Another chapter in the Westgate SuperContest has come to a close. ODBMG2 has joined the hallowed hall of SuperContest champions with a record of 54-26-5 and a total of 56.5 points. The margin of victory was 1.5 points over Yugo77, who finished second despite a 2-3 week.
We went into Week 17 wondering how much drama there would be. ODBMG2 was only a half-point ahead of Yugo77, but 3.5 points clear of the third-place entries. Barring a complete meltdown, it looked to be a two-team race and, as it turns out, those entries did finish first and second.
For taking down the SuperContest crown, the team of David Baker and Mark Gregovich will share $435,623.20. It is the smallest grand prize in the SuperContest since 2011, but something tells me that those two gentlemen won’t really let that bother them. After all, it is a pretty good return on investment for the $1,500 buy-in.
The ODBMG team also finished tied for second in the Circa Sports Million to take down another $200,000 in that contest a few miles north in downtown Las Vegas.
For finishing second, Yugo77 will get $117,736 for going 54-29-2 with 55 points. CosmoKramer picked a great time to rattle off a 5-0 to vault into solo third place with a record of 53-30-2 and a point total of 54. CosmoKramer was tied for 10th heading into the weekend, but a move up to third went from chopping $58,868 three ways to winning that amount outright. Talk about a huge weekend!
Tribe Ojibwa, Invisible, and Goosbumps tied for fourth with 53 points and identical 51-30-4 records. Those three entries will chop $132,453 for $44,151 each. WalterFootball.com, DFleming 221, and CapenJ tied for seventh with 52.5 points and identical 51-31-3 records. Those three entries will chop $94,188 and change to come away with $31,396.27 each.
Tourist and Houston 69 tied for 10th with 52 points. With the decreased number of entries, the increased quarter prizes, and the 8% Admin Fee, only the top 50 plus ties turned a profit relative to the $1,500 buy-in, even though the top 100 plus ties make the money.
The cutoff for the top 50 wound up being 49.5 points and the cutoff for the top 100 was 47.5 points with a multi-way tie for 99th. In all, 117 entrants cashed in this year’s SuperContest.
With only 1,172 entrants, that means that just shy of 10% of the field cashed this year. This was the smallest field since 2013. There are a lot of factors that played a part in why the Westgate SuperContest fell well short of expectations in terms of entries. Adjustments will have to be made in order to not fall further behind the Circa Sports Million.
Like so many others, we decided to focus our energies and dollars on the Circa Million instead of the SuperContest. It will be interesting to see going forward if that winds up being the case. A lot of players don’t like the 8% Admin Fee, viewing it as a rake. When you consider that the SuperContest buy-in is also $500 richer, you have a lot of people that are making what seems to be an easy choice.
In any event, we’ll leave that discussion for another day, but by the way it has been discussed on a semi-weekly basis in this article, it is a really interesting talking point going into the 2021 season.
Here are the Week 17 and final 2020 results in the SuperContest:
Wins | Losses | Ties | Win Percentage | |
Week 1 | 2939 | 2640 | 276 | 52.68% |
Week 2 | 3131 | 2719 | 53.52% | |
Week 3 | 2689 | 3146 | 46.08% | |
Week 4 | 2488 | 2896 | 451 | 46.21% |
Week 5 | 3372 | 2463 | 57.79% | |
Week 6 | 3115 | 2715 | 53.43% | |
Week 7 | 3008 | 2362 | 445 | 56.01% |
Week 8 | 2815 | 2990 | 48.49% | |
Week 9 | 2556 | 3259 | 43.96% | |
Week 10 | 2620 | 2649 | 521 | 49.72% |
Week 11 | 2037 | 3753 | 35.18% | |
Week 12 | 2779 | 2991 | 48.16% | |
Week 13 | 2891 | 2834 | 50.50% | |
Week 14 | 2787 | 2893 | 49.07% | |
Week 15 | 2038 | 2181 | 1451 | 48.31% |
Week 16 | 2683 | 2564 | 313 | 51.13% |
Week 17 | 2724 | 2453 | 208 | 52.62% |
YTD Totals | 46672 | 47508 | 3665 | 49.56% |
It was a solid finishing week for the field at 52.62%, but not strong enough to get over 50% for the season. The top-five consensus went 2-3, though Washington did cover as the overwhelming top choice on the board. With that 2-3 ending, the top-five consensus finished the season at 42-41-3, with that pesky tie in Week 10 when the two teams split coming in as an extra game. There was another week in which two teams tied for #5 in picks, but both lost, so I counted it as one loss.
