In a possible AFC Championship Game preview for this season, the Buffalo Bills will face the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Both of these teams have suffered just one loss this season, and the winner of this game could have the inside track to home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. In our NFL picks for Week 6, we look at Bills vs Chiefs, the game of the week in the NFL.
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Bills vs Chiefs Betting Pick
NFL
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
BUF | Passing | KC |
---|---|---|
385 | CMP | 340 |
579 | ATT | 556 |
66.5 | CMP% | 61.2 |
244.4 | YDS/GM | 176.5 |
7.4 | Y/A | 6.0 |
6.9 | NY/A | 4.9 |
18 | INT | 8 |
24 | SK | 57 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Passing | KC |
---|---|---|
363 | CMP | 421 |
552 | ATT | 635 |
65.8 | CMP% | 66.3 |
196.6 | YDS/GM | 246.4 |
6.7 | Y/A | 6.9 |
5.5 | NY/A | 6.3 |
18 | INT | 17 |
54 | SK | 28 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
BUF | Rushing | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
512 | ATT | 432 |
2212 | YDS | 1925 |
130.1 | Y/G | 113.2 |
4.3 | Y/A | 4.5 |
22 | TD | 10 |
1.3 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Rushing | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
409 | ATT | 417 |
1880 | YDS | 1784 |
110.6 | Y/G | 104.9 |
4.6 | Y/A | 4.3 |
14 | TD | 9 |
0.8 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
BUF | Special Teams | KC |
---|---|---|
31 | Punts/Ret | 20 |
360 | Punt/Yds | 207 |
11.6 | Punt/Y/R | 10.4 |
17 | Kick Off/Ret | 11 |
349 | Kick Off/Yds | 311 |
20.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 28.3 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Special Teams | KC |
---|---|---|
19 | Punts/Ret | 41 |
237 | Punt/Yds | 380 |
12.5 | Punt/Y/R | 9.3 |
29 | Kick Off/Ret | 12 |
649 | Kick Off/Yds | 241 |
22.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.1 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
BUF | Scoring | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
22 | RshTD | 10 |
29 | RecTD | 19 |
24 | FGM | 22 |
29 | FGA | 26 |
26.5 | Pts/G | 17.3 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Scoring | KC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 9 |
18 | RecTD | 28 |
26 | FGM | 33 |
28 | FGA | 35 |
18.3 | Pts/G | 21.8 |
Team Advanced Defense
BUF | Defense | KC |
---|---|---|
23.5% | Bltz% | 32.9% |
6.9% | Hrry% | 9.8% |
10.7% | QB Hit% | 10.8% |
24.4% | QB Prss% | 27.8% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Andre Smith | LB | Suspended | Out | 10/16/22 |
Baylon Spector | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Brandin Bryant | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Ike Boettger | G | Achilles | Out | 10/16/22 |
Jake Kumerow | WR | Ankle | Out | 10/16/22 |
Jamison Crowder | WR | Ankle | Out | 10/16/22 |
Justin Murray | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Marquez Stevenson | WR | Foot | Out | 10/16/22 |
Micah Hyde | S | Neck | Out | 10/16/22 |
Tommy Doyle | OT | Knee (acl) | Out | 10/16/22 |
Xavier Rhodes | CB | Undisclosed | Out | 10/16/22 |
Zack Moss | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Christian Benford | CB | Hand | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Dawson Knox | TE | Foot/hamstring | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Jordan Poyer | S | Undisclosed | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Taiwan Jones | RB | Knee | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Tre'Davious White | CB | Acl | Questionable | 10/16/22 |
Tremaine Edmunds | LB | Hamstring | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Cam Lewis | CB | Forearm | Probable | 10/14/22 |
DaQuan Jones | DT | Hip | Probable | 10/14/22 |
Ed Oliver | DT | Ankle | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Isaiah McKenzie | WR | Concussion | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Jordan Phillips | DT | Hamstring | Probable | 10/16/22 |
Kaiir Elam | CB | Foot | Probable | 10/14/22 |
Mitch Morse | C | Elbow | Probable | 10/14/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Bell | TE | Hip | Out | 10/16/22 |
Bryan Cook | S | Concussion | Out | 10/16/22 |
Darian Kinnard | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Jerrion Ealy | WR | Suspended | Out | 10/16/22 |
Joshua Kaindoh | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Justyn Ross | WR | Foot | Out | 10/16/22 |
Lucas Niang | OT | Kneecap | Out | 10/16/22 |
Rashad Fenton | CB | Hamstring | Out | 10/16/22 |
