The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Cleveland Browns both came into this season with sky-high expectations. But both teams are at .500 or below coming into this inter-conference matchup in Week 12 of the NFL season. Tampa Bay can get above .500 with a win here, while the Browns are simply looking to get back into the win column. In our NFL betting predictions for Week 12, we take a closer look at Buccaneers vs Browns from Cleveland.
Buccaneers vs Browns Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Browns +3 |
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This game will be played at FirstEnergy Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 27, 2022.
Why Bet The Browns:
✅ Cleveland has had a rough season so far, but they have been respectable at home thus far. They are 2-3 at home, including a win over the Cincinnati Bengals. Expect them to keep things close at home once again here.
✅ Tampa Bay has the sixth-worst scoring offense in the NFL this season, averaging 18.3 points per game on the season. Despite the gap in perception between these teams, the Browns are just as good as the Bucs and are at home for this matchup.
✅ Tampa Bay has been worse against the spread than Cleveland despite having a better straight up record. The Bucs are 3-6-1 against the spread on the year, while the Browns are ever so slightly better at 4-6 against the number.
NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland Browns
Team Stats
Passing
Rushing
Special Teams
Scoring
Team Advanced Defense
Injuries
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Stinnie | G | Knee (acl) (mcl) | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Cam Gill | OLB | Foot | Out | 11/27/22 |
| K.J. Britt | ILB | Ankle | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Kyle Rudolph | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Kyle Trask | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Leonard Fournette | RB | Hip | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Logan Ryan | S | Foot | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Luke Goedeke | G | Foot | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Nolan Turner | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Russell Gage | WR | Hamstring | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Ryan Jensen | C | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Shaquil Barrett | OLB | Achilles | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Giovani Bernard | RB | Ankle | Questionable | 11/26/22 |
| Vita Vea | DL | Foot | Questionable | 11/27/22 |
| J.J. Russell | ILB | Hamstring | Probable | 11/24/22 |
| Zyon McCollum | CB | Concussion | Probable | 11/24/22 |
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Walker Jr. | LB | Quad | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Chase Winovich | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Chris Odom | LB | Knee (acl) | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Dawson Deaton | G | Acl | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Demetric Felton Jr. | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Deshaun Watson | QB | Suspension | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Ethan Pocic | C | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Greg Newsome II | CB | Head | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Isaiah Weston | WR | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Jacob Phillips | LB | Pectoral | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Jakeem Grant Sr. | WR | Achilles | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Jesse James | TE | Biceps | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Joe Haeg | OT | Concussion | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Kellen Mond | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Michael Dunn | G | Back | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Michael Woods II | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Nick Harris | C | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Stephen Weatherly | DE | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
| Tommy Togiai | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
| D'Anthony Bell | S | Concussion | Questionable | 11/23/22 |
| David Bell | WR | Concussion | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
| David Njoku | TE | Ankle/knee | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
| Hjalte Froholdt | G | Illness | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
| Ronnie Harrison Jr. | S | Illness | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
| Wyatt Teller | G | Calf | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
| Jack Conklin | OT | Foot | Probable | 11/24/22 |
| Jedrick Wills Jr. | OT | Knee | Probable | 11/25/22 |
| Joel Bitonio | G | Illness | Probable | 11/25/22 |
| Perrion Winfrey | DT | Head | Probable | 11/25/22 |
Betting Trends
| TB | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
| 19.67 | Avg Score | 24 |
| 18.67 | Avg Opp Score | 27.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 13.67 | Avg Score | 25 |
| 17 | Avg Opp Score | 27 |
| TB | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 1-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
| 16 | Avg Score | 21.4 |
| 19.4 | Avg Opp Score | 28.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 17.6 | Avg Score | 26.8 |
| 15.6 | Avg Opp Score | 25.8 |
| TB | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-7-0 |
| 3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
| 18.3 | Avg Score | 24 |
| 18 | Avg Opp Score | 26.9 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 23.4 | Avg Score | 21.6 |
| 19.7 | Avg Opp Score | 20.8 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had their bye week in Week 11 of the NFL season. Before their bye week, the Bucs won two straight games to get to 5-5 on the year, which is somehow good for first place in the NFC South. After a mediocre start to the season, the Bucs will look for a big win this week to get above .500 and really solidify themselves as a team in good position to make the playoffs.
For the Bucs, stopping the run is the number one key to this contest against Cleveland. The Bucs are in the middle of the pack against the run this season, but they face arguably the best rushing attack in the sport in this contest. Keeping Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt at bay will be key here to avoid the Browns chewing up the clock on Tom Brady and company.
Cleveland Browns
The Cleveland Browns lost by eight points to the Buffalo Bills in Week 11, in what was supposed to be a road game but was moved to Detroit due to snow in Buffalo. Cleveland got over 300 passing yards from Jacoby Brissett, but their flimsy defense let them down as they let Buffalo score into the 30s. Here, the Browns return home, and they hope for a better defensive showing against an inconsistent Tampa team.
The blueprint for this game is simple for Cleveland, as they need to keep the ball on the ground from start to finish. If they can do that, they will be in a position to keep the ball away from the Buccaneers offense, and they can get back into the win column.
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