Steelers vs Chargers
The Steelers travel to Los Angeles for a truly important matchup with real playoff implications. If the playoffs started today, the Steelers would be the last team in and the Chargers would be the first team out. Every game is going to be quite crucial for both of these teams, but a loss to the real playoff competition in the conference would be a double whammy.
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This game will be played at 820PM EST on Sunday November 21st, 2021 at SoFi Stadium.
Steelers vs Chargers Player Prop Pick: Najee Harris Over 80.5 Rushing Yards
✅ The Steelers have made an unmistakable commitment to running the ball. Particularly to running the ball with Najee Harris. Harris’ carries were somewhat limited through the first four games of the season. That changed in Week 5. Harris got 23 carries in that Week 5 game, and legitimately nothing has changed since. He has received at least 22 carries in every game since then. Whether this prop bet wins or loses, it would be shocking to see the rushing volume dry up to any degree at all.
✅ Harris has been mostly productive with his elite role. He has rushed for at least 81 yards in every game but one since the role increase in Week 5. He has not had a massive rushing output game, but the expected range in yardage output has been from 80 to 120 yards. The high end of that range is a perfectly reasonable expectation given his role and what is a soft matchup this week.
Chargers Can’t Stop The Run
✅ The Chargers are the stone worst in the league against the rush. The 155.1 rushing yards per game they allow is worst in the league by a wide margin. They allow 18.2 yards per game more than the second worst Houston Texans! It is not just rushing volume that beats the Chargers either. They are also dreadfully inefficient. The 4.8 yards per carry they allow is also the absolute worst in the league. Matchups for running backs do not come easier than this one on the ground. Harris will use his elite role to cruise past the 80.5 yard rushing total.