Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS New Orleans Saints Betting Pick & Preview – 10/01/2023

Jay Sanin on September 27th, 2023

Buccaneers +3 (-105) +136

Saints -3 (-115) -162

Buccaneers +3 (-105) over Saints

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Buccaneers +3 (-105) +136

Saints -3 (-115) -162

Tampa Bay’s lone loss this season came against the defending NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles, and they will get back on track here against a less talented Saints team.
The Saints are without Derek Carr for this contest, and Jameis Winston is not to be relied on in the betting markets this week.

Quarterback uncertainty will play a huge role in the Buccaneers vs Saints game in Week 4. Derek Carr is out for New Orleans with a shoulder injury, which will mean Jameis Winston will take over at quarterback. Because of that change, look for the Buccaneers to cover the spread as a three-point underdog in this contest, as they should get back on track after getting run over by the defending NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football.

NFL

Oct 01, 2023 01:00 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New Orleans Saints

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-110

-4.5/-110

75% TB

NO 25%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+180

-218

61% TB

NO 39%

Total Pick Consensus

41.0/-110

53% UN

OV 47%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

TB	Team Stats	NO
17	G	17
502	PTs	398
29.5	PPG	23.4
6793	YDS	6459
399.6	YDS/G	379.9
57	TD	39
3.4	TD/G	2.3
48.1	SC%	39.3
12.7	TO%	9.3

Defense/Offense

TB	Team Stats	NO
17	G	17
385	PTs	338
22.6	PPG	19.9
5810	YDS	5442
341.8	YDS/G	320.1
40	TD	36
2.4	TD/G	2.1
40.1	SC%	34.8
8.8	TO%	9.4

Passing

Offense/Defense

TB	Passing	NO
408	CMP	366
571	ATT	591
71.5	CMP%	61.9
250.4	YDS/GM	238.5
7.9	Y/A	7.3
7.0	NY/A	6.4
16	INT	14
40	SK	39

Defense/Offense

TB	Passing	NO
418	CMP	340
630	ATT	551
66.3	CMP%	61.7
243.9	YDS/GM	205.2
7.1	Y/A	6.8
6.1	NY/A	5.9
7	INT	12
46	SK	37

Rushing

Offense/Defense

TB	Rushing	NO
17	G	17
483	ATT	489
2536	YDS	2404
149.2	Y/G	141.4
5.3	Y/A	4.9
16	TD	20
0.9	TD/G	1.2

Defense/Offense

TB	Rushing	NO
17	G	17
389	ATT	444
1663	YDS	1954
97.8	Y/G	114.9
4.3	Y/A	4.4
13	TD	15
0.8	TD/G	0.9

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

TB	Special Teams	NO
21	Punts/Ret	28
159	Punt/Yds	213
7.6	Punt/Y/R	7.6
31	Kick Off/Ret	57
816	Kick Off/Yds	1483
26.3	Kick Off/Y/rt	26.0

Defense/Offense

TB	Special Teams	NO
21	Punts/Ret	24
272	Punt/Yds	301
13.0	Punt/Y/R	12.5
23	Kick Off/Ret	37
626	Kick Off/Yds	1000
27.2	Kick Off/Y/rt	27.0

Scoring

Offense/Defense

TB	Scoring	NO
17	G	17
16	RshTD	20
41	RecTD	19
30	FGM	33
32	FGA	42
29.5	Pts/G	23.4

Defense/Offense

TB	Scoring	NO
17	G	17
13	RshTD	15
27	RecTD	21
33	FGM	27
44	FGA	31
22.6	Pts/G	19.9

Team Advanced Defense

TB	Defense	NO
34.2%	Bltz%	20.6%
8.6%	Hrry%	9.3%
10.5%	QB Hit%	7.3%
24.3%	QB Prss%	21.5%

Open

Current

Book

Consensus

+5.5 -110

-5.5 -110

+4.5 -110

-4.5 -111

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+3.0 -110

-3.0 -110

+4.5 -110

-4.5 -110

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Open

Current

Book

Consensus

+190

-230

+169

-207

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+165

-200

+165

-200

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

40.5 -110

40.5 -115

40.5 -107

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40.5 -110

41.0 -110

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40.5 -110

40.5 -115

40.5 -105

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41.0 -110

—-

41.0 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

40.5 -110

41.0 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Brandon Walton	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Calijah Kancey	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Carlton Davis III	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Chase Edmonds	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Derrek Pitts	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Devin White	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Jamel Dean	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Markees Watts	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Payne Durham	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Russell Gage	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Ryan Jensen	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
SirVocea Dennis	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Vita Vea	NT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Andrew Dowell	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
A.T. Perry	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Cesar Ruiz	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Derek Carr	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Eno Benjamin	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Foster Moreau	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Jake Haener	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Jake Luton	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Jamaal Williams	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Jordan Howden	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Kyle Phillips	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Marcus Maye	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Paulson Adebo	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Payton Turner	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Ryan Connelly	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Trai Turner	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23

