Minnesota Vikings VS Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023

Jay Sanin on November 2nd, 2023

Vikings +4 (-110) +164

Falcons -4 (-110) -198

Falcons -4 (-110) over Vikings

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Vikings +4 (-110) +164

Falcons -4 (-110) -198

Minnesota is starting 25-year-old rookie quarterback Jaren Hall at quarterback in this game after losing Kirk Cousins to a season-ending injury last week.
Atlanta is 3-1 at home on the season and they should be able to win here with a new starting quarterback in Taylor Heinicke.

Quarterback changes are a factor for both teams in the Vikings vs Falcons matchup on Sunday afternoon. The Vikings are stuck with a rookie quarterback in Jaren Hall under center after losing Kirk Cousins for the season last week. Meanwhile, the Falcons are making a voluntary switch from Desmond Ridder to Taylor Henicke. Expect the Falcons to take advantage of that switch and improve to 4-1 at home on the season by winning and covering the spread against a Vikings team in a bad spot at the most important position on the field.

NFL

Nov 05, 2023 01:00 PM

Minnesota Vikings

Atlanta Falcons

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-110

-3.5/-110

52% MIN

ATL 48%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+157

-195

39% MIN

ATL 61%

Total Pick Consensus

38.5/-110

38.5/-110

72% UN

OV 28%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

MIN	Team Stats	ATL
17	G	17
432	PTs	423
25.4	PPG	24.9
5898	YDS	5868
346.9	YDS/G	345.2
44	TD	45
2.6	TD/G	2.6
41.4	SC%	43.7
10.5	TO%	9.8

Defense/Offense

MIN	Team Stats	ATL
17	G	17
332	PTs	389
19.5	PPG	22.9
5702	YDS	6287
335.4	YDS/G	369.8
36	TD	39
2.1	TD/G	2.3
31.6	SC%	39.6
16.6	TO%	13.6

Passing

Offense/Defense

MIN	Passing	ATL
364	CMP	404
548	ATT	578
66.4	CMP%	69.9
237.8	YDS/GM	224.5
8.0	Y/A	6.9
6.8	NY/A	6.3
12	INT	12
49	SK	31

Defense/Offense

MIN	Passing	ATL
415	CMP	364
637	ATT	559
65.1	CMP%	65.1
242	YDS/GM	239.3
7.0	Y/A	7.7
6.0	NY/A	6.9
24	INT	19
49	SK	32

Rushing

Offense/Defense

MIN	Rushing	ATL
17	G	17
457	ATT	458
1855	YDS	2051
109.1	Y/G	120.6
4.1	Y/A	4.5
9	TD	11
0.5	TD/G	0.6

Defense/Offense

MIN	Rushing	ATL
17	G	17
392	ATT	495
1588	YDS	2219
93.4	Y/G	130.5
4.1	Y/A	4.5
12	TD	18
0.7	TD/G	1.1

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

MIN	Special Teams	ATL
24	Punts/Ret	22
164	Punt/Yds	305
6.8	Punt/Y/R	13.9
14	Kick Off/Ret	27
341	Kick Off/Yds	738
24.4	Kick Off/Y/rt	27.3

Defense/Offense

MIN	Special Teams	ATL
28	Punts/Ret	21
191	Punt/Yds	200
6.8	Punt/Y/R	9.5
14	Kick Off/Ret	30
399	Kick Off/Yds	791
28.5	Kick Off/Y/rt	26.4

Scoring

Offense/Defense

MIN	Scoring	ATL
17	G	17
9	RshTD	11
35	RecTD	34
35	FGM	31
42	FGA	32
25.4	Pts/G	24.9

Defense/Offense

MIN	Scoring	ATL
17	G	17
12	RshTD	18
24	RecTD	21
23	FGM	29
30	FGA	41
19.5	Pts/G	22.9

Team Advanced Defense

MIN	Defense	ATL
38.9%	Bltz%	20.6%
8.7%	Hrry%	8.9%
10.8%	QB Hit%	7.3%
25.3%	QB Prss%	20.0%

Open

Current

Book

MIN

ATL

MIN

ATL

Consensus

+1.5 -110

-1.5 -106

+5.0 -110

-5.0 -110

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+3.5 -110

-3.5 -110

+5.0 -110

-5.0 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

MIN

ATL

MIN

ATL

Consensus

-105

-115

+172

-210

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+145

-175

+185

-225

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

41.5 -110

37.0 -112

37.0 -110

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41.5 -110

37.0 -110

Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

41.5 -110

37.5 -105

37.5 -115

Second chance bet up to $500

41.5 -110

37.0 -112

37.0 -109

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41.5 -110

37.0 -110

—-

40.0 -110

37.0 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

37.5 -110

37.0 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Akayleb Evans	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Brandon Powell	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Brian Asamoah II	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Chris Reed	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Christian Darrisaw	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Dean Lowry	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jalen Nailor	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
James Lynch	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Justin Jefferson	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kene Nwangwu	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kirk Cousins	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
K.J. Osborn	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Lewis Cine	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Malik Knowles	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Marcus Davenport	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nick Mullens	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nick Muse	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Olisaemeka Udoh	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Adetokunbo Ogundeji	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Avery Williams	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Barry Wesley	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
DeMarcco Hellams	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Desmond Ridder	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Drake London	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Ethan Greenidge	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Feleipe Franks	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Grady Jarrett	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Ikenna Enechukwu	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Joe Gaziano	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Josh Ali	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jovaughn Gwyn	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Keith Smith	FB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
LaCale London	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Logan Woodside	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Matt Hennessy	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Mike Hughes	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Parker Hesse	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tae Davis	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Travis Bell	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Troy Andersen	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Betting Trends

