Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Buffalo Bills Betting Pick & Preview – 10/26/2023

Jay Sanin on October 25th, 2023

Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) +330

Bills -8.5 (-110) -425

Buccaneers vs Bills Over 42 (-110)

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Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) +330

Bills -8.5 (-110) -425

The Buccaneers offense has struggled of late, but should be able to put points on the board against a banged up Bills defense.
Buffalo ranks third in the NFL in scoring so far this season, and they will help this game go over its total as well.

Thursday night’s Buccaneers vs Bills matchup should be an entertaining one, and one that goes over the total of 42 points. While the Bills have struggled to circle the wagons on defense this season, their offense ranks third in the NFL in scoring through Week 7 of the season. That combination should help us get over the total in this game, as the Bucs should do their share of scoring against the struggling Buffalo D.

NFL

Oct 26, 2023 08:15 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buffalo Bills

Spread Pick Consensus

+10.0/-112

-10.0/-108

51% TB

BUF 49%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+358

-482

14% TB

BUF 86%

Total Pick Consensus

42.5/-110

42.5/-110

33% UN

OV 67%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

TB	Team Stats	BUF
17	G	17
502	PTs	368
29.5	PPG	21.6
6793	YDS	5806
399.6	YDS/G	341.5
57	TD	41
3.4	TD/G	2.4
48.1	SC%	36.3
12.7	TO%	17.5

Defense/Offense

TB	Team Stats	BUF
17	G	17
385	PTs	525
22.6	PPG	30.9
5810	YDS	6105
341.8	YDS/G	359.1
40	TD	62
2.4	TD/G	3.6
40.1	SC%	49.7
8.8	TO%	4.6

Passing

Offense/Defense

TB	Passing	BUF
408	CMP	396
571	ATT	578
71.5	CMP%	68.5
250.4	YDS/GM	226.1
7.9	Y/A	7.1
7.0	NY/A	6.2
16	INT	16
40	SK	39

Defense/Offense

TB	Passing	BUF
418	CMP	329
630	ATT	520
66.3	CMP%	63.3
243.9	YDS/GM	227.9
7.1	Y/A	7.6
6.1	NY/A	7.3
7	INT	6
46	SK	14

Rushing

Offense/Defense

TB	Rushing	BUF
17	G	17
483	ATT	435
2536	YDS	1963
149.2	Y/G	115.5
5.3	Y/A	4.5
16	TD	13
0.9	TD/G	0.8

Defense/Offense

TB	Rushing	BUF
17	G	17
389	ATT	491
1663	YDS	2230
97.8	Y/G	131.2
4.3	Y/A	4.5
13	TD	32
0.8	TD/G	1.9

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

TB	Special Teams	BUF
21	Punts/Ret	23
159	Punt/Yds	213
7.6	Punt/Y/R	9.3
31	Kick Off/Ret	25
816	Kick Off/Yds	770
26.3	Kick Off/Y/rt	30.8

Defense/Offense

TB	Special Teams	BUF
21	Punts/Ret	27
272	Punt/Yds	313
13.0	Punt/Y/R	11.6
23	Kick Off/Ret	24
626	Kick Off/Yds	621
27.2	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.9

Scoring

Offense/Defense

TB	Scoring	BUF
17	G	17
16	RshTD	13
41	RecTD	28
30	FGM	20
32	FGA	25
29.5	Pts/G	21.6

Defense/Offense

TB	Scoring	BUF
17	G	17
13	RshTD	32
27	RecTD	30
33	FGM	24
44	FGA	29
22.6	Pts/G	30.9

Team Advanced Defense

TB	Defense	BUF
34.2%	Bltz%	19.1%
8.6%	Hrry%	8.9%
10.5%	QB Hit%	9.5%
24.3%	QB Prss%	23.6%

Open

Current

Book

BUF

Consensus

+8.5 -109

-8.5 -110

+10.0 -109

-10.0 -112

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+8.5 -110

-8.5 -110

+10.0 -110

-10.0 -110

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Open

Current

Book

BUF

Consensus

+340

-435

+358

-482

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+330

-425

+330

-425

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

42.5 -115

42.5 -105

42.5 -113

42.5 -108

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43.5 -110

43.0 -110

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42.0 -110

43.0 -110

—-

42.0 -110

43.0 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

42.5 -110

43.0 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Baker Mayfield	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Chase Edmonds	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/25/23
Chris Godwin	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
David Wells	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Kaevon Merriweather	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Markees Watts	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Matt Feiler	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Patrick O'Connor	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Russell Gage	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Ryan Jensen	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Sean Tucker	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Vita Vea	NT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alec Anderson	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Baylon Spector	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Damar Hamlin	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Damien Harris	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
DaQuan Jones	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Dawson Knox	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Ed Oliver	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Germain Ifedi	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Jordan Phillips	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/25/23
Justin Shorter	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Kaiir Elam	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Matt Milano	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Nyheim Hines	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Quintin Morris	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Tommy Doyle	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Tre'Davious White	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23
Von Miller	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/25/23
Zach Davidson	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/26/23

