Bills -3 (EVEN) over Chiefs
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- Buffalo is 7-2 at home this season and comes into this game on a six-game winning streak.
- Patrick Mahomes has never played a road playoff game in the NFL and the Chiefs have zero wins against playoff teams on the road this year.
The marquee game of the weekend in the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs is Chiefs vs Bills from Orchard Park. These teams have become familiar foes both in the regular season and playoffs over the last few years. This time around, the winner between them will go to the AFC Championship Game, while the loser will see their season come to an end.
Our pick to advance to the AFC Championship Game out of this matchup is the Buffalo Bills, who we like to cover the spread as three-point favorites. Buffalo is on fire coming into this game, having won six games in a row, including games against the Chiefs, Cowboys, and Dolphins. They are 7-2 at home on the year and should continue to operate an elite level in front of the Bills Mafia in this game.
On the other side, there are some serious questions to be answered by the Kansas City Chiefs on the road coming into this contest. The Chiefs have played just one team on the road this season that ended up in the NFL playoffs. That team was the Green Bay Packers, who beat the Chiefs at Lambeau Field. This is the first career playoff road game for Patrick Mahomes and that is cause for concern for Kansas City going into Sunday.
In their previous meeting this season, the Buffalo Bills did not trail against the Kansas City Chiefs. While there is no guarantee that will be the case again in this postseason matchup, the advantage in this Chiefs vs Bills game is squarely with the hosts. Look for Buffalo to move one step closer to their first Super Bowl appearance since their four straight losses in the big game back in the 1990s.
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Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/OffenseNFL
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
Team Stats
Passing
KC
Passing
BUF
239 CMP 257 344 ATT 373 69.5 CMP% 68.9 226.5 YDS/GM 210 7.0 Y/A 6.7 6.2 NY/A 5.8 11 INT 13 22 SK 27
KC
Passing
BUF
218 CMP 219 330 ATT 342 66.1 CMP% 64.0 212.2 YDS/GM 226.1 6.7 Y/A 7.5 6.1 NY/A 7.0 6 INT 5 19 SK 13 Rushing
KC
Rushing
BUF
10 G 11 289 ATT 270 1114 YDS 1310 111.4 Y/G 119.1 3.9 Y/A 4.9 11 TD 6 1.1 TD/G 0.5
KC
Rushing
BUF
10 G 11 236 ATT 307 853 YDS 1311 85.3 Y/G 119.2 3.6 Y/A 4.3 8 TD 18 0.8 TD/G 1.6 Special Teams
KC
Special Teams
BUF
17 Punts/Ret 15 199 Punt/Yds 129 11.7 Punt/Y/R 8.6 11 Kick Off/Ret 11 275 Kick Off/Yds 349 25.0 Kick Off/Y/rt 31.7
KC
Special Teams
BUF
14 Punts/Ret 20 164 Punt/Yds 243 11.7 Punt/Y/R 12.2 10 Kick Off/Ret 11 293 Kick Off/Yds 300 29.3 Kick Off/Y/rt 27.3 Scoring
KC
Scoring
BUF
10 G 11 11 RshTD 6 15 RecTD 16 18 FGM 15 20 FGA 17 24.0 Pts/G 19.5
KC
Scoring
BUF
10 G 11 8 RshTD 18 14 RecTD 18 14 FGM 19 18 FGA 22 19.1 Pts/G 29.1 Team Advanced Defense
KC
Defense
BUF
34.7% Bltz% 18.1% 10.1% Hrry% 7.5% 13.6% QB Hit% 9.9% 27.0% QB Prss% 22.9% Injuries
Name
Position
Injury
Status
Updated
BJ Thompson DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Bryan Cook S Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Cam Jones LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Charles Omenihu DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Deon Bush DB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Derrick Nnadi DT Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Donovan Smith OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Ekow Boye-Doe CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Felix Anudike-Uzomah DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Gerrit Prince TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Jerick McKinnon RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Jody Fortson TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Justyn Ross WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Kadarius Toney WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 L'Jarius Sneed CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/19/24 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Nazeeh Johnson S Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Neil Farrell DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Nick Bolton LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Noah Gray TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Prince Tega Wanogho OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Rashee Rice WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Skyy Moore WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Wanya Morris OL Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Willie Gay LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24
Name
Position
Injury
Status
Updated
Alec Anderson OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Baylon Spector LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Christian Benford CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Damien Harris RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Gabe Davis WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Jordan Phillips DT Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Josh Allen QB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Justin Shorter WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Matt Milano LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Micah Hyde S Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Nyheim Hines RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Poona Ford DT Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Rasul Douglas CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Sam Martin P Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Stefon Diggs WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/19/24 Taron Johnson CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Taylor Rapp S Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Terrel Bernard LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Tommy Doyle OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Tre'Davious White CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Tyrel Dodson LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/19/24 Zach Davidson TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/21/24 Betting Trends
KC
Betting Trends
BUF
OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-0-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-1-0 21.33 Avg Score 26.33 12 Avg Opp Score 17.33 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-0-0 1-1-1 ATS W/L/P 2-1-0 19.67 Avg Score 29.67 18.67 Avg Opp Score 16
KC
Betting Trends
BUF
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-0-0 3-1-1 ATS W/L/P 3-2-0 21 Avg Score 26.8 14.6 Avg Opp Score 16.8 AWAY HOME 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 4-1-0 2-2-1 ATS W/L/P 3-2-0 19.8 Avg Score 28.6 19.4 Avg Opp Score 15.6
KC
Betting Trends
BUF
OVERALL OVERALL 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 7-3-0 5-4-1 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 21 Avg Score 26 17.2 Avg Opp Score 19.2 AWAY HOME 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 8-2-0 6-3-1 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 23.5 Avg Score 28.7 19.4 Avg Opp Score 16 Head to Head
Teams Last 10