hrry% | 9.8% |
10.7% | QB Hit% | 10.8% |
24.4% | QB Prss% | 27.8% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Andre Smith | LB | Suspended | Out | 10/16/22 |
Baylon Spector | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Brandin Bryant | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Ike Boettger | G | Achilles | Out | 10/16/22 |
Jake Kumerow | WR | Ankle | Out | 10/16/22 |
Jamison Crowder | WR | Ankle | Out | 10/16/22 |
Justin Murray | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Marquez Stevenson | WR | Foot | Out | 10/16/22 |
Micah Hyde | S | Neck | Out | 10/16/22 |
Tommy Doyle | OT | Knee (acl) | Out | 10/16/22 |
Xavier Rhodes | CB | Undisclosed | Out | 10/16/22 |
Zack Moss | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Christian Benford | CB | Hand | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Dawson Knox | TE | Foot/hamstring | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Jordan Poyer | S | Undisclosed | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Taiwan Jones | RB | Knee | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Tre'Davious White | CB | Acl | Questionable | 10/16/22 |
Tremaine Edmunds | LB | Hamstring | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Cam Lewis | CB | Forearm | Probable | 10/14/22 |
DaQuan Jones | DT | Hip | Probable | 10/14/22 |
Ed Oliver | DT | Ankle | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Isaiah McKenzie | WR | Concussion | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Jordan Phillips | DT | Hamstring | Probable | 10/16/22 |
Kaiir Elam | CB | Foot | Probable | 10/14/22 |
Mitch Morse | C | Elbow | Probable | 10/14/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Bell | TE | Hip | Out | 10/16/22 |
Bryan Cook | S | Concussion | Out | 10/16/22 |
Darian Kinnard | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Jerrion Ealy | WR | Suspended | Out | 10/16/22 |
Joshua Kaindoh | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Justyn Ross | WR | Foot | Out | 10/16/22 |
Lucas Niang | OT | Kneecap | Out | 10/16/22 |
Rashad Fenton | CB | Hamstring | Out | 10/16/22 |
Ronald Jones | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Shane Buechele | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Taylor Stallworth | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Tershawn Wharton | DT | Acl | Out | 10/16/22 |
Willie Gay | LB | Suspended | Out | 10/16/22 |
Chris Lammons | CB | Hip | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Frank Clark | DE | Illness | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Harrison Butker | K | Ankle | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Mike Danna | DE | Calf | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Trent McDuffie | CB | Hamstring | Questionable | 10/16/22 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | Quad/hamstring | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Mecole Hardman | WR | Heel | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Nick Bolton | LB | Quad | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Skyy Moore | WR | Ankle | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Travis Kelce | TE | Back/hip | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Trey Smith | OL | Pectoral | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Betting Trends
BUF | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
26.67 | Avg Score | 29.33 |
14.67 | Avg Opp Score | 26.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
24.33 | Avg Score | 27 |
17 | Avg Opp Score | 26.67 |
BUF | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
30.4 | Avg Score | 31.8 |
12.2 | Avg Opp Score | 25 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
28.4 | Avg Score | 33 |
22.8 | Avg Opp Score | 27.4 |
BUF | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
32.4 | Avg Score | 32.6 |
16.6 | Avg Opp Score | 26.7 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
28.2 | Avg Score | 30.3 |
21.3 | Avg Opp Score | 18.1 |