Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Buffalo Bills Betting Pick & Preview – 10/26/2023

Jay Sanin on October 25th, 2023

Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) +330

Bills -8.5 (-110) -425

Buccaneers vs Bills Over 42 (-110)

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Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) +330

Bills -8.5 (-110) -425

The Buccaneers offense has struggled of late, but should be able to put points on the board against a banged up Bills defense.
Buffalo ranks third in the NFL in scoring so far this season, and they will help this game go over its total as well.

Thursday night’s Buccaneers vs Bills matchup should be an entertaining one, and one that goes over the total of 42 points. While the Bills have struggled to circle the wagons on defense this season, their offense ranks third in the NFL in scoring through Week 7 of the season. That combination should help us get over the total in this game, as the Bucs should do their share of scoring against the struggling Buffalo D.

NFL

Oct 26, 2023 08:15 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buffalo Bills

Spread Pick Consensus

+10.0/-112

-10.0/-108

51% TB

BUF 49%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+358

-482

14% TB

BUF 86%

Total Pick Consensus

42.5/-110

42.5/-110

33% UN

OV 67%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

TB	Team Stats	BUF
10	G	11
279	PTs	214
27.9	PPG	19.5
3615	YDS	3620
361.5	YDS/G	329.1
32	TD	22
3.2	TD/G	2
44.9	SC%	33.9
11.2	TO%	17.9

Defense/Offense

TB	Team Stats	BUF
10	G	11
266	PTs	320
26.6	PPG	29.1
3893	YDS	3798
389.3	YDS/G	345.3
29	TD	36
2.9	TD/G	3.3
45.3	SC%	49.1
9.4	TO%	6.3

Passing

Offense/Defense

TB	Passing	BUF
243	CMP	257
344	ATT	373
70.6	CMP%	68.9
236.2	YDS/GM	210
7.3	Y/A	6.7
6.4	NY/A	5.8
9	INT	13
24	SK	27

Defense/Offense

TB	Passing	BUF
258	CMP	219
376	ATT	342
68.6	CMP%	64.0
264.1	YDS/GM	226.1
7.5	Y/A	7.5
6.5	NY/A	7.0
5	INT	5
28	SK	13

Rushing

Offense/Defense

TB	Rushing	BUF
10	G	11
253	ATT	270
1253	YDS	1310
125.3	Y/G	119.1
5.0	Y/A	4.9
8	TD	6
0.8	TD/G	0.5

Defense/Offense

TB	Rushing	BUF
10	G	11
260	ATT	307
1252	YDS	1311
125.2	Y/G	119.2
4.8	Y/A	4.3
9	TD	18
0.9	TD/G	1.6

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

TB	Special Teams	BUF
11	Punts/Ret	15
99	Punt/Yds	129
9.0	Punt/Y/R	8.6
16	Kick Off/Ret	11
455	Kick Off/Yds	349
28.4	Kick Off/Y/rt	31.7

Defense/Offense

TB	Special Teams	BUF
13	Punts/Ret	20
195	Punt/Yds	243
15.0	Punt/Y/R	12.2
12	Kick Off/Ret	11
333	Kick Off/Yds	300
27.8	Kick Off/Y/rt	27.3

Scoring

Offense/Defense

TB	Scoring	BUF
10	G	11
8	RshTD	6
24	RecTD	16
16	FGM	15
17	FGA	17
27.9	Pts/G	19.5

Defense/Offense

TB	Scoring	BUF
10	G	11
9	RshTD	18
20	RecTD	18
19	FGM	19
27	FGA	22
26.6	Pts/G	29.1

Team Advanced Defense

TB	Defense	BUF
29.1%	Bltz%	18.1%
6.8%	Hrry%	7.5%
9.3%	QB Hit%	9.9%
21.4%	QB Prss%	22.9%

Open

Current

Book

BUF

Consensus

+8.5 -109

-8.5 -110

+10.0 -109

-10.0 -112

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+8.5 -110

-8.5 -110

+10.0 -110

-10.0 -110

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Open

Current

Book

BUF

Consensus

+340

-435

+358

-482

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+330

-425

+330

-425

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

42.5 -115

42.5 -105

42.5 -113

42.5 -108

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43.5 -110

43.0 -110

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$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

42.0 -110

43.0 -110

—-

42.0 -110

43.0 -110

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42.5 -110

43.0 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Baker Mayfield	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Chase Edmonds	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/25/23
Chris Godwin	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
David Wells	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Kaevon Merriweather	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Markees Watts	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Matt Feiler	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Patrick O'Connor	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Russell Gage	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Ryan Jensen	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Sean Tucker	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Vita Vea	NT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alec Anderson	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Baylon Spector	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Damar Hamlin	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Damien Harris	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
DaQuan Jones	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Dawson Knox	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Ed Oliver	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Germain Ifedi	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Jordan Phillips	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/25/23
Justin Shorter	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Kaiir Elam	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Matt Milano	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Nyheim Hines	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Quintin Morris	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Tommy Doyle	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Tre'Davious White	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Von Miller	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/25/23
Zach Davidson	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23

