Sunday’s late afternoon NFL Week 3 headliner features two of the greatest quarterbacks of all-time as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers visit Tampa Bay to take on Tom Brady’s Buccaneers. And we have a Packers vs Buccaneers parlay to mark the occasion.
Green Bay enters Tampa back on track on offense as Rodgers and running backs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon had the Packers attack humming against the Chicago Bears in Week 2. The Pack dominated the Bears in a 27-10 win on Sunday Night Football and look to keep the good times rolling in the sunshine state against the Bucs.
The Bucs were victorious in Week 2 as well, moving to 2-0 with a 20-10 win over the New Orleans Saints. Victory came at a price for the Bucs, however, as wide receiver Mike Evans earned a one game suspension for some chippy after the whistle play in defense of Tom Brady.
With no Evans or Julio Jones, Tom Brady and prop bettors will be looking for the next man up in the Tampa Bay offense. While Rodgers and the Packers will be looking to take advantage of a banged up Bucs team in search of a road win. What are the best bets for this late afternoon main event, let’s take a look at three to wager on in our Packers vs Buccaneers Same Game Parlay preview.
Pick 1 | Green Bay Packers +1.5 (-112) |
Pick 2 | Leonard Fournette Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-114) |
Pick 3 | Breshad Perriman Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-114) |
Parlay Odds | +902 ($20 to win 180.42) |
Pick #1: Green Bay Packers +1.5 (-112)
The Green Bay Packers are slight underdogs against a Bucs team missing the top three wide receivers on their depth chart. Given the pile up of injuries and suspensions on offense for Tampa Bay, it is hard not to be interested in the Packers as underdogs in this one as the considerably healthier of the two rosters.
The Packers put up a stinker in their first road game of the season against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1. However, things likely would have been a lot different if the Vikes were without their top three pass catchers. After a big win last week, the Packers look to be a team that can take advantage of a weakened Bucs team and come out of Tampa with a big early season road win.
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Pick #2: Leonard Fournette Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Simple football math dictates taking Leonard Fournette props in this game. Without their wide receivers, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will need to feed their feature running back to move the football on Sunday. Luckily for them, they have one hell of a running back to guide the way as the workhorse in Fournette, who will feature in this Packers vs Buccaneers parlay.
Fournette was given the ball 24 times against the Saints and fell just short of the 70 yard mark due to a low 2.7 yards per carry. It is a safe assumption Fournette will receive 20 or so carries against the Packers and finish with a box score closer to his Week 1 output when he rushed for 127 yards on 21 rushing attempts. Especially when you consider the Packers rush defense has allowed 5.6 yards per attempt this season.
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Pick #3: Breshad Perriman Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Football math comes into play again here as Tom Brady will have to throw the football to whoever is healthy and available this weekend. Breshard Perriman being one of the only wideouts who will fit the billing of healthy and not suspended on Sunday should mean that the journeyman vet will receiving plenty of targets.
Perriman already made the most out of the absences of Julio Jones and Chris Godwin last week against the Saints, catching a touchdown amongst his three catches for 45 yards. With no Mike Evans in addition to the remaining absences of Jones and Godwin, expect Perriman to see a further increase on his five Week 2 targets and to put up a fair chunk of yardage in the process as Brady is more or less stuck utilizing him.
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Packers vs Buccaneers Preview
Tampa Bay won’t be the only team missing a key contributor at wide receiver on Sunday. Veteran wideout Sammy Watkins has been ruled out by the Packers for Week 3, the team citing a hamstring issue as the reason for Watkins absence.
Tampa and Green Bay love to run the football so far this season, both teams rank inside the Top 10 in rushing attempts and could chew the clock on Sunday. Something to consider for bettors eyeing the Over/Under total of 41.5.
Tom Brady is 3-1 ATS against Aaron Rodgers in battles between the two future hall of fame quarterbacks. Packers head coach Matt LaFleur has the best record against the spread of all NFL head coaches since taking the job in Green Bay. LaFleur is 33-18 against the spread to date, a winning percentage of .647 as Packers bettors have enjoyed the LaFleur era thus far.
