Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins Pick & Prediction – 9/30/2024

Titans vs Dolphins Betting Odds

Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

Monday Night Football will showcase a matchup between the Tennessee Titans (0-3) and Miami Dolphins (1-2). Oddsmakers think this is a even matchup, as both the Titans and the Dolphins have an implied win probablity of 50%. The current spread is a pick 'em with a Game Total of 36.5.

Miami's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #1 in the NFL at 400 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The Dolphins 276 yards per game through the air ranks #2-best in football this year. But with Tua Tagovailoa out on injured reserve, their offense could still struggle despite the fact that the Tennessee pass defense has been giving up 7.89 yards per target (#12-worst in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Dolphins check in at #14 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 223 yards per game against Miami this year (#19 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #26 against them with 4.22 yards per ground attempt. This Dolphins defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 7.05 yards per target (#10-best in the league). Miami's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 7.13 yards per target (#2-worst in the league).

Tennessee's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #27 in the league with a mere 287 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #3-worst in football with 197 yards per game. It's tough to succeed when you don't have much time to throw, as has been the case for Tennessee. Their offensive line has ranked just #25 in pass protection. In terms of their defense, the Titans have ranked #17 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 221 yards per game through the air against them (#23 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #28 with 4.05 yards per carry. Tennessee has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 36 yards per game (#3-best). Tennessee has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 70.5% completion rate (#1-highest).

Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

Final Score: Tennessee Titans 16.93 vs Miami Dolphins 23.3

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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