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November 22nd, 2022

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cleveland Browns Week 12 Pick 11/27/22

Jay Sanin Jay Sanin

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Cleveland Browns both came into this season with sky-high expectations. But both teams are at .500 or below coming into this inter-conference matchup in Week 12 of the NFL season. Tampa Bay can get above .500 with a win here, while the Browns are simply looking to get back into the win column. In our NFL betting predictions for Week 12, we take a closer look at Buccaneers vs Browns from Cleveland.

Buccaneers vs Browns Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Browns +3
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This game will be played at FirstEnergy Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 27, 2022.

Why Bet The Browns:

✅ Cleveland has had a rough season so far, but they have been respectable at home thus far. They are 2-3 at home, including a win over the Cincinnati Bengals. Expect them to keep things close at home once again here.

✅ Tampa Bay has the sixth-worst scoring offense in the NFL this season, averaging 18.3 points per game on the season. Despite the gap in perception between these teams, the Browns are just as good as the Bucs and are at home for this matchup.

✅ Tampa Bay has been worse against the spread than Cleveland despite having a better straight up record. The Bucs are 3-6-1 against the spread on the year, while the Browns are ever so slightly better at 4-6 against the number.

The Pick: Browns +3

Caesars Sportsbook
Bet Now

NFL

Nov 27, 2022 01:00 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

VS

Cleveland Browns

Matchup Odds Injuries Trends

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.0/-115
BetMGM
+3.0/-105

66% TB

CLE 34%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-174
Caesars
+145

75% TB

CLE 25%

Total Pick Consensus

42.0/-110
DraftKings
42.0/-110

61% UN

OV 39%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

TB Team Stats CLE
4G4
84PTs60
21PPG15
1206YDS787
301.5YDS/G196.8
8TD5
2TD/G1.2
35.7SC%17.6
7.1TO%5.9

Defense/Offense

TB Team Stats CLE
4G4
68PTs76
17PPG19
1274YDS1265
318.5YDS/G316.2
6TD7
1.5TD/G1.8
34.1SC%29.4
24.4TO%19.6

Passing

Offense/Defense

TB Passing CLE
87CMP57
126ATT106
69.0CMP%53.8
214.5YDS/GM125
7.0Y/A5.6
6.6NY/A4.2
2INT1
4SK12

Defense/Offense

TB Passing CLE
96CMP84
149ATT138
64.4CMP%60.9
223.8YDS/GM172.5
6.5Y/A5.8
5.6NY/A4.5
6INT5
12SK16

Rushing

Offense/Defense

TB Rushing CLE
4G4
117ATT89
348YDS287
87.0Y/G71.8
3.0Y/A3.2
1TD2
0.2TD/G0.5

Defense/Offense

TB Rushing CLE
4G4
92ATT131
379YDS575
94.8Y/G143.8
4.1Y/A4.4
2TD3
0.5TD/G0.8

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

TB Special Teams CLE
7Punts/Ret8
43Punt/Yds98
6.1Punt/Y/R12.3
1Kick Off/Ret6
23Kick Off/Yds110
23.0Kick Off/Y/rt18.3

Defense/Offense

TB Special Teams CLE
9Punts/Ret8
144Punt/Yds50
16.0Punt/Y/R6.3
5Kick Off/Ret1
101Kick Off/Yds26
20.2Kick Off/Y/rt26.0

Scoring

Offense/Defense

TB Scoring CLE
4G4
1RshTD2
7RecTD3
7FGM4
8FGA5
21.0Pts/G15.0

Defense/Offense

TB Scoring CLE
4G4
2RshTD3
4RecTD4
8FGM8
8FGA9
17.0Pts/G19.0

Team Advanced Defense

TB Defense CLE
38.8%Bltz%29.5%
6.1%Hrry%4.1%
10.1%QB Hit%18.9%
22.4%QB Prss%30.3%
  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TB
CLE
TB
CLE
Consensus
-3.0 -107
+3.0 -110
-3.5 -107
+3.5 -115
Draftkings

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-3.0 -105
+3.0 -110
-3.5 -105
+3.5 -115
FanDuel

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-3.5 -104
+3.5 -110
-3.5 -104
+3.5 -118
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-3.0 -107
+3.0 -106
-3.5 -107
+3.5 -114
Caesars

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-3.0 -120
+3.0 -110
-3.0 -120
+3.0 +100
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-3.5 -105
+3.5 -110
-3.5 -105
+3.5 -110
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-3.0 -105
+3.0 -110
-3.5 -105
+3.5 -115
Open
Current
Book
TB
CLE
TB
CLE
Consensus
-170
+145
-174
+145
Draftkings

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-170
+145
-180
+155
FanDuel

Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets & $100 off NFL Sunday Ticket

