Miami Dolphins VS Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023

Jay Sanin on November 2nd, 2023

Dolphins +1.5 (-110) +105

Chiefs -1.5 (-110) -125

Chiefs -1.5 (-110) over Dolphins

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Dolphins +1.5 (-110) +105

Chiefs -1.5 (-110) -125

The Chiefs are way better on defense than the Dolphins, which should be the deciding factor in this game from Germany.
The Dolphins have failed their two major tests this season against the Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles and should fail this test as well.

Look for the Kansas City Chiefs to impress in the Dolphins vs Chiefs matchup from Frankfurt in Germany on Sunday morning. The Chiefs should win and cover the point spread thanks to a defense that ranks second in the league in scoring defense, giving up just 16.1 points per game on the year so far. Kansas City should send the Dolphins to their third defeat of the year against a Super Bowl contender, as the Dolphins have already lost to the Bills and Eagles away from home.

NFL

Nov 05, 2023 09:30 AM

Miami Dolphins

Kansas City Chiefs

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.0/-110

+1.0/-110

44% MIA

KC 56%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-111

-110

39% MIA

KC 61%

Total Pick Consensus

51.5/-110

51.5/-110

55% UN

OV 45%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

MIA	Team Stats	KC
14	G	14
276	PTs	259
19.7	PPG	18.5
4537	YDS	4297
324.1	YDS/G	306.9
28	TD	29
2	TD/G	2.1
38.4	SC%	35.3
11.0	TO%	10.8

Defense/Offense

MIA	Team Stats	KC
14	G	14
312	PTs	329
22.3	PPG	23.5
4320	YDS	4708
308.6	YDS/G	336.3
28	TD	34
2	TD/G	2.4
41.5	SC%	44.4
8.2	TO%	9.9

Passing

Offense/Defense

MIA	Passing	KC
344	CMP	303
490	ATT	464
70.2	CMP%	65.3
222.6	YDS/GM	215
6.9	Y/A	6.9
5.9	NY/A	6.1
8	INT	10
35	SK	32

Defense/Offense

MIA	Passing	KC
292	CMP	337
448	ATT	504
65.2	CMP%	66.9
205	YDS/GM	224.1
6.9	Y/A	6.7
6.0	NY/A	5.8
7	INT	11
28	SK	35

Rushing

Offense/Defense

MIA	Rushing	KC
14	G	14
368	ATT	327
1420	YDS	1287
101.4	Y/G	91.9
3.9	Y/A	3.9
9	TD	11
0.6	TD/G	0.8

Defense/Offense

MIA	Rushing	KC
14	G	14
337	ATT	391
1450	YDS	1570
103.6	Y/G	112.1
4.3	Y/A	4.0
12	TD	12
0.9	TD/G	0.9

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

MIA	Special Teams	KC
22	Punts/Ret	22
213	Punt/Yds	227
9.7	Punt/Y/R	10.3
21	Kick Off/Ret	23
582	Kick Off/Yds	669
27.7	Kick Off/Y/rt	29.1

Defense/Offense

MIA	Special Teams	KC
18	Punts/Ret	26
202	Punt/Yds	260
11.2	Punt/Y/R	10.0
15	Kick Off/Ret	20
386	Kick Off/Yds	542
25.7	Kick Off/Y/rt	27.1

Scoring

Offense/Defense

MIA	Scoring	KC
14	G	14
9	RshTD	11
19	RecTD	18
28	FGM	20
32	FGA	27
19.7	Pts/G	18.5

Defense/Offense

MIA	Scoring	KC
14	G	14
12	RshTD	12
16	RecTD	22
33	FGM	29
38	FGA	33
22.3	Pts/G	23.5

Team Advanced Defense

MIA	Defense	KC
24.0%	Bltz%	33.4%
9.1%	Hrry%	9.2%
7.6%	QB Hit%	12.7%
21.6%	QB Prss%	26.3%

Open

Current

Book

MIA

Consensus

+2.5 +100

-2.5 -120

+2.5 -110

-2.5 -112

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+3.0 -110

-3.0 -105

+2.5 -110

-2.5 -110

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Open

Current

Book

MIA

Consensus

+126

-150

+119

-143

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+120

-145

+115

-140

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

51.5 -110

50.5 -110

50.5 -111

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51.5 -110

51.0 -105

51.0 -115

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51.5 -110

50.5 -112

50.5 -108

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51.5 -110

50.5 -110

—-

51.5 -110

50.5 -110

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50.5 -115

50.5 -105

50.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alec Ingold	FB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Brandon Jones	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Braxton Berrios	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Chris Brooks	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Connor Williams	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
De'Von Achane	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Durham Smythe	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Erik Ezukanma	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Isaiah Wynn	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jalen Ramsey	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Jaylen Waddle	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Jevon Holland	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/01/23
Justin Bethel	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Keion Crossen	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kelvin Joseph	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nik Needham	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Raheem Mostert	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
River Cracraft	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Robbie Chosen	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Robert Hunt	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Skylar Thompson	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Terron Armstead	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/04/23
Xavien Howard	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Zeke Vandenburgh	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
BJ Thompson	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Cole Christiansen	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Jerick McKinnon	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Jody Fortson	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Justin Watson	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Justyn Ross	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kadarius Toney	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
L'Jarius Sneed	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Malik Herring	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Mike Caliendo	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Mike Edwards	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Nazeeh Johnson	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Neil Farrell	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nick Bolton	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Patrick Mahomes	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Prince Tega Wanogho	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Richie James	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Skyy Moore	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Tommy Townsend	P	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Willie Gay	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Betting Trends

