Washington Commanders VS New England Patriots Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023

Jay Sanin on November 2nd, 2023

Commanders +3 (-110) +124

Patriots -3 (-110) -148

Patriots -3 (-110) over Commanders

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Commanders +3 (-110) +124

Patriots -3 (-110) -148

The Patriots offense has been horrible this season, but they should be helped by the Commanders trading away their top-two pass rushers before this contest.
Washington has the second-worst scoring defense in the NFL this season, which should help the Patriots put up some points.

Going into Commanders vs Patriots on Sunday, look for the New England Patriots to come away with a win at home to move to 3-6 on the season. While the Patriots have been dreadful offensively this year, they should be able to put up points against a Washington team that ranks 31st in the NFL in scoring defense. With Washington trading away Montez Sweat and Chase Young this past week, their defense should be even worse this week, helping Mac Jones and company to cover the spread at home.

NFL

Nov 05, 2023 01:00 PM

Washington Commanders

New England Patriots

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-102

-2.5/-118

47% WAS

NE 53%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+126

-153

38% WAS

NE 62%

Total Pick Consensus

40.5/-108

40.5/-112

56% UN

OV 44%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

WAS	Team Stats	NE
11	G	11
308	PTs	248
28	PPG	22.5
4034	YDS	3797
366.7	YDS/G	345.2
31	TD	26
2.8	TD/G	2.4
55.1	SC%	38.9
3.7	TO%	5.3

Defense/Offense

WAS	Team Stats	NE
11	G	11
243	PTs	182
22.1	PPG	16.5
3683	YDS	3093
334.8	YDS/G	281.2
30	TD	18
2.7	TD/G	1.6
40.2	SC%	31.4
9.3	TO%	11.9

Passing

Offense/Defense

WAS	Passing	NE
221	CMP	220
320	ATT	336
69.1	CMP%	65.5
218.7	YDS/GM	216.8
7.9	Y/A	7.5
7.0	NY/A	6.6
3	INT	4
24	SK	25

Defense/Offense

WAS	Passing	NE
196	CMP	221
298	ATT	349
65.8	CMP%	63.3
184.4	YDS/GM	165.9
7.4	Y/A	5.9
6.2	NY/A	4.8
4	INT	7
29	SK	35

Rushing

Offense/Defense

WAS	Rushing	NE
11	G	11
343	ATT	319
1628	YDS	1412
148.0	Y/G	128.4
4.7	Y/A	4.4
19	TD	10
1.7	TD/G	0.9

Defense/Offense

WAS	Rushing	NE
11	G	11
334	ATT	290
1655	YDS	1268
150.5	Y/G	115.3
5.0	Y/A	4.4
13	TD	7
1.2	TD/G	0.6

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

WAS	Special Teams	NE
13	Punts/Ret	25
142	Punt/Yds	357
10.9	Punt/Y/R	14.3
18	Kick Off/Ret	12
541	Kick Off/Yds	311
30.1	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.9

Defense/Offense

WAS	Special Teams	NE
15	Punts/Ret	20
112	Punt/Yds	311
7.5	Punt/Y/R	15.6
48	Kick Off/Ret	14
1205	Kick Off/Yds	346
25.1	Kick Off/Y/rt	24.7

Scoring

Offense/Defense

WAS	Scoring	NE
11	G	11
19	RshTD	10
12	RecTD	16
28	FGM	18
32	FGA	23
28.0	Pts/G	22.5

Defense/Offense

WAS	Scoring	NE
11	G	11
13	RshTD	7
17	RecTD	11
13	FGM	19
16	FGA	22
22.1	Pts/G	16.5

Team Advanced Defense

WAS	Defense	NE
30.8%	Bltz%	26.7%
8.5%	Hrry%	6.6%
8.7%	QB Hit%	7.4%
24.2%	QB Prss%	19.8%

Open

Current

Book

WAS

Consensus

+2.5 -103

-2.5 -110

+3.0 -103

-3.0 -120

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+2.5 100

-2.5 -110

+3.0 +100

-3.0 -120

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Open

Current

Book

WAS

Consensus

+112

-134

+148

-182

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$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

