Washington Commanders VS New England Patriots Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023

Jay Sanin on November 2nd, 2023

Commanders +3 (-110) +124

Patriots -3 (-110) -148

Patriots -3 (-110) over Commanders

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Commanders +3 (-110) +124

Patriots -3 (-110) -148

The Patriots offense has been horrible this season, but they should be helped by the Commanders trading away their top-two pass rushers before this contest.
Washington has the second-worst scoring defense in the NFL this season, which should help the Patriots put up some points.

Going into Commanders vs Patriots on Sunday, look for the New England Patriots to come away with a win at home to move to 3-6 on the season. While the Patriots have been dreadful offensively this year, they should be able to put up points against a Washington team that ranks 31st in the NFL in scoring defense. With Washington trading away Montez Sweat and Chase Young this past week, their defense should be even worse this week, helping Mac Jones and company to cover the spread at home.

NFL

Nov 05, 2023 01:00 PM

Washington Commanders

New England Patriots

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-102

-2.5/-118

47% WAS

NE 53%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+126

-153

38% WAS

NE 62%

Total Pick Consensus

40.5/-108

40.5/-112

56% UN

OV 44%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

WAS	Team Stats	NE
17	G	17
485	PTs	417
28.5	PPG	24.5
6284	YDS	5829
369.6	YDS/G	342.9
54	TD	43
3.2	TD/G	2.5
50.0	SC%	42.8
8.0	TO%	5.8

Defense/Offense

WAS	Team Stats	NE
17	G	17
391	PTs	289
23	PPG	17
5558	YDS	4964
326.9	YDS/G	292
43	TD	29
2.5	TD/G	1.7
41.5	SC%	30.9
8.8	TO%	12.9

Passing

Offense/Defense

WAS	Passing	NE
365	CMP	346
525	ATT	533
69.5	CMP%	64.9
215.6	YDS/GM	211.5
7.5	Y/A	7.0
6.4	NY/A	6.4
9	INT	7
50	SK	28

Defense/Offense

WAS	Passing	NE
307	CMP	342
496	ATT	529
61.9	CMP%	64.7
189.5	YDS/GM	176.2
7.0	Y/A	6.3
6.0	NY/A	5.2
7	INT	11
43	SK	52

Rushing

Offense/Defense

WAS	Rushing	NE
17	G	17
526	ATT	507
2619	YDS	2233
154.1	Y/G	131.4
5.0	Y/A	4.4
25	TD	16
1.5	TD/G	0.9

Defense/Offense

WAS	Rushing	NE
17	G	17
490	ATT	446
2337	YDS	1969
137.5	Y/G	115.8
4.8	Y/A	4.4
18	TD	11
1.1	TD/G	0.6

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

WAS	Special Teams	NE
25	Punts/Ret	32
260	Punt/Yds	406
10.4	Punt/Y/R	12.7
37	Kick Off/Ret	21
1082	Kick Off/Yds	529
29.2	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.2

Defense/Offense

WAS	Special Teams	NE
24	Punts/Ret	30
148	Punt/Yds	427
6.2	Punt/Y/R	14.2
73	Kick Off/Ret	26
1932	Kick Off/Yds	662
26.5	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.5

Scoring

Offense/Defense

WAS	Scoring	NE
17	G	17
25	RshTD	16
29	RecTD	27
34	FGM	30
42	FGA	35
28.5	Pts/G	24.5

Defense/Offense

WAS	Scoring	NE
17	G	17
18	RshTD	11
25	RecTD	18
28	FGM	26
35	FGA	33
23.0	Pts/G	17.0

Team Advanced Defense

WAS	Defense	NE
31.5%	Bltz%	25.4%
7.9%	Hrry%	7.3%
8.3%	QB Hit%	6.2%
22.6%	QB Prss%	17.6%

Open

Current

Book

WAS

Consensus

+2.5 -103

-2.5 -110

+3.0 -103

-3.0 -120

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+2.5 100

-2.5 -110

+3.0 +100

-3.0 -120

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

WAS

Consensus

+112

-134

+148

-182

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+120

-145

+150

-180

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

39.0 -110

40.5 -110

40.5 -111

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39.0 -110

41.0 -108

41.0 -112

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39.0 -110

40.5 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

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39.0 -110

40.5 -110

—-

39.0 -110

40.5 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

40.5 -105

40.5 -115

40.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alex Akingbulu	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Armani Rogers	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Braeden Daniels	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Cody Barton	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Curtis Brooks	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Curtis Hodges	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Curtis Samuel	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Darrick Forrest	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
David Bada	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Dax Milne	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Drew White	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jeremy Reaves	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Logan Thomas	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Mitchell Tinsley	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nolan Laufenberg	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Percy Butler	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Ricky Stromberg	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Saahdiq Charles	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Shaka Toney	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tariq Castro-Fields	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Troy Apke	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alex Austin	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Calvin Anderson	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Christian Barmore	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Christian Gonzalez	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Daniel Ekuale	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Davon Godchaux	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Deatrich Wise Jr.	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
DeVante Parker	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Isaiah Bolden	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Ja'Whaun Bentley	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jonathan Jones	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Josh Uche	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kayshon Boutte	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kendrick Bourne	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Marcus Jones	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Matthew Judon	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Myles Bryant	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Pharaoh Brown	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Raekwon McMillan	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Riley Reiff	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Sam Roberts	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tre Nixon	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Trent Brown	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tyquan Thornton	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tyrone Wheatley Jr.	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Vederian Lowe	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Will Grier	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Betting Trends

