Cross-Sport Props and Novelty Props are always a lot of fun to handicap. Oddsmakers come up with some creative offerings and some even listen to their customers in something of a “Create Your Own Adventure” opportunity.
The legal US sportsbooks do have different rules and regulations from state to state. The offshore sportsbooks aren’t shackled by really any governing bodies, so you can find a lot of diverse and sometimes outrageous prop offering from those places. Because we are a site that covers the legal sector of the sports betting industry, we’ll stick with what’s available as far as Cross-Sport props and Novelty props with places like our top sportsbooks.
Those places include BetMGM, William Hill, PointsBet, FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetRivers. You may not find some of the offerings about the halftime show, the broadcast, or the pregame show that are getting run in social media circles, but you will find a lot of ways to bet on the game that are creative and could very well fall on the +EV side of the spectrum.
As always, shop around for the best lines and odds. You may only find some of these at one individual sportsbook and be stuck taking that price or that line, but whenever possible, see where else you can find some of these prop bets to lock in and add to your portfolio for Super Bowl LV.
None of these are huge bets. These are for fun more than anything. Treat them as such and bet less on these than you would on something a little more tangible like the regular Super Bowl props.
Orange is +125 at DraftKings and FanDuel. Orange is a pretty good bet here. As mentioned by Kiev O’Neil on Wednesday’s edition of ATS Radio, the Chiefs showered Andy Reid in orange Gatorade after winning Super Bowl LIV. We know that athletes can be a superstitious lot.
You have to think that the Chiefs will have orange in their Gatorade bucket. Tampa Bay is a little bit more of a mystery, but they wear orange and that’s good enough for me to think that they will have that color in their bucket as well.
It is interesting that there really isn’t a whole lot to go on with this prop, yet Orange is +125, with Red at +200, Yellow/Green/Lime at +300, Clear/Water at +350, and then Blue and Purple as long shots at DraftKings. At FanDuel, Red is +300, Yellow/Green/Lime is +450, and Blue is +750.
Orange seems to be the most possible pick for teams, so I could see shading the line, but it is shaded because a lot of people are expecting the Chiefs to keep status quo.
It is worth noting that when the Patriots won in both 2019 and 2015, they had blue. Perhaps Tom Brady’s influence pushes the Buccaneers to blue?
I like the Chiefs to win the game, so Orange is the pick for me.
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards vs. New York Knicks Points
Travis Kelce total receiving yards (+1.5) vs. New York Knicks points on February 7 (-1.5) is -110 at William Hill. The line for Travis Kelce receiving yards is set at 97.5 at William Hill, so this line implies that the Knicks are projected for just 99 points. Given that they are playing a Miami Heat team that has allowed over 111 points per game, I would look at the Knicks for more like 105 or 106 points.
I don’t really know how the Knicks do against the Heat on Sunday, but I do know that Kelce will be the focal point of the Buccaneers defense. Maybe they don’t have the personnel to hold Kelce to 43 yards like the 49ers did in Super Bowl LIV, but that’s a lot of yardage for Kelce to get.
It is a good pairing from the oddsmakers, as the Knicks are the slowest-paced team in the NBA and they have the lowest 3P Rate in the NBA. Still, they’ve scored over 102 points per game. It seems like a big ask for Kelce to go both over his yardage and also outgain an NBA team’s point total.
Total Interceptions vs. Paris Saint Germain Goals
Total interceptions in the Super Bowl (+0.5) is +120 against Paris Saint Germain Total Goals scored on February 7 vs. Marseille (-140) at William Hill. I believe that we see a lot of pass attempts in the Super Bowl. We’re going to see both Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes throw over 40 times each in my estimation. That creates the potential for interceptions.
We saw Brady attempt to throw some jump balls in the second half against the Buccaneers. They didn’t go well. Brady has been pretty inaccurate in the playoffs to this point and I do anticipate pressure up the middle from the Chiefs against the immobile QB.
On the Kansas City side, I would think that the Buccaneers try to blitz Patrick Mahomes a little bit more, so he may put some throws into some more compromising situations. If this falls on 2 both ways, the +0.5 makes the bet a winner on interceptions.
PSG’s last game against Marseille came in the 2020 French Super Cup and was a 1-0 game until the 85th minute when Neymar scored on a penalty kick. It was a very balanced game and a low-scoring one at that.
Based on the number of pass attempts we should see in this game, this feels like a decent value to me.