Betting Trends

TB	Betting Trends	BUF
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
15	Avg Score	19.67
15	Avg Opp Score	21
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
21	Avg Score	27.33
18.67	Avg Opp Score	18

TB	Betting Trends	BUF
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
16.6	Avg Score	28.8
17.4	Avg Opp Score	17.2
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
17.8	Avg Score	26
21.4	Avg Opp Score	18.2

TB	Betting Trends	BUF
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
18.3	Avg Score	27.7
20.5	Avg Opp Score	19.9
AWAY		HOME
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	8-2-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	3-6-1
16.6	Avg Score	28.2
18.4	Avg Opp Score	20.9

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
12/12/21	BUF TB	52.5 -3.5	+158 -188	0 7	3 17	7 0	17 3	0 6	27 33
10/22/17	TB BUF	46.5 -3	+155 -165	6 3	0 7	7 7	14 13	0 0	27 30
12/08/13	BUF TB	43 -3	N/A N/A	3 14	0 10	3 3	0 0	0 0	6 27
09/20/09	TB BUF	42 -4	N/A N/A	0 17	14 3	0 0	6 13	0 0	20 33
09/18/05	BUF TB	34.5 -2.5	N/A N/A	0 0	3 9	0 7	0 3	0 0	3 19
11/26/00	BUF TB	37 -4	N/A N/A	0 3	7 7	0 0	10 21	0 0	17 31
09/22/91	BUF TB	44.5 7	N/A N/A	7 0	0 0	3 7	7 3	0 0	17 10
12/04/88	BUF TB	38 8.5	N/A N/A	0 0	0 10	2 0	3 0	0 0	5 10
11/02/86	BUF TB	41.5 -1	N/A N/A	0 10	0 10	14 0	14 14	0 0	28 34

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/10/24	SF TB	24 21	52.6 7.2	31:48 28:12	23-79 28-116	26-38-356 19-31-110
11/04/24	TB KC	17 21	4.0 31.4	25:10 40:42	13-66 24-86	16-21-130 23-30-179
10/27/24	ATL TB	46 38	70.0 3.3	27:26 32:34	43-190 32-150	34-43-390 55-74-486
10/21/24	BAL TB	26 19	31.7 1.7	24:55 35:05	19-152 19-78	11-14-164 19-28-221
10/13/24	TB NO	72 38	-4.9 59.8	34:02 25:58	49-389 30-114	34-51-446 31-56-312
10/03/24	TB ATL	17 20	0.8 24.1	27:38 33:37	14-89 6-41	11-13-96 23-33-265
09/29/24	PHI TB	21 44	56.2 1.8	23:43 36:17	27-151 33-149	24-40-153 40-63-447
09/22/24	DEN TB	13 2	19.8 -2.9	32:08 27:52	14-66 4-44	12-18-105 12-16-64
09/15/24	TB DET	25 20	12.1 66.1	26:07 33:53	29-89 34-177	15-24-186 44-71-412
09/08/24	WAS TB	4 16	0.7 17.8	26:19 33:41	13-58 13-47	3-10-68 10-13-118

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	KC BUF	2 3	0.3 14.4	25:57 34:03	2-24 3-32	2-10-56 3-12-80
11/10/24	BUF IND	32 21	49.4 5.0	32:08 27:52	33-142 23-127	23-39-295 27-37-252
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159
10/27/24	BUF SEA	46 15	66.3 6.5	38:03 21:57	50-242 25-47	35-50-414 31-43-296
10/20/24	TEN BUF	4 21	3.7 25.5	32:46 27:14	15-55 12-46	16-25-124 13-21-196
10/14/24	BUF NYJ	32 28	58.3 2.0	29:34 30:26	46-209 30-170	27-35-295 32-49-382
10/06/24	BUF HOU	11 13	26.4 -0.8	26:50 33:10	16-83 16-52	3-17-70 16-21-184
09/29/24	BUF BAL	13 47	4.5 63.6	28:57 31:03	31-108 46-363	23-42-208 19-25-209
09/23/24	JAX BUF	2 23	1.0 22.7	28:20 31:40	4-45 14-60	13-22-72 12-15-130
09/12/24	BUF MIA	39 13	62.3 -3.2	23:41 36:19	33-137 43-177	17-24-177 32-50-269

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Tags: Buffalo Bills, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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