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Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
From an NFL betting perspective, there may not be a team expected to take as big a step back as the Green Bay Packers this season. Losing Aaron Rodgers to the Jets and ushering in the Jordan Love era is expected to make things tough on Green Bay. Here, we look at just how tough this year will be in Green Bay and make our season win total prediction for the Pack in our Green Bay Packers 2023 season preview.
2023 Green Bay Packers Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
---|---|
Caesars Sportsbook | 7.5 |
BetMGM | 7.5 |
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Standings Data
2022 | 2021 | |
---|---|---|
Actual Record | 8-9 | 13-4 |
Point Differential | -1 | +79 |
ATS W/L | 8-9 | 12-6 |
Over/Under Record | 8-9 | 8-10 |
Record in Division Games | 3-3 | 4-2 |
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Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Tarvarius Moore, Lukas Van Ness
Key Departures: Aaron Rodgers, Allen Lazard, Robert Tonyan
There is no way to spin an offseason where you lost an all-time great quarterback as a positive. Green Bay traded Aaron Rodgers to the Jets, as he pushed his way out of the only city he had played for as a pro until this season. The Packers made some moves to help their defense, but those may not be nearly enough to help this team get over the loss of Rodgers.
Green Bay Packers Offensive Stats
2022 (Rank) | 2021 (Rank) | |
---|---|---|
Yards Per Play | 5.5 (T-11th) | 5.8 (T-8th) |
Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4.6 (T-11th) | 4.2 (T-20th) |
Yards Per Pass Attempt | 6.9 (T-18th) | 7.6 (T-5th) |
Points Per Game | 21.8 (14th) | 25.6 (T-10th) |
Turnovers | 22 (T-14th) | 13 (T-1st) |
Offensively, Green Bay was good but not great last season, with Rodgers not playing his best football. Of course, Rodgers’ subpar season would be a career year for most quarterbacks. This year, the Packers will hope that Jordan Love learned a lot from Rodgers, as Love has struggled in limited spot duty for Rodgers previously in his career.
Green Bay Packers Defensive Stats
2022 (Rank) | 2021 (Rank) | |
---|---|---|
Yards Per Play Allowed | 5.8 (T-27th) | 5.3 (T-10th) |
Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed | 5.0 (28th) | 4.6 (T-26th) |
Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed | 7.0 (T-25th) | 6.2 (T-4th) |
Points Per Game Allowed | 21.8 (T-17th) | 21.3 (T-9th) |
Takeaways | 24 (T-11th) | 26 (T-8th) |
On defense, the Packers had poor per play yardage numbers in every phase of the game, but their scoring defense was average. This year, the Packers defense could be hurt by the team’s downgrade at the quarterback position, as they could be forced to face more defensive snaps and get worn down as games go on.
Positives & Negatives
One big positive for the Packers going into this season is their rushing attack, as AJ Dillon and Aaron Jones are a couple of solid options out of the backfield. Things could be harder for both of them as the Packers won’t have as dangerous a passing attack for opposing defenses to focus on. But having a couple of solid backs to rely on could help Love get his feet wet in his first full season under center.
On the negative side, this Packers team is going to be bad passing the ball, and that could bleed into every other facet of what they do. This coaching staff has not proven it can achieve success without Rodgers as well, as this entire Packers team has a lot to prove going into this year.
2023 Green Bay Packers Win Total Prediction: Under 7.5 Wins
Without any confidence that Jordan Love can be a legitimate starting quarterback in Green Bay, we have no choice but to take the under on the season win total for the Packers. Look for the Packers to struggle out of the gate, and for a difficult schedule against the NFC South and AFC West to make things even tougher. We see this team hovering somewhere around five wins this season, as they look to rebuild in a post-Rodgers world.