Minnesota Vikings VS Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023

Jay Sanin on November 2nd, 2023

Vikings +4 (-110) +164

Falcons -4 (-110) -198

Falcons -4 (-110) over Vikings

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Vikings +4 (-110) +164

Falcons -4 (-110) -198

Minnesota is starting 25-year-old rookie quarterback Jaren Hall at quarterback in this game after losing Kirk Cousins to a season-ending injury last week.
Atlanta is 3-1 at home on the season and they should be able to win here with a new starting quarterback in Taylor Heinicke.

Quarterback changes are a factor for both teams in the Vikings vs Falcons matchup on Sunday afternoon. The Vikings are stuck with a rookie quarterback in Jaren Hall under center after losing Kirk Cousins for the season last week. Meanwhile, the Falcons are making a voluntary switch from Desmond Ridder to Taylor Henicke. Expect the Falcons to take advantage of that switch and improve to 4-1 at home on the season by winning and covering the spread against a Vikings team in a bad spot at the most important position on the field.

NFL

Nov 05, 2023 01:00 PM

Minnesota Vikings

Atlanta Falcons

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-110

-3.5/-110

52% MIN

ATL 48%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+157

-195

39% MIN

ATL 61%

Total Pick Consensus

38.5/-110

38.5/-110

72% UN

OV 28%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

MIN	Team Stats	ATL
10	G	11
244	PTs	274
24.4	PPG	24.9
3410	YDS	3928
341	YDS/G	357.1
24	TD	27
2.4	TD/G	2.5
38.1	SC%	47.7
14.2	TO%	8.3

Defense/Offense

MIN	Team Stats	ATL
10	G	11
170	PTs	244
17	PPG	22.2
3092	YDS	3977
309.2	YDS/G	361.5
19	TD	25
1.9	TD/G	2.3
25.2	SC%	38.9
18.9	TO%	11.5

Passing

Offense/Defense

MIN	Passing	ATL
201	CMP	270
295	ATT	377
68.1	CMP%	71.6
224.6	YDS/GM	229.9
8.2	Y/A	6.9
6.9	NY/A	6.5
10	INT	7
29	SK	10

Defense/Offense

MIN	Passing	ATL
233	CMP	248
369	ATT	366
63.1	CMP%	67.8
234.8	YDS/GM	243.6
7.0	Y/A	7.8
5.8	NY/A	6.9
16	INT	9
35	SK	24

Rushing

Offense/Defense

MIN	Rushing	ATL
10	G	11
293	ATT	316
1164	YDS	1399
116.4	Y/G	127.2
4.0	Y/A	4.4
5	TD	6
0.5	TD/G	0.5

Defense/Offense

MIN	Rushing	ATL
10	G	11
208	ATT	290
744	YDS	1297
74.4	Y/G	117.9
3.6	Y/A	4.5
4	TD	8
0.4	TD/G	0.7

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

MIN	Special Teams	ATL
15	Punts/Ret	19
98	Punt/Yds	258
6.5	Punt/Y/R	13.6
6	Kick Off/Ret	22
147	Kick Off/Yds	602
24.5	Kick Off/Y/rt	27.4

Defense/Offense

MIN	Special Teams	ATL
14	Punts/Ret	13
102	Punt/Yds	129
7.3	Punt/Y/R	9.9
7	Kick Off/Ret	21
167	Kick Off/Yds	540
23.9	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.7

Scoring

Offense/Defense

MIN	Scoring	ATL
10	G	11
5	RshTD	6
19	RecTD	21
19	FGM	25
21	FGA	25
24.4	Pts/G	24.9

Defense/Offense

MIN	Scoring	ATL
10	G	11
4	RshTD	8
15	RecTD	17
9	FGM	19
13	FGA	26
17.0	Pts/G	22.2

Team Advanced Defense

MIN	Defense	ATL
37.7%	Bltz%	22.7%
10.1%	Hrry%	8.2%
12.5%	QB Hit%	8.0%
29.6%	QB Prss%	17.8%

Open

Current

Book

MIN

ATL

MIN

ATL

Consensus

+1.5 -110

-1.5 -106

+5.0 -110

-5.0 -110

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+3.5 -110

-3.5 -110

+5.0 -110

-5.0 -110

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Open

Current

Book

MIN

ATL

MIN

ATL

Consensus

-105

-115

+172

-210

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$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

+145

-175

+185

-225

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

41.5 -110

37.0 -112

37.0 -110

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41.5 -110

37.0 -110

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41.5 -110

37.5 -105

37.5 -115

Second chance bet up to $500

41.5 -110

37.0 -112

37.0 -109

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

41.5 -110

37.0 -110

—-

40.0 -110

37.0 -110

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37.5 -110

37.0 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Akayleb Evans	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Brandon Powell	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Brian Asamoah II	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Chris Reed	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Christian Darrisaw	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Dean Lowry	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jalen Nailor	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
James Lynch	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Justin Jefferson	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kene Nwangwu	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kirk Cousins	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
K.J. Osborn	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Lewis Cine	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Malik Knowles	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Marcus Davenport	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nick Mullens	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nick Muse	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Olisaemeka Udoh	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Adetokunbo Ogundeji	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Avery Williams	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Barry Wesley	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
DeMarcco Hellams	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Desmond Ridder	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Drake London	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Ethan Greenidge	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Feleipe Franks	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Grady Jarrett	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Ikenna Enechukwu	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Joe Gaziano	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Josh Ali	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jovaughn Gwyn	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Keith Smith	FB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
LaCale London	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Logan Woodside	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Matt Hennessy	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Mike Hughes	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Parker Hesse	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tae Davis	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Travis Bell	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Troy Andersen	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Betting Trends