Betting Trends

TB	Betting Trends	BUF
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
15	Avg Score	19.67
15	Avg Opp Score	21
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
21	Avg Score	27.33
18.67	Avg Opp Score	18

TB	Betting Trends	BUF
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
16.6	Avg Score	28.8
17.4	Avg Opp Score	17.2
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
17.8	Avg Score	26
21.4	Avg Opp Score	18.2

TB	Betting Trends	BUF
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
18.3	Avg Score	27.7
20.5	Avg Opp Score	19.9
AWAY		HOME
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	8-2-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	3-6-1
16.6	Avg Score	28.2
18.4	Avg Opp Score	20.9

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
12/12/21	BUF TB	52.5 -3.5	+158 -188	0 7	3 17	7 0	17 3	0 6	27 33
10/22/17	TB BUF	46.5 -3	+155 -165	6 3	0 7	7 7	14 13	0 0	27 30
12/08/13	BUF TB	43 -3	N/A N/A	3 14	0 10	3 3	0 0	0 0	6 27
09/20/09	TB BUF	42 -4	N/A N/A	0 17	14 3	0 0	6 13	0 0	20 33
09/18/05	BUF TB	34.5 -2.5	N/A N/A	0 0	3 9	0 7	0 3	0 0	3 19
11/26/00	BUF TB	37 -4	N/A N/A	0 3	7 7	0 0	10 21	0 0	17 31
09/22/91	BUF TB	44.5 7	N/A N/A	7 0	0 0	3 7	7 3	0 0	17 10
12/04/88	BUF TB	38 8.5	N/A N/A	0 0	0 10	2 0	3 0	0 0	5 10
11/02/86	BUF TB	41.5 -1	N/A N/A	0 10	0 10	14 0	14 14	0 0	28 34

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/12/25	WAS TB	35 31	7.0 78.9	35:26 24:34	51-126 38-155	37-54-411 23-28-280
01/05/25	NO TB	13 18	29.9 -10.1	27:44 32:16	13-43 21-120	17-28-153 14-22-145
12/29/24	CAR TB	16 54	53.7 -11.3	18:49 41:11	15-44 45-228	17-32-187 31-36-395
12/22/24	TB DAL	24 26	-4.6 47.8	32:48 27:12	23-136 20-31	31-44-280 26-36-291
12/15/24	TB LAC	14 2	0.4 15.8	36:48 23:12	13-77 1-11	3-3-97 3-12-60
12/08/24	LV TB	7 20	33.8 -4.7	31:30 28:30	18-65 19-109	17-27-140 13-21-193
12/01/24	TB CAR	17 15	-4.2 29.5	39:31 27:39	25-151 13-50	14-22-134 17-29-185
11/24/24	TB NYG	23 4	-4.5 30.2	33:59 26:01	24-119 15-57	18-23-222 17-24-128
11/10/24	SF TB	24 21	52.6 7.2	31:48 28:12	23-79 28-116	26-38-356 19-31-110
11/04/24	TB KC	17 21	4.0 31.4	25:10 40:42	13-66 24-86	16-21-130 23-30-179

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/12/25	DEN BUF	11 47	11.5 74.3	18:17 41:43	26-121 67-322	21-35-222 31-40-400
01/05/25	BUF NE	11 15	24.5 1.4	28:46 31:14	22-87 20-52	12-22-87 15-20-156
12/29/24	NYJ BUF	16 45	11.9 50.3	28:43 31:17	24-127 38-110	26-36-191 19-32-284
12/22/24	NE BUF	21 24	14.2 48.8	30:57 29:03	30-128 28-175	22-37-257 16-29-154
12/15/24	BUF DET	17 14	19.1 -0.9	32:42 27:18	12-68 2-17	3-12-125 13-20-163
12/08/24	BUF LAR	30 32	36.0 1.8	21:30 38:30	12-74 30-99	16-27-246 17-22-230
12/01/24	SF BUF	4 22	2.7 29.2	26:33 33:27	17-98 24-141	5-12-55 6-12-97
11/17/24	KC BUF	2 3	0.3 14.4	25:57 34:03	2-24 3-32	2-10-56 3-12-80
11/10/24	BUF IND	32 21	49.4 5.0	32:08 27:52	33-142 23-127	23-39-295 27-37-252
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159

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Tags: Buffalo Bills, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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