-176
+148
-174
+146
BetRivers

Second chance bet up to $500

-159
+133
-167
+147
Caesars

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-170
+143
-178
+150
PointsBet

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-160
+135
-170
+140
BetMGM

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-165
+140
-175
+145
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
45.0 -110
45.0 -110
42.0 -111
42.0 -110
Draftkings

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45.0 -110
45.0 -110
42.0 -110
42.0 -110
FanDuel

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44.5 -114
44.5 -106
42.5 -104
42.5 -118
BetRivers

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44.5 -110
44.5 -110
42.0 -112
42.0 -109
Caesars

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45.0 -110
45.0 -110
42.0 -110
42.0 -110
PointsBet

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44.5 -107
44.5 -107
42.0 -107
42.0 -107
BetMGM

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44.5 -105
44.5 -115
42.0 -110
42.0 -110

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Cleveland Browns
Name Position Injury Status Updated
Aaron StinnieGKnee (acl) (mcl)Out11/27/22
Cam GillOLBFootOut11/27/22
K.J. BrittILBAnkleOut11/27/22
Kyle RudolphTEGameday InactiveOut11/27/22
Kyle TraskQBGameday InactiveOut11/27/22
Leonard FournetteRBHipOut11/27/22
Logan RyanSFootOut11/27/22
Luke GoedekeGFootOut11/27/22
Nolan TurnerSGameday InactiveOut11/27/22
Russell GageWRHamstringOut11/27/22
Ryan JensenCKneeOut11/27/22
Shaquil BarrettOLBAchillesOut11/27/22
Giovani BernardRBAnkleQuestionable11/26/22
Vita VeaDLFootQuestionable11/27/22
J.J. RussellILBHamstringProbable11/24/22
Zyon McCollumCBConcussionProbable11/24/22
Name Position Injury Status Updated
Anthony Walker Jr.LBQuadOut11/27/22
Chase WinovichDEGameday InactiveOut11/27/22
Chris OdomLBKnee (acl)Out11/27/22
Dawson DeatonGAclOut11/27/22
Demetric Felton Jr.RBGameday InactiveOut11/27/22
Deshaun WatsonQBSuspensionOut11/27/22
Ethan PocicCKneeOut11/27/22
Greg Newsome IICBHeadOut11/27/22
Isaiah WestonWRKneeOut11/27/22
Jacob PhillipsLBPectoralOut11/27/22
Jakeem Grant Sr.WRAchillesOut11/27/22
Jesse JamesTEBicepsOut11/27/22
Joe HaegOTConcussionOut11/27/22
Kellen MondQBGameday InactiveOut11/27/22
Michael DunnGBackOut11/27/22
Michael Woods IIWRGameday InactiveOut11/27/22
Nick HarrisCKneeOut11/27/22
Stephen WeatherlyDEKneeOut11/27/22
Tommy TogiaiDTGameday InactiveOut11/27/22
D'Anthony BellSConcussionQuestionable11/23/22
David BellWRConcussionQuestionable11/25/22
David NjokuTEAnkle/kneeQuestionable11/25/22
Hjalte FroholdtGIllnessQuestionable11/25/22
Ronnie Harrison Jr.SIllnessQuestionable11/25/22
Wyatt TellerGCalfQuestionable11/25/22
Jack ConklinOTFootProbable11/24/22
Jedrick Wills Jr.OTKneeProbable11/25/22
Joel BitonioGIllnessProbable11/25/22
Perrion WinfreyDTHeadProbable11/25/22

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
TB Betting Trends CLE
OVERALLOVERALL
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie1-2-0
1-1-1ATS W/L/P1-1-1
19.67Avg Score24
18.67Avg Opp Score27.67
AWAYHOME
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie1-2-0
1-2-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
13.67Avg Score25
17Avg Opp Score27
TB Betting Trends CLE
OVERALLOVERALL
2-3-0Win/Loss/Tie1-4-0
1-3-1ATS W/L/P2-2-1
16Avg Score21.4
19.4Avg Opp Score28.8
AWAYHOME
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-3-0
2-3-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
17.6Avg Score26.8
15.6Avg Opp Score25.8
TB Betting Trends CLE
OVERALLOVERALL
5-5-0Win/Loss/Tie3-7-0
3-6-1ATS W/L/P4-5-1
18.3Avg Score24
18Avg Opp Score26.9
AWAYHOME
6-4-0Win/Loss/Tie5-5-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P3-7-0
23.4Avg Score21.6
19.7Avg Opp Score20.8