Betting Trends

TB	Betting Trends	NO
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-2-1
19.33	Avg Score	17.67
19.67	Avg Opp Score	16.67
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
18.67	Avg Score	14.67
21	Avg Opp Score	14.33

TB	Betting Trends	NO
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	1-3-1
17.8	Avg Score	16
24	Avg Opp Score	14
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
1-4-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
16	Avg Score	16.8
24.2	Avg Opp Score	18

TB	Betting Trends	NO
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
3-7-0	ATS W/L/P	4-5-1
18.5	Avg Score	16.1
24.5	Avg Opp Score	14.8
AWAY		HOME
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
3-7-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
16.8	Avg Score	20.8
19.9	Avg Opp Score	20

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
12/05/22	NO TB	40.5 -3.5	+157 -188	0 3	10 0	3 0	3 14	16 17
09/18/22	TB NO	43.5 2.5	-145 +122	0 3	0 0	3 0	17 7	20 10
12/19/21	NO TB	45.5 -11.5	+447 -602	3 0	3 0	0 0	3 0	9 0
10/31/21	TB NO	48.5 4	-199 +167	7 7	0 9	14 7	6 13	27 36
01/17/21	TB NO	53.5 -2.5	+119 -141	0 6	13 7	7 7	10 0	30 20
11/08/20	NO TB	50.5 -3	+146 -172	14 0	17 0	0 0	7 3	38 3
09/13/20	TB NO	48 -4.5	+155 -189	7 0	0 17	10 7	6 10	23 34
11/17/19	NO TB	51 5	-226 +183	13 0	7 7	7 10	7 0	34 17
10/06/19	TB NO	46 -3	+139 -168	7 3	3 14	7 7	7 7	24 31
12/09/18	NO TB	55 9	-410 +365	0 7	3 7	8 0	17 0	28 14

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/12/25	WAS TB	35 31	7.0 78.9	35:26 24:34	51-126 38-155	37-54-411 23-28-280
01/05/25	NO TB	13 18	29.9 -10.1	27:44 32:16	13-43 21-120	17-28-153 14-22-145
12/29/24	CAR TB	16 54	53.7 -11.3	18:49 41:11	15-44 45-228	17-32-187 31-36-395
12/22/24	TB DAL	24 26	-4.6 47.8	32:48 27:12	23-136 20-31	31-44-280 26-36-291
12/15/24	TB LAC	14 2	0.4 15.8	36:48 23:12	13-77 1-11	3-3-97 3-12-60
12/08/24	LV TB	7 20	33.8 -4.7	31:30 28:30	18-65 19-109	17-27-140 13-21-193
12/01/24	TB CAR	17 15	-4.2 29.5	39:31 27:39	25-151 13-50	14-22-134 17-29-185
11/24/24	TB NYG	23 4	-4.5 30.2	33:59 26:01	24-119 15-57	18-23-222 17-24-128
11/10/24	SF TB	24 21	52.6 7.2	31:48 28:12	23-79 28-116	26-38-356 19-31-110
11/04/24	TB KC	17 21	4.0 31.4	25:10 40:42	13-66 24-86	16-21-130 23-30-179

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/05/25	NO TB	13 18	29.9 -10.1	27:44 32:16	13-43 21-120	17-28-153 14-22-145
12/29/24	LV NO	28 11	42.4 1.9	37:50 22:10	43-176 15-92	23-40-262 23-41-213
12/23/24	NO GB	0 35	14.2 44.2	22:47 37:13	20-68 40-191	15-30-131 17-30-219
12/15/24	WAS NO	2 2	-2.6 15.3	40:50 19:10	12-47 2-24	3-11-65 2-11-61
12/08/24	NO NYG	10 6	29.5 2.8	31:49 28:11	24-66 17-81	14-22-144 15-35-153
12/01/24	LAR NO	13 6	31.1 1.0	27:23 32:37	19-100 20-92	6-15-106 15-24-118
11/17/24	CLE NO	1 11	13.5 0.1	29:22 30:38	2-20 3-66	3-14-116 2-3-80
11/10/24	ATL NO	18 21	49.4 3.9	35:07 24:53	34-190 28-101	24-40-302 17-26-283
11/03/24	NO CAR	15 16	-4.8 30.0	34:19 25:41	28-136 16-55	12-22-159 11-18-115
10/27/24	NO LAC	12 38	11.0 61.1	28:52 31:08	31-172 43-180	32-62-367 29-47-377

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Tags: New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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