Ronald Jones | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Shane Buechele | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Taylor Stallworth | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/16/22 |
Tershawn Wharton | DT | Acl | Out | 10/16/22 |
Willie Gay | LB | Suspended | Out | 10/16/22 |
Chris Lammons | CB | Hip | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Frank Clark | DE | Illness | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Harrison Butker | K | Ankle | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Mike Danna | DE | Calf | Questionable | 10/14/22 |
Trent McDuffie | CB | Hamstring | Questionable | 10/16/22 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | Quad/hamstring | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Mecole Hardman | WR | Heel | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Nick Bolton | LB | Quad | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Skyy Moore | WR | Ankle | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Travis Kelce | TE | Back/hip | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Trey Smith | OL | Pectoral | Probable | 10/13/22 |
Betting Trends
BUF | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
26.67 | Avg Score | 29.33 |
14.67 | Avg Opp Score | 26.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
24.33 | Avg Score | 27 |
17 | Avg Opp Score | 26.67 |
BUF | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
30.4 | Avg Score | 31.8 |
12.2 | Avg Opp Score | 25 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
28.4 | Avg Score | 33 |
22.8 | Avg Opp Score | 27.4 |
BUF | Betting Trends | KC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
32.4 | Avg Score | 32.6 |
16.6 | Avg Opp Score | 26.7 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
28.2 | Avg Score | 30.3 |
21.3 | Avg Opp Score | 18.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 16, 2022.
Why Bet The Bills:
✅ The Buffalo Bills have a top-two defense in the NFL coming into this game against the Chiefs. They are second in the league in yards per play and yards per game allowed, and first in scoring defense. While it is never easy to slow down Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, the Bills have one of the few defenses that is capable of doing so.
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✅ Helping the Bills defense in this game will be Jordan Poyer, who is likely to return for this matchup in Kansas City. Poyer was said to have been fine to return last week against the Steelers, but was held out against a vastly inferior opponent. With Poyer good to go for this matchup, the secondary of the Bills will get a huge boost against a formidable opponent.
✅ The Bills have allowed a total of seven points in second halves this season so far. They are likely to give up more than that in the second half in this game, but Buffalo has been the best second half team in the league by far this season. That will come in handy against a Chiefs team that needed a second half comeback to beat the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday.
Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills scored a convincing win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 5 of the NFL season, beating them 38-3. Buffalo made quick work of Kenny Pickett and the Steelers offense in that game, keeping them out of the end zone for the duration of the contest. In Week 6, the Bills will face a much more formidable offense, and will need to be even better defensively to beat the Chiefs.
Fortunately for the Bills, they have one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL in the event that their defense struggles to slow down the Chiefs. Buffalo ranks second only to the Chiefs in points per game this season, averaging 30.4 points per game. Josh Allen is playing at an MVP level, and will need to continue to do so to get the better of Patrick Mahomes in this contest.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs fell behind the Las Vegas Raiders 17-0 on Monday Night Football last week. But they stormed back to win the game 30-29, thanks to a four-touchdown night for Travis Kelce. Against the Buffalo Bills, though, the Chiefs will not be able to afford another slow start on their home field.
Defending the deep ball will need to be a priority for the Chiefs in this game, after they struggled to do so against the Raiders in Week 5. Gabe Davis has been a legitimate deep threat for the Bills, and could have just as big a day as Davante Adams did for the Raiders against the Kansas City secondary.