+120

-145

+150

-180

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

39.0 -110

40.5 -110

40.5 -111

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39.0 -110

41.0 -108

41.0 -112

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39.0 -110

40.5 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

39.0 -110

40.5 -110

—-

39.0 -110

40.5 -110

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40.5 -105

40.5 -115

40.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alex Akingbulu	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Armani Rogers	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Braeden Daniels	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Cody Barton	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Curtis Brooks	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Curtis Hodges	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Curtis Samuel	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Darrick Forrest	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
David Bada	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Dax Milne	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Drew White	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jeremy Reaves	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Logan Thomas	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Mitchell Tinsley	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nolan Laufenberg	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Percy Butler	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Ricky Stromberg	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Saahdiq Charles	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Shaka Toney	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tariq Castro-Fields	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Troy Apke	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alex Austin	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Calvin Anderson	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Christian Barmore	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Christian Gonzalez	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Daniel Ekuale	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Davon Godchaux	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Deatrich Wise Jr.	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
DeVante Parker	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Isaiah Bolden	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Ja'Whaun Bentley	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jonathan Jones	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Josh Uche	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kayshon Boutte	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kendrick Bourne	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Marcus Jones	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Matthew Judon	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Myles Bryant	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Pharaoh Brown	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Raekwon McMillan	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Riley Reiff	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Sam Roberts	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tre Nixon	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Trent Brown	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tyquan Thornton	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tyrone Wheatley Jr.	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Vederian Lowe	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Will Grier	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Betting Trends

WAS	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-1-1	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
20.67	Avg Score	21
22.67	Avg Opp Score	25.67
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
20.67	Avg Score	15.33
21.33	Avg Opp Score	27.67

WAS	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
2-2-1	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
22.6	Avg Score	13.2
28.4	Avg Opp Score	29.8
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
23.4	Avg Score	17.8
26.8	Avg Opp Score	25.8

WAS	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-7-0
4-5-1	ATS W/L/P	2-8-0
20.7	Avg Score	16.4
25.8	Avg Opp Score	26.4
AWAY		HOME
6-3-1	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
22.1	Avg Score	16.7
20.8	Avg Opp Score	21.4

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
10/06/19	NE WAS	42.5 15	-906 +614	6 7	6 0	14 0	7 0	33 7
11/08/15	WAS NE	52 -14	+700 -1400	0 14	3 3	0 3	7 7	10 27
12/11/11	NE WAS	47 7.5	N/A N/A	14 10	6 10	14 7	0 0	34 27
10/28/07	WAS NE	47.5 -15.5	N/A N/A	0 7	0 17	0 14	7 14	7 52
09/28/03	NE WAS	43 -3.5	N/A N/A	3 3	0 3	7 14	7 0	17 20
10/13/96	WAS NE	41.5 -5	N/A N/A	3 6	7 10	14 0	3 6	27 22
12/15/90	WAS NE	37.5 14	N/A N/A	9 0	10 0	0 7	6 3	25 10

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/14/24	WAS PHI	2 2	0.4 15.0	26:56 33:04	3-29 12-70	2-3-52 2-3-63
11/10/24	PIT WAS	29 28	47.9 -1.6	36:11 23:49	45-147 23-63	15-31-181 18-36-191
11/03/24	WAS NYG	19 15	-2.8 30.4	28:00 32:00	26-103 21-113	10-15-144 14-18-112
10/27/24	CHI WAS	22 27	68.5 -2.2	27:44 32:16	49-298 47-247	15-35-155 31-56-461
10/20/24	CAR WAS	3 25	31.7 -6.2	24:55 35:05	14-59 23-133	5-11-53 12-16-129
10/13/24	WAS BAL	32 42	13.8 71.0	23:52 36:08	25-73 52-247	34-49-356 28-37-433
10/06/24	CLE WAS	4 19	24.1 -1.7	28:42 31:18	13-58 19-119	5-16-60 5-16-122
09/29/24	WAS ARI	56 19	6.3 64.9	33:22 26:38	50-289 43-242	35-40-312 21-29-154
09/23/24	WAS CIN	19 16	1.7 22.2	33:06 26:54	16-53 5-61	10-11-121 14-19-152
09/15/24	NYG WAS	23 27	54.7 -1.9	22:28 37:32	28-164 44-273	20-36-222 29-37-267

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	LAR NE	3 2	13.0 0.4	22:40 37:20	2-33 3-38	2-3-91 3-12-79
11/10/24	NE CHI	20 3	6.6 39.4	32:28 27:32	37-151 21-77	16-26-194 17-32-73
11/03/24	NE TEN	12 14	26.2 -2.4	29:09 38:44	14-76 27-115	20-28-128 14-23-161
10/27/24	NYJ NE	32 37	-10.3 60.4	29:34 30:26	41-165 46-165	25-41-330 27-44-200
10/20/24	NE JAX	6 20	2.7 26.4	26:45 33:15	6-24 24-106	16-23-160 6-12-120
10/13/24	HOU NE	58 30	55.5 12.8	30:47 29:13	39-270 37-115	28-45-247 28-46-294
10/06/24	MIA NE	5 3	20.5 0.6	34:20 25:40	23-107 11-84	6-17-99 6-19-82
09/29/24	NE SF	17 40	56.2 -14.1	28:25 31:35	32-98 43-198	25-43-191 20-36-379
09/19/24	NE NYJ	1 12	19.0 -3.2	19:56 40:04	4-38 16-65	4-13-30 13-17-130
09/15/24	SEA NE	29 25	-3.8 49.6	29:41 35:42	24-58 46-235	42-56-397 19-34-159

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