Miami Dolphins VS Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023

Jay Sanin on November 2nd, 2023

Dolphins +1.5 (-110) +105

Chiefs -1.5 (-110) -125

Chiefs -1.5 (-110) over Dolphins

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Dolphins +1.5 (-110) +105

Chiefs -1.5 (-110) -125

The Chiefs are way better on defense than the Dolphins, which should be the deciding factor in this game from Germany.
The Dolphins have failed their two major tests this season against the Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles and should fail this test as well.

Look for the Kansas City Chiefs to impress in the Dolphins vs Chiefs matchup from Frankfurt in Germany on Sunday morning. The Chiefs should win and cover the point spread thanks to a defense that ranks second in the league in scoring defense, giving up just 16.1 points per game on the year so far. Kansas City should send the Dolphins to their third defeat of the year against a Super Bowl contender, as the Dolphins have already lost to the Bills and Eagles away from home.

NFL

Nov 05, 2023 09:30 AM

Miami Dolphins

Kansas City Chiefs

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.0/-110

+1.0/-110

44% MIA

KC 56%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-111

-110

39% MIA

KC 61%

Total Pick Consensus

51.5/-110

55% UN

OV 45%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

MIA	Team Stats	KC
10	G	10
181	PTs	191
18.1	PPG	19.1
3190	YDS	2975
319	YDS/G	297.5
18	TD	22
1.8	TD/G	2.2
35.6	SC%	37.1
10.6	TO%	9.3

Defense/Offense

MIA	Team Stats	KC
10	G	10
221	PTs	240
22.1	PPG	24
3080	YDS	3379
308	YDS/G	337.9
20	TD	26
2	TD/G	2.6
41.9	SC%	44.9
8.6	TO%	14.3

Passing

Offense/Defense

MIA	Passing	KC
216	CMP	218
317	ATT	330
68.1	CMP%	66.1
197	YDS/GM	212.2
6.8	Y/A	6.7
5.8	NY/A	6.1
5	INT	6
25	SK	19

Defense/Offense

MIA	Passing	KC
204	CMP	239
317	ATT	344
64.4	CMP%	69.5
199	YDS/GM	226.5
6.6	Y/A	7.0
6.0	NY/A	6.2
6	INT	11
17	SK	22

Rushing

Offense/Defense

MIA	Rushing	KC
10	G	10
292	ATT	236
1220	YDS	853
122.0	Y/G	85.3
4.2	Y/A	3.6
8	TD	8
0.8	TD/G	0.8

Defense/Offense

MIA	Rushing	KC
10	G	10
250	ATT	289
1090	YDS	1114
109.0	Y/G	111.4
4.4	Y/A	3.9
10	TD	11
1	TD/G	1.1

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

MIA	Special Teams	KC
15	Punts/Ret	14
159	Punt/Yds	164
10.6	Punt/Y/R	11.7
10	Kick Off/Ret	10
278	Kick Off/Yds	293
27.8	Kick Off/Y/rt	29.3

Defense/Offense

MIA	Special Teams	KC
10	Punts/Ret	17
119	Punt/Yds	199
11.9	Punt/Y/R	11.7
12	Kick Off/Ret	11
284	Kick Off/Yds	275
23.7	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.0

Scoring

Offense/Defense

MIA	Scoring	KC
10	G	10
8	RshTD	8
10	RecTD	14
19	FGM	14
23	FGA	18
18.1	Pts/G	19.1

Defense/Offense

MIA	Scoring	KC
10	G	10
10	RshTD	11
10	RecTD	15
24	FGM	18
28	FGA	20
22.1	Pts/G	24.0

Team Advanced Defense

MIA	Defense	KC
23.3%	Bltz%	34.7%
7.5%	Hrry%	10.1%
7.3%	QB Hit%	13.6%
19.0%	QB Prss%	27.0%

Open

Current

Book

MIA

Consensus

+2.5 +100

-2.5 -120

+2.5 -110

-2.5 -112

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+3.0 -110

-3.0 -105

+2.5 -110

-2.5 -110

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Open

Current

Book

MIA

Consensus

+126

-150

+119

-143

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+120

-145

+115

-140

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

51.5 -110

50.5 -110

50.5 -111

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51.5 -110

51.0 -105

51.0 -115

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51.5 -110

50.5 -112

50.5 -108

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$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

51.5 -110

50.5 -110

—-

51.5 -110

50.5 -110

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50.5 -115

50.5 -105

50.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alec Ingold	FB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Brandon Jones	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Braxton Berrios	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Chris Brooks	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Connor Williams	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
De'Von Achane	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Durham Smythe	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Erik Ezukanma	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Isaiah Wynn	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jalen Ramsey	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Jaylen Waddle	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Jevon Holland	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/01/23
Justin Bethel	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Keion Crossen	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kelvin Joseph	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nik Needham	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Raheem Mostert	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
River Cracraft	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Robbie Chosen	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Robert Hunt	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Skylar Thompson	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Terron Armstead	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/04/23
Xavien Howard	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Zeke Vandenburgh	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
BJ Thompson	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Cole Christiansen	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jerick McKinnon	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Jody Fortson	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Justin Watson	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Justyn Ross	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kadarius Toney	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
L'Jarius Sneed	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Malik Herring	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Mike Caliendo	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Mike Edwards	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Nazeeh Johnson	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Neil Farrell	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nick Bolton	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Patrick Mahomes	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Prince Tega Wanogho	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Richie James	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Skyy Moore	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Tommy Townsend	P	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Willie Gay	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Betting Trends