MIN	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
21.67	Avg Score	18.33
13.33	Avg Opp Score	21.67
AWAY		HOME
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
21.33	Avg Score	20.67
12	Avg Opp Score	22.33

MIN	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
21.2	Avg Score	16.6
16	Avg Opp Score	21.4
AWAY		HOME
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
4-0-1	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
24.2	Avg Score	23.2
16.6	Avg Opp Score	18.8

MIN	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
5-4-1	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
22.8	Avg Score	18.8
20.6	Avg Opp Score	19.7
AWAY		HOME
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	7-3-0
6-2-2	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
23.8	Avg Score	23.3
22.1	Avg Opp Score	21

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
10/18/20	ATL MIN	53.5 -3.5	+162 -192	10 0	10 0	10 7	10 16	40 23
09/08/19	ATL MIN	47 -3.5	+160 -195	0 14	0 7	0 7	12 0	12 28
12/03/17	MIN ATL	48.5 -2	+113 -123	0 3	7 3	0 3	7 0	14 9
11/29/15	MIN ATL	45 -2	N/A N/A	7 0	0 3	3 0	10 7	20 10
09/28/14	ATL MIN	47.5 5	N/A N/A	7 14	7 10	14 3	0 14	28 41
11/27/11	MIN ATL	44 -10	N/A N/A	0 7	0 10	7 0	7 7	14 24
12/21/08	ATL MIN	43.5 -3.5	N/A N/A	7 7	10 0	7 0	0 10	24 17
09/09/07	ATL MIN	35 -3	N/A N/A	0 7	0 0	0 3	3 14	3 24
10/02/05	MIN ATL	44.5 -6	N/A N/A	0 7	0 17	0 3	10 3	10 30
10/05/03	MIN ATL	43 4.5	N/A N/A	0 6	12 14	15 0	12 6	39 26

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	MIN TEN	2 1	12.3 0.6	32:31 27:29	10-25 2-10	2-3-72 2-3-80
11/10/24	MIN JAX	13 8	-7.4 44.7	42:19 17:41	45-178 19-59	25-40-245 15-23-92
11/03/24	IND MIN	6 14	32.4 -3.8	23:06 36:54	13-47 22-92	11-19-110 20-24-195
10/24/24	MIN LAR	29 44	-3.7 70.0	26:23 33:37	32-94 47-158	27-37-312 37-50-411
10/20/24	DET MIN	19 18	31.1 -0.9	29:03 30:57	17-90 13-86	14-16-154 14-17-152
10/06/24	NYJ MIN	5 13	0.8 23.3	29:23 30:37	4-20 17-46	16-30-121 5-18-95
09/29/24	MIN GB	42 39	4.5 58.9	32:15 27:45	46-161 25-115	27-37-340 43-72-507
09/22/24	HOU MIN	2 17	22.7 0.4	30:42 29:18	3-19 14-58	14-21-126 4-14-76
09/15/24	SF MIN	22 29	-5.1 59.1	34:48 25:12	32-130 31-186	36-46-374 22-33-327
09/08/24	MIN NYG	12 1	17.6 0.2	27:34 32:26	11-47 4-31	3-10-84 4-18-70

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	ATL DEN	1 12	13.7 -0.6	29:55 30:05	2-15 2-32	2-3-54 3-10-91
11/10/24	ATL NO	18 21	49.4 3.9	35:07 24:53	34-190 28-101	24-40-302 17-26-283
11/03/24	DAL ATL	14 19	1.4 35.9	30:40 29:20	14-95 21-69	21-34-166 13-17-145
10/27/24	ATL TB	46 38	70.0 3.3	27:26 32:34	43-190 32-150	34-43-390 55-74-486
10/20/24	SEA ATL	21 5	1.2 32.0	28:52 31:08	16-64 20-96	12-18-147 16-22-133
10/13/24	ATL CAR	53 28	64.7 11.9	30:40 29:20	53-278 34-160	27-42-316 37-53-311
10/03/24	TB ATL	17 20	0.8 24.1	27:38 33:37	14-89 6-41	11-13-96 23-33-265
09/29/24	NO ATL	32 35	4.5 56.9	35:42 24:18	44-175 20-118	37-48-315 28-47-304
09/22/24	KC ATL	11 4	-1.5 22.7	34:57 25:03	16-62 12-40	13-19-106 5-14-112
09/16/24	ATL PHI	28 27	59.1 -7.0	24:21 35:39	36-193 47-236	25-37-296 29-38-228

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Tags: Atlanta Falcons, minnesota vikings

November 17th, 2024

Minnesota Vikings VS Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023