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
10/21/18
CLE
TB
52
-3.5
+170
-185
2
3
0
13
7
7
14
0
0
3
23
26
11/02/14
TB
CLE
44.5
-6.5
+250
-300
0
3
10
6
7
7
0
6
0
0
17
22
09/12/10
CLE
TB
37
-2.5
N/A
N/A
7
3
7
7
0
0
0
7
0
0
14
17
12/24/06
TB
CLE
36
-3
N/A
N/A
3
0
3
0
6
0
10
7
0
0
22
7
10/13/02
CLE
TB
36.5
-7
N/A
N/A
0
7
0
3
0
0
3
7
0
0
3
17
09/10/95
TB
CLE
37
-8
N/A
N/A
0
0
0
19
0
0
6
3
0
0
6
22
11/05/89
CLE
TB
41.5
3
N/A
N/A
7
7
28
10
0
7
7
7
0
0
42
31

Teams Last 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Cleveland Browns
DATE TM SC LN TOP RA-YDS C-ATT-YDS
10/01/23
TB
NO
36
12
8.4
55.4
31:11
28:49
45-156
26-96
34-45-327
33-53-174
09/25/23
PHI
TB
16
5
29.0
2.4
38:55
21:05
26-133
11-27
15-24-179
7-16-88
09/17/23
CHI
TB
5
15
22.1
-1.4
24:04
35:56
5-37
19-65
5-16-92
14-19-173
09/10/23
TB
MIN
19
16
3.7
43.1
30:39
29:21
32-70
16-39
20-33-162
32-42-314
01/16/23
DAL
TB
22
7
31.8
1.5
34:34
25:26
24-89
6-36
17-23-207
24-46-233
01/08/23
TB
ATL
14
25
4.3
34.2
25:11
34:49
17-73
30-147
19-29-115
16-25-176
01/01/23
CAR
TB
31
39
52.3
-4.5
26:50
33:10
28-96
32-87
30-48-421
44-58-531
12/25/22
TB
ARI
5
4
-3.8
21.3
36:57
29:22
15-58
14-61
16-24-143
13-23-104
12/18/22
CIN
TB
42
28
58.1
4.5
29:25
30:35
26-65
31-113
33-48-225
37-54-372
12/11/22
TB
SF
1
15
0.7
17.0
27:20
32:40
4-30
16-92
15-24-112
3-10-86
DATE TM SC LN TOP RA-YDS C-ATT-YDS
10/01/23
BAL
CLE
38
6
52.0
2.8
29:50
30:10
45-179
34-127
21-26-226
26-49-100
09/24/23
TEN
CLE
1
18
1.5
25.1
21:31
38:29
7-17
20-51
6-16-45
18-22-174
09/18/23
CLE
PIT
12
14
21.0
0.7
35:28
24:32
19-108
11-30
12-22-114
4-16-109
09/10/23
CIN
CLE
3
23
44.5
-0.5
24:10
35:50
19-72
38-197
13-31-64
15-28-138
01/08/23
CLE
PIT
12
24
33.8
-2.1
29:04
30:56
19-113
31-125
16-24-146
11-24-160
01/01/23
CLE
WAS
31
13
53.6
-1.3
26:28
33:32
39-189
48-176
12-23-200
21-36-160
12/24/22
NO
CLE
4
3
0.9
16.3
29:14
30:46
20-77
17-63
2-4-47
4-16-64
12/17/22
BAL
CLE
4
16
48.3
-3.7
26:52
33:08
34-242
40-175
21-37-154
22-34-171
12/11/22
CLE
CIN
2
10
0.8
20.7
31:52
28:08
11-31
11-60
11-19-120
4-15-100
12/04/22
CLE
HOU
39
20
66.3
10.7
32:16
27:44
54-248
31-117
17-31-185
29-56-287
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had their bye week in Week 11 of the NFL season. Before their bye week, the Bucs won two straight games to get to 5-5 on the year, which is somehow good for first place in the NFC South. After a mediocre start to the season, the Bucs will look for a big win this week to get above .500 and really solidify themselves as a team in good position to make the playoffs.

For the Bucs, stopping the run is the number one key to this contest against Cleveland. The Bucs are in the middle of the pack against the run this season, but they face arguably the best rushing attack in the sport in this contest. Keeping Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt at bay will be key here to avoid the Browns chewing up the clock on Tom Brady and company.

Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns lost by eight points to the Buffalo Bills in Week 11, in what was supposed to be a road game but was moved to Detroit due to snow in Buffalo. Cleveland got over 300 passing yards from Jacoby Brissett, but their flimsy defense let them down as they let Buffalo score into the 30s. Here, the Browns return home, and they hope for a better defensive showing against an inconsistent Tampa team.

The blueprint for this game is simple for Cleveland, as they need to keep the ball on the ground from start to finish. If they can do that, they will be in a position to keep the ball away from the Buccaneers offense, and they can get back into the win column.

[optin-monster-inline slug=”zv14tnlnqbvigyfuxt8k”]

Tags: Cleveland Browns, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Previous article

Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars Week 12 Pick 11/27/22

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Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Week 12 Pick 11/27/22

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