MIA	Betting Trends	KC
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
30	Avg Score	19.67
23	Avg Opp Score	16.33
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	3-0-0
20.33	Avg Score	30.33
32	Avg Opp Score	11.67

MIA	Betting Trends	KC
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
28.2	Avg Score	21.8
26.6	Avg Opp Score	17.8
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	4-1-0
25.6	Avg Score	26.8
32.8	Avg Opp Score	15.2

MIA	Betting Trends	KC
OVERALL		OVERALL
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	8-2-0
8-2-0	ATS W/L/P	7-3-0
31.3	Avg Score	24.8
24.4	Avg Opp Score	18.4
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	9-1-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
24.7	Avg Score	26.5
30.7	Avg Opp Score	15.7

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
12/13/20	KC MIA	51 7.5	-325 +263	0 7	14 3	16 0	3 17	33 27
12/24/17	MIA KC	43.5 -11	+450 -525	3 3	10 17	0 3	0 6	13 29
09/21/14	KC MIA	43 -5.5	N/A N/A	0 0	14 3	7 12	13 0	34 15
11/06/11	MIA KC	40.5 -4.5	N/A N/A	7 3	7 0	14 0	3 0	31 3
12/21/08	MIA KC	37.5 3.5	N/A N/A	10 7	14 21	7 3	7 0	38 31
11/12/06	KC MIA	40 -1	N/A N/A	0 3	0 10	0 0	10 0	10 13
10/21/05	KC MIA	43 -1	N/A N/A	7 0	7 6	10 7	6 7	30 20
09/29/02	MIA KC	44 3	N/A N/A	7 10	9 14	7 7	7 17	30 48
10/05/97	KC MIA	40 -3	N/A N/A	0 7	14 7	0 0	0 3	14 17
12/11/95	KC MIA	44 -3.5	N/A N/A	0 6	0 7	0 0	6 0	6 13

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	LV MIA	2 10	13.4 -2.5	26:48 33:12	2-18 2-25	3-13-82 3-11-83
11/11/24	MIA LAR	24 16	2.2 52.1	29:48 30:12	23-70 19-74	21-29-180 34-48-270
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159
10/27/24	ARI MIA	41 40	68.5 -6.6	29:29 30:31	38-121 37-221	38-53-452 41-56-334
10/20/24	MIA IND	4 6	1.2 27.4	31:11 28:49	25-117 23-96	6-16-93 4-15-80
10/06/24	MIA NE	5 3	20.5 0.6	34:20 25:40	23-107 11-84	6-17-99 6-19-82
09/30/24	TEN MIA	42 16	4.5 50.2	34:52 25:08	54-190 40-142	16-28-137 19-29-104
09/22/24	MIA SEA	1 12	20.3 -2.0	28:32 31:28	4-32 11-49	5-16-68 13-17-132
09/12/24	BUF MIA	39 13	62.3 -3.2	23:41 36:19	33-137 43-177	17-24-177 32-50-269
09/08/24	JAX MIA	3 4	20.8 -1.5	26:50 33:10	11-54 10-34	2-4-58 4-16-134

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	KC BUF	2 3	0.3 14.4	25:57 34:03	2-24 3-32	2-10-56 3-12-80
11/10/24	DEN KC	15 17	44.7 -7.4	26:39 33:21	24-82 20-60	23-32-191 29-44-256
11/04/24	TB KC	17 21	4.0 31.4	25:10 40:42	13-66 24-86	16-21-130 23-30-179
10/27/24	KC LV	40 29	63.3 12.5	32:30 27:30	43-121 31-49	40-56-371 35-44-287
10/20/24	KC SF	17 11	29.5 -1.6	35:04 24:56	24-114 15-63	6-17-90 11-19-130
10/07/24	NO KC	4 14	1.5 23.9	20:04 39:56	5-26 22-77	11-19-97 16-22-178
09/29/24	KC LAC	23 13	55.6 12.6	29:08 30:52	35-135 32-74	25-39-305 21-36-226
09/22/24	KC ATL	11 4	-1.5 22.7	34:57 25:03	16-62 12-40	13-19-106 5-14-112
09/15/24	CIN KC	32 33	60.4 -8.3	31:29 28:31	28-94 41-189	29-46-313 23-32-174
09/05/24	BAL KC	4 11	19.3 -1.3	33:43 26:17	13-78 4-30	11-17-112 4-12-118

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