MIA	Betting Trends	KC
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
30	Avg Score	19.67
23	Avg Opp Score	16.33
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	3-0-0
20.33	Avg Score	30.33
32	Avg Opp Score	11.67

MIA	Betting Trends	KC
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
28.2	Avg Score	21.8
26.6	Avg Opp Score	17.8
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	4-1-0
25.6	Avg Score	26.8
32.8	Avg Opp Score	15.2

MIA	Betting Trends	KC
OVERALL		OVERALL
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	8-2-0
8-2-0	ATS W/L/P	7-3-0
31.3	Avg Score	24.8
24.4	Avg Opp Score	18.4
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	9-1-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
24.7	Avg Score	26.5
30.7	Avg Opp Score	15.7

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
12/13/20	KC MIA	51 7.5	-325 +263	0 7	14 3	16 0	3 17	33 27
12/24/17	MIA KC	43.5 -11	+450 -525	3 3	10 17	0 3	0 6	13 29
09/21/14	KC MIA	43 -5.5	N/A N/A	0 0	14 3	7 12	13 0	34 15
11/06/11	MIA KC	40.5 -4.5	N/A N/A	7 3	7 0	14 0	3 0	31 3
12/21/08	MIA KC	37.5 3.5	N/A N/A	10 7	14 21	7 3	7 0	38 31
11/12/06	KC MIA	40 -1	N/A N/A	0 3	0 10	0 0	10 0	10 13
10/21/05	KC MIA	43 -1	N/A N/A	7 0	7 6	10 7	6 7	30 20
09/29/02	MIA KC	44 3	N/A N/A	7 10	9 14	7 7	7 17	30 48
10/05/97	KC MIA	40 -3	N/A N/A	0 7	14 7	0 0	0 3	14 17
12/11/95	KC MIA	44 -3.5	N/A N/A	0 6	0 7	0 0	6 0	6 13

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
12/15/24	MIA HOU	1 2	0.3 16.0	33:24 26:36	2-18 2-26	3-14-59 2-3-36
12/08/24	NYJ MIA	19 23	3.4 32.7	31:02 32:53	15-60 14-32	19-28-229 24-34-238
11/28/24	MIA GB	11 19	1.4 30.4	33:04 26:56	6-25 16-73	24-29-215 13-18-176
11/24/24	NE MIA	11 26	4.3 34.4	27:56 32:04	16-65 18-49	17-29-138 22-30-233
11/17/24	LV MIA	2 10	13.4 -2.5	26:48 33:12	2-18 2-25	3-13-82 3-11-83
11/11/24	MIA LAR	24 16	2.2 52.1	29:48 30:12	23-70 19-74	21-29-180 34-48-270
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159
10/27/24	ARI MIA	41 40	68.5 -6.6	29:29 30:31	38-121 37-221	38-53-452 41-56-334
10/20/24	MIA IND	4 6	1.2 27.4	31:11 28:49	25-117 23-96	6-16-93 4-15-80
10/06/24	MIA NE	5 3	20.5 0.6	34:20 25:40	23-107 11-84	6-17-99 6-19-82

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
12/15/24	KC CLE	2 1	-1.4 14.1	31:37 28:23	12-45 2-48	2-14-62 2-12-44
12/08/24	LAC KC	12 14	2.3 30.9	30:53 29:07	17-68 18-69	15-22-139 17-27-145
11/29/24	LV KC	11 12	5.5 27.2	31:12 28:48	16-74 10-40	15-22-204 17-29-171
11/24/24	KC CAR	23 20	-8.3 32.5	32:16 27:44	20-125 16-64	20-28-171 16-26-188
11/17/24	KC BUF	2 3	0.3 14.4	25:57 34:03	2-24 3-32	2-10-56 3-12-80
11/10/24	DEN KC	15 17	44.7 -7.4	26:39 33:21	24-82 20-60	23-32-191 29-44-256
11/04/24	TB KC	17 21	4.0 31.4	25:10 40:42	13-66 24-86	16-21-130 23-30-179
10/27/24	KC LV	40 29	63.3 12.5	32:30 27:30	43-121 31-49	40-56-371 35-44-287
10/20/24	KC SF	17 11	29.5 -1.6	35:04 24:56	24-114 15-63	6-17-90 11-19-130
10/07/24	NO KC	4 14	1.5 23.9	20:04 39:56	5-26 22-77	11-19-97 16-22-178

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