WAS	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-1-1	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
20.67	Avg Score	21
22.67	Avg Opp Score	25.67
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
20.67	Avg Score	15.33
21.33	Avg Opp Score	27.67

WAS	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
2-2-1	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
22.6	Avg Score	13.2
28.4	Avg Opp Score	29.8
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
23.4	Avg Score	17.8
26.8	Avg Opp Score	25.8

WAS	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-7-0
4-5-1	ATS W/L/P	2-8-0
20.7	Avg Score	16.4
25.8	Avg Opp Score	26.4
AWAY		HOME
6-3-1	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
22.1	Avg Score	16.7
20.8	Avg Opp Score	21.4

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
10/06/19	NE WAS	42.5 15	-906 +614	6 7	6 0	14 0	7 0	33 7
11/08/15	WAS NE	52 -14	+700 -1400	0 14	3 3	0 3	7 7	10 27
12/11/11	NE WAS	47 7.5	N/A N/A	14 10	6 10	14 7	0 0	34 27
10/28/07	WAS NE	47.5 -15.5	N/A N/A	0 7	0 17	0 14	7 14	7 52
09/28/03	NE WAS	43 -3.5	N/A N/A	3 3	0 3	7 14	7 0	17 20
10/13/96	WAS NE	41.5 -5	N/A N/A	3 6	7 10	14 0	3 6	27 22
12/15/90	WAS NE	37.5 14	N/A N/A	9 0	10 0	0 7	6 3	25 10

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/18/25	WAS DET	20 14	1.7 24.6	33:59 26:01	19-81 10-89	4-14-133 11-19-142
01/12/25	WAS TB	35 31	7.0 78.9	35:26 24:34	51-126 38-155	37-54-411 23-28-280
01/05/25	WAS DAL	15 13	-4.7 28.9	22:57 37:03	12-76 26-101	14-21-105 13-23-153
12/29/24	ATL WAS	27 34	52.6 -4.0	25:46 41:32	26-143 41-244	21-40-239 27-41-222
12/22/24	PHI WAS	34 37	47.8 4.1	36:18 23:42	40-214 24-115	15-28-129 24-40-259
12/15/24	WAS NO	2 2	-2.6 15.3	40:50 19:10	12-47 2-24	3-11-65 2-11-61
12/01/24	TEN WAS	12 27	29.2 -3.8	19:47 40:13	5-22 29-171	12-24-135 16-19-126
11/24/24	DAL WAS	26 20	33.6 -7.9	35:12 24:48	21-69 19-110	18-24-182 19-29-202
11/14/24	WAS PHI	2 2	0.4 15.0	26:56 33:04	3-29 12-70	2-3-52 2-3-63
11/10/24	PIT WAS	29 28	47.9 -1.6	36:11 23:49	45-147 23-63	15-31-181 18-36-191

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/05/25	BUF NE	11 15	24.5 1.4	28:46 31:14	22-87 20-52	12-22-87 15-20-156
12/28/24	LAC NE	45 9	46.9 7.7	40:34 19:26	42-166 23-109	29-45-318 15-27-96
12/22/24	NE BUF	21 24	14.2 48.8	30:57 29:03	30-128 28-175	22-37-257 16-29-154
12/15/24	NE ARI	2 10	0.7 16.0	25:52 34:08	3-40 11-56	2-3-67 3-11-80
12/01/24	IND NE	16 15	26.3 1.0	25:48 34:12	22-92 20-128	5-15-70 15-19-142
11/24/24	NE MIA	11 26	4.3 34.4	27:56 32:04	16-65 18-49	17-29-138 22-30-233
11/17/24	LAR NE	3 2	13.0 0.4	22:40 37:20	2-33 3-38	2-3-91 3-12-79
11/10/24	NE CHI	20 3	6.6 39.4	32:28 27:32	37-151 21-77	16-26-194 17-32-73
11/03/24	NE TEN	12 14	26.2 -2.4	29:09 38:44	14-76 27-115	20-28-128 14-23-161
10/27/24	NYJ NE	32 37	-10.3 60.4	29:34 30:26	41-165 46-165	25-41-330 27-44-200

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