NFL
Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
GB | Passing | TB |
---|---|---|
374 | CMP | 404 |
581 | ATT | 611 |
64.4 | CMP% | 66.1 |
233.4 | YDS/GM | 248.9 |
7.2 | Y/A | 7.5 |
6.5 | NY/A | 6.4 |
11 | INT | 13 |
30 | SK | 48 |
Defense/Offense
GB | Passing | TB |
---|---|---|
342 | CMP | 364 |
523 | ATT | 568 |
65.4 | CMP% | 64.1 |
206.8 | YDS/GM | 224.2 |
7.3 | Y/A | 7.1 |
6.2 | NY/A | 6.3 |
7 | INT | 10 |
45 | SK | 40 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
GB | Rushing | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
441 | ATT | 422 |
1905 | YDS | 1620 |
112.1 | Y/G | 95.3 |
4.3 | Y/A | 3.8 |
10 | TD | 11 |
0.6 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
GB | Rushing | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
493 | ATT | 439 |
2181 | YDS | 1509 |
128.3 | Y/G | 88.8 |
4.4 | Y/A | 3.4 |
15 | TD | 8 |
0.9 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
GB | Special Teams | TB |
---|---|---|
26 | Punts/Ret | 38 |
189 | Punt/Yds | 455 |
7.3 | Punt/Y/R | 12.0 |
31 | Kick Off/Ret | 26 |
783 | Kick Off/Yds | 491 |
25.3 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 18.9 |
Defense/Offense
GB | Special Teams | TB |
---|---|---|
23 | Punts/Ret | 25 |
270 | Punt/Yds | 234 |
11.7 | Punt/Y/R | 9.4 |
40 | Kick Off/Ret | 16 |
950 | Kick Off/Yds | 327 |
23.8 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.4 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
GB | Scoring | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 11 |
32 | RecTD | 23 |
27 | FGM | 29 |
33 | FGA | 36 |
22.5 | Pts/G | 19.1 |
Defense/Offense
GB | Scoring | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
15 | RshTD | 8 |
21 | RecTD | 28 |
31 | FGM | 29 |
38 | FGA | 31 |
20.6 | Pts/G | 20.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
GB | Defense | TB |
---|---|---|
29.3% | Bltz% | 40.1% |
8.5% | Hrry% | 6.5% |
9.9% | QB Hit% | 6.9% |
24.3% | QB Prss% | 19.7% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Caleb Jones | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
Christian Watson | WR | Hamstring | Out | 09/25/22 |
Jonathan Ford | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
Krys Barnes | LB | Ankle | Out | 09/25/22 |
Kylin Hill | RB | Knee | Out | 09/25/22 |
Rasheed Walker | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
Sammy Watkins | WR | Hamstring | Out | 09/25/22 |
Samori Toure | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
Sean Rhyan | OL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
Allen Lazard | WR | Ankle | Questionable | 09/24/22 |
Kenny Clark | DL | Groin | Questionable | 09/24/22 |
Mason Crosby | K | Illness | Questionable | 09/24/22 |
David Bakhtiari | OT | Knee | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Elgton Jenkins | G | Knee | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Marcedes Lewis | TE | Groin | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Randall Cobb | WR | Illness | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Stinnie | G | Knee (acl) (mcl) | Out | 09/25/22 |
Akiem Hicks | DL | Foot | Out | 09/25/22 |
Cade Otton | TE | Personal | Out | 09/25/22 |
Cam Gill | OLB | Foot | Out | 09/25/22 |
Chris Godwin | WR | Hamstring | Out | 09/25/22 |
Donovan Smith | OT | Elbow | Out | 09/25/22 |
Giovani Bernard | RB | Ankle | Out | 09/25/22 |
Josh Wells | OT | Calf | Out | 09/25/22 |
Julio Jones | WR | Knee | Out | 09/25/22 |
Kenjon Barner | RB | Groin | Out | 09/25/22 |
Kyle Trask | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
Mike Evans | WR | Suspension | Out | 09/25/22 |
Ryan Jensen | C | Knee | Out | 09/25/22 |
Zyon McCollum | CB | Hamstring | Out | 09/25/22 |
Robert Hainsey | OL | Knee | Questionable | 09/23/22 |
Breshad Perriman | WR | Knee | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Carlton Davis III | CB | Hip | Probable | 09/23/22 |
Leonard Fournette | RB | Hamstring | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Russell Gage | WR | Hamstring | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Scotty Miller | WR | Calf | Probable | 09/23/22 |
Betting Trends
GB | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
14.67 | Avg Score | 22 |
15.33 | Avg Opp Score | 14.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
22.67 | Avg Score | 33 |
30 | Avg Opp Score | 20.67 |
GB | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
22.2 | Avg Score | 27.6 |
18.6 | Avg Opp Score | 15 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
21.2 | Avg Score | 26.4 |
27.4 | Avg Opp Score | 19.6 |
GB | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
27.8 | Avg Score | 26.1 |
23.7 | Avg Opp Score | 15.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
21.2 | Avg Score | 32.4 |
26 | Avg Opp Score | 18.2 |