Miami Dolphins VS New England Patriots Betting Pick & Preview – 09/17/2023

Jay Sanin on September 13th, 2023

Dolphins -2.5 (-112) -135

Patriots +2.5 (-108) +114

Dolphins -2.5 (-112) over Patriots

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Dolphins -2.5 (-112) -135

Patriots +2.5 (-108) +114

The Dolphins had one of the best offensive performances in Week 1, and their potent passing game will be too much for the Patriots to keep up with.
New England is 3-6 against the spread in their last nine home games dating back to the start of last season.

Dolphins vs Patriots will be the matchup for Sunday Night Football in Week 2 of the regular season. We should see the Dolphins win this game and cover the spread on the road, despite Miami being on the road for the second straight game to open the year. The passing attack of Miami, led by Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill, will be too much for the Patriots to keep up with, as the Dolphins should move to 2-0 after Sunday night.

NFL

Sep 17, 2023 08:20 PM

Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.0/-112

+2.0/-108

63% MIA

NE 37%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-132

+111

69% MIA

NE 31%

Total Pick Consensus

46.5/-112

46.5/-108

46% UN

OV 54%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

MIA	Team Stats	NE
17	G	17
345	PTs	417
20.3	PPG	24.5
5532	YDS	5829
325.4	YDS/G	342.9
34	TD	43
2	TD/G	2.5
39.0	SC%	42.8
11.0	TO%	5.8

Defense/Offense

MIA	Team Stats	NE
17	G	17
364	PTs	289
21.4	PPG	17
5345	YDS	4964
314.4	YDS/G	292
34	TD	29
2	TD/G	1.7
38.7	SC%	30.9
8.8	TO%	12.9

Passing

Offense/Defense

MIA	Passing	NE
413	CMP	346
591	ATT	533
69.9	CMP%	64.9
219.8	YDS/GM	211.5
6.8	Y/A	7.0
5.9	NY/A	6.4
10	INT	7
43	SK	28

Defense/Offense

MIA	Passing	NE
365	CMP	342
572	ATT	529
63.8	CMP%	64.7
210.7	YDS/GM	176.2
6.7	Y/A	6.3
5.9	NY/A	5.2
10	INT	11
35	SK	52

Rushing

Offense/Defense

MIA	Rushing	NE
17	G	17
448	ATT	507
1795	YDS	2233
105.6	Y/G	131.4
4.0	Y/A	4.4
12	TD	16
0.7	TD/G	0.9

Defense/Offense

MIA	Rushing	NE
17	G	17
405	ATT	446
1763	YDS	1969
103.7	Y/G	115.8
4.4	Y/A	4.4
12	TD	11
0.7	TD/G	0.6

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

MIA	Special Teams	NE
28	Punts/Ret	32
268	Punt/Yds	406
9.6	Punt/Y/R	12.7
26	Kick Off/Ret	21
755	Kick Off/Yds	529
29.0	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.2

Defense/Offense

MIA	Special Teams	NE
22	Punts/Ret	30
230	Punt/Yds	427
10.5	Punt/Y/R	14.2
17	Kick Off/Ret	26
429	Kick Off/Yds	662
25.2	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.5

Scoring

Offense/Defense

MIA	Scoring	NE
17	G	17
12	RshTD	16
22	RecTD	27
37	FGM	30
41	FGA	35
20.3	Pts/G	24.5

Defense/Offense

MIA	Scoring	NE
17	G	17
12	RshTD	11
22	RecTD	18
36	FGM	26
42	FGA	33
21.4	Pts/G	17.0

Team Advanced Defense

MIA	Defense	NE
23.6%	Bltz%	25.4%
8.2%	Hrry%	7.3%
7.5%	QB Hit%	6.2%
20.6%	QB Prss%	17.6%

Open

Current

Book

MIA

Consensus

-2.0 -113

+2.0 -110

-2.0 -113

+2.0 -108

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-1.5 -105

+1.5 -110

-1.5 -105

+1.5 -115

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Open

Current

Book

MIA

Consensus

-130

+108

-132

+111

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-125

+105

-130

+110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

45.0 -110

46.5 -111

46.5 -110

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44.5 -110

46.5 -108

46.5 -112

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45.5 -110

46.5 -110

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45.0 -110

46.0 -110

—-

45.0 -110

46.0 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

45.5 -110

46.5 -105

46.5 -115

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Brandon Jones	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/14/23
Cedrick Wilson Jr.	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Connor Williams	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/14/23
De'Von Achane	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/14/23
Elijah Campbell	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Jaelan Phillips	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Jalen Ramsey	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Jaylen Waddle	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/15/23
Jeff Wilson Jr.	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Julian Hill	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Keion Crossen	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Kelvin Joseph	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Nik Needham	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Raheem Mostert	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/15/23
Robert Jones	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Skylar Thompson	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Terron Armstead	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Xavien Howard	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/14/23
Zeke Vandenburgh	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Ameer Speed	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Anfernee Jennings	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Cody Davis	SS	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Cole Strange	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
David Andrews	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/15/23
DeVante Parker	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Isaiah Bolden	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Jack Jones	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Jonathan Jones	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Kayshon Boutte	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Matt Corral	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Mike Onwenu	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Raekwon McMillan	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Riley Reiff	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Sam Roberts	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Sidy Sow	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Tre Nixon	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Trent Brown	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Trey Flowers	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23
Tyquan Thornton	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/17/23