Basically, the top-five consensus wound up right around .500 in the SuperContest. The Bears were a top-five pick this week, but they were only picked three more times than the Packers, so that was a really nominal loss in a lot of ways.
The consensus was 7-8-1 in the final week to finish at 117-128-9 for the season.
There were 72 entrants that decided to put up $5,000 in the rake-free, winner-take-all SuperContest Gold. BrettFavre 444, a well-known contest player and professional bettor, won the $360,000 in that event with a record of 54-27-4 and a total of 56 points. The late winner on Washington was just icing on the cake to win by two points over Invisible 1.
WalterFootball.com! finished a distant third with 51.5 points, followed by Iced Tea 2 with 51 and Good Men with 50.
Here are the Week 17 and final 2020 results in the SuperContest Gold:
Wins | Losses | Ties | Win Percentage | |
Week 1 | 193 | 152 | 15 | 55.94% |
Week 2 | 213 | 147 | 59.17% | |
Week 3 | 161 | 199 | 44.72% | |
Week 4 | 156 | 182 | 22 | 46.15% |
Week 5 | 205 | 155 | 56.94% | |
Week 6 | 236 | 124 | 63.78% | |
Week 7 | 201 | 139 | 20 | 59.12% |
Week 8 | 178 | 182 | 49.44% | |
Week 9 | 161 | 199 | 44.72% | |
Week 10 | 178 | 146 | 36 | 54.94% |
Week 11 | 125 | 235 | 34.72% | |
Week 12 | 193 | 162 | 54.37% | |
Week 13 | 156 | 194 | 44.57% | |
Week 14 | 161 | 179 | 47.35% | |
Week 15 | 111 | 120 | 94 | 48.05% |
Week 16 | 165 | 145 | 15 | 53.23% |
Week 17 | 190 | 113 | 12 | 62.71% |
YTD Totals | 2983 | 2773 | 214 | 51.82% |
A monster Week 17 from the Gold field. The top 13 sides went 10-3. The top-five consensus was only 3-2, but it was still a week in which the teams that failed to cover were not very popular at all. It is not the least bit surprising to see a much sharper record from the Gold field compared to the traditional. The $5,000 buy-in is cost-prohibitive for more of the recreational entrants that jump in the contest and the winner-take-all format is not nearly as appealing.
Here are the Week 17 results, lines, and picks counts:
1 Washington 348 (consensus #1)
2 Eagles* (+2.5) 147
3 Colts* 117 PUSH
4 Jaguars (+14) 91
5 Packers 249
6 Bears* (+5.5) 252 (consensus #5)
7 Cowboys 298 (consensus #2)
8 Giants (+1.5) 178
9 Browns* 109
10 Steelers (+9) 187
11 Titans 174
12 Texans* (+7.5) 171
13 Saints 121
14 Panthers* (+6.5) 265 (consensus #4)
15 Patriots* 115
16 Jets (+3) 168
17 Vikings 109
18 Lions* (+6.5) 89
19 Buccaneers* 167
20 Falcons (+6.5) 129
21 Ravens 290 (consensus #3)
22 Bengals* (+12.5) 67
23 Bills* 214
24 Dolphins (+2.5) 149
25 Chargers 167
26 Chiefs* (+3.5) 74
27 Seahawks 181
28 49ers (+6) 122
29 Raiders 115
30 Broncos* (+2.5) 131
31 Cardinals 216
32 Rams* (+2.5) 175
Consensus record: 7-8-1
Top-five consensus record: 2-3
YTD consensus record: 117-128-9
YTD top-five consensus record: 42-41-3
Thanks for following all along this season. We’ll pick it back up again in September!