MIN	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
21.67	Avg Score	18.33
13.33	Avg Opp Score	21.67
AWAY		HOME
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
21.33	Avg Score	20.67
12	Avg Opp Score	22.33

MIN	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
21.2	Avg Score	16.6
16	Avg Opp Score	21.4
AWAY		HOME
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
4-0-1	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
24.2	Avg Score	23.2
16.6	Avg Opp Score	18.8

MIN	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
5-4-1	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
22.8	Avg Score	18.8
20.6	Avg Opp Score	19.7
AWAY		HOME
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	7-3-0
6-2-2	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
23.8	Avg Score	23.3
22.1	Avg Opp Score	21

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
10/18/20	ATL MIN	53.5 -3.5	+162 -192	10 0	10 0	10 7	10 16	40 23
09/08/19	ATL MIN	47 -3.5	+160 -195	0 14	0 7	0 7	12 0	12 28
12/03/17	MIN ATL	48.5 -2	+113 -123	0 3	7 3	0 3	7 0	14 9
11/29/15	MIN ATL	45 -2	N/A N/A	7 0	0 3	3 0	10 7	20 10
09/28/14	ATL MIN	47.5 5	N/A N/A	7 14	7 10	14 3	0 14	28 41
11/27/11	MIN ATL	44 -10	N/A N/A	0 7	0 10	7 0	7 7	14 24
12/21/08	ATL MIN	43.5 -3.5	N/A N/A	7 7	10 0	7 0	0 10	24 17
09/09/07	ATL MIN	35 -3	N/A N/A	0 7	0 0	0 3	3 14	3 24
10/02/05	MIN ATL	44.5 -6	N/A N/A	0 7	0 17	0 3	10 3	10 30
10/05/03	MIN ATL	43 4.5	N/A N/A	0 6	12 14	15 0	12 6	39 26

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/13/25	MIN LAR	14 41	-3.8 72.8	32:18 27:42	34-162 34-138	38-61-250 29-41-309
01/05/25	MIN DET	4 21	1.4 38.0	23:48 36:12	13-81 21-120	12-28-95 18-22-145
12/29/24	GB MIN	28 31	55.4 0.6	24:30 35:30	27-118 29-78	21-34-189 37-49-421
12/22/24	MIN SEA	27 24	43.7 2.6	30:41 29:19	24-82 15-60	22-36-220 31-44-307
12/16/24	CHI MIN	1 10	15.0 -2.4	30:06 29:54	3-39 3-39	2-11-59 3-14-74
12/08/24	ATL MIN	15 30	33.4 -4.3	31:35 28:25	23-114 17-83	17-27-243 16-20-229
12/01/24	ARI MIN	14 15	29.2 -2.2	35:49 24:11	20-99 6-44	20-29-162 13-20-131
11/24/24	MIN CHI	23 20	-2.3 29.9	33:26 34:24	20-94 17-59	17-26-248 24-36-242
11/17/24	MIN TEN	2 1	12.3 0.6	32:31 27:29	10-25 2-10	2-3-72 2-3-80
11/10/24	MIN JAX	13 8	-7.4 44.7	42:19 17:41	45-178 19-59	25-40-245 15-23-92

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/05/25	CAR ATL	30 26	3.6 32.6	34:05 32:41	20-104 26-153	17-24-181 14-26-208
12/29/24	ATL WAS	27 34	52.6 -4.0	25:46 41:32	26-143 41-244	21-40-239 27-41-222
12/22/24	NYG ATL	7 35	9.8 43.7	25:32 34:28	13-46 39-129	22-40-192 18-27-205
12/16/24	ATL LV	2 1	15.3 0.7	33:52 26:08	13-58 3-22	1-2-32 3-13-63
12/08/24	ATL MIN	15 30	33.4 -4.3	31:35 28:25	23-114 17-83	17-27-243 16-20-229
12/01/24	LAC ATL	11 5	-0.3 30.1	24:05 35:55	11-36 24-74	11-15-84 15-25-150
11/17/24	ATL DEN	1 12	13.7 -0.6	29:55 30:05	2-15 2-32	2-3-54 3-10-91
11/10/24	ATL NO	18 21	49.4 3.9	35:07 24:53	34-190 28-101	24-40-302 17-26-283
11/03/24	DAL ATL	14 19	1.4 35.9	30:40 29:20	14-95 21-69	21-34-166 13-17-145
10/27/24	ATL TB	46 38	70.0 3.3	27:26 32:34	43-190 32-150	34-43-390 55-74-486

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Tags: Atlanta Falcons, minnesota vikings

January 19th, 2025

Minnesota Vikings VS Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023