Betting Trends

MIA	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
26	Avg Score	22
24.67	Avg Opp Score	27
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
29.33	Avg Score	20.33
30.33	Avg Opp Score	22.67

MIA	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-5-0
23.8	Avg Score	21.6
24.6	Avg Opp Score	26.6
AWAY		HOME
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
26.8	Avg Score	16.2
29.2	Avg Opp Score	19

MIA	Betting Trends	NE
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
25.1	Avg Score	20.7
24.3	Avg Opp Score	20.9
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
24.9	Avg Score	22.6
30.5	Avg Opp Score	17.8

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
01/01/23	MIA NE	41.5 -3	+134 -158	0 7	7 0	7 9	7 7	21 23
09/11/22	NE MIA	46 -3	+141 -168	0 3	0 14	7 3	0 0	7 20
01/09/22	NE MIA	41 6.5	-267 +219	0 14	7 3	3 7	14 9	24 33
09/12/21	MIA NE	43.5 -3.5	+153 -184	7 0	3 10	7 3	0 3	17 16
12/20/20	NE MIA	40.5 1	-117 -103	0 0	6 0	3 7	3 15	12 22
09/13/20	MIA NE	41.5 -7.5	+282 -367	0 0	3 7	0 7	8 7	11 21
12/29/19	MIA NE	45 -17	+831 -1488	3 0	7 10	7 7	10 7	27 24
09/15/19	NE MIA	48.5 18	-1430 +850	7 0	6 0	10 0	20 0	43 0
12/09/18	NE MIA	49.5 9.5	-420 +375	6 7	21 14	0 7	6 6	33 34
09/30/18	MIA NE	50.5 -6.5	+255 -280	0 3	0 21	0 7	7 7	7 38

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/05/25	MIA NYJ	13 22	26.5 -1.3	32:04 27:56	15-91 15-79	17-28-134 15-25-173
12/29/24	MIA CLE	23 4	-3.4 36.8	30:41 29:19	31-84 32-129	25-29-233 27-53-183
12/22/24	SF MIA	17 29	-1.5 44.7	26:54 33:06	18-82 30-169	26-41-298 22-35-218
12/15/24	MIA HOU	1 2	0.3 16.0	33:24 26:36	2-18 2-26	3-14-59 2-3-36
12/08/24	NYJ MIA	19 23	3.4 32.7	31:02 32:53	15-60 14-32	19-28-229 24-34-238
11/28/24	MIA GB	11 19	1.4 30.4	33:04 26:56	6-25 16-73	24-29-215 13-18-176
11/24/24	NE MIA	11 26	4.3 34.4	27:56 32:04	16-65 18-49	17-29-138 22-30-233
11/17/24	LV MIA	2 10	13.4 -2.5	26:48 33:12	2-18 2-25	3-13-82 3-11-83
11/11/24	MIA LAR	24 16	2.2 52.1	29:48 30:12	23-70 19-74	21-29-180 34-48-270
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/05/25	BUF NE	11 15	24.5 1.4	28:46 31:14	22-87 20-52	12-22-87 15-20-156
12/28/24	LAC NE	45 9	46.9 7.7	40:34 19:26	42-166 23-109	29-45-318 15-27-96
12/22/24	NE BUF	21 24	14.2 48.8	30:57 29:03	30-128 28-175	22-37-257 16-29-154
12/15/24	NE ARI	2 10	0.7 16.0	25:52 34:08	3-40 11-56	2-3-67 3-11-80
12/01/24	IND NE	16 15	26.3 1.0	25:48 34:12	22-92 20-128	5-15-70 15-19-142
11/24/24	NE MIA	11 26	4.3 34.4	27:56 32:04	16-65 18-49	17-29-138 22-30-233
11/17/24	LAR NE	3 2	13.0 0.4	22:40 37:20	2-33 3-38	2-3-91 3-12-79
11/10/24	NE CHI	20 3	6.6 39.4	32:28 27:32	37-151 21-77	16-26-194 17-32-73
11/03/24	NE TEN	12 14	26.2 -2.4	29:09 38:44	14-76 27-115	20-28-128 14-23-161
10/27/24	NYJ NE	32 37	-10.3 60.4	29:34 30:26	41-165 46-165	25-41-330 27-44-200

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Tags: miami dolphins, New England Patriots

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