Chiefs +3.5 (-118) over Ravens
DraftKings Sportsbook
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
- There is a huge experience edge for the Chiefs on this stage, as this is their sixth straight year in the AFC Championship Game.
- Lamar Jackson threw for just 152 yards last week. He will need to move the ball through the air in this game, but has never proven he can do that in the postseason.
On Sunday afternoon, the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens will square off in the AFC Championship Game from Baltimore. The Ravens come into this game as favorites and as the top-seed in the AFC. But the Kansas City Chiefs will look to prove that they can win on the road in the playoffs once again after doing so in Buffalo last week. Here, we make our pick for Chiefs vs Ravens in a legacy-defining game for both teams.
Our expectation for this game is for the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the spread as a 3.5-point underdog on the road. A big reason for that is the experience that the Chiefs have on this stage, something the Ravens do not have with their current nucleus. This is the sixth straight year that Patrick Mahomes has led the Chiefs to the AFC Championship Game, while it is the first time Lamar Jackson has reached this point.
On top of the Chiefs’ edge in experience, there is also the fact that we do not know if Lamar Jackson can deliver with his arm in a game like this one. Jackson did not have to throw the ball much against an overmatched Houston Texans team last week. Against a Chiefs team with the best scoring defense in football, Jackson may not be able to scramble and hand the ball off to achieve victory in this game.
Kansas City has been an underdog just twice this season, including last week’s win over the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional round. They have covered the spread in both of those spots, something we expect to happen again in this game, as the Ravens will experience some growing pains in their first AFC title game with Lamar Jackson as their starting quarterback.
Click here to sign up for the ATS email newsletter to get our best bets every week!
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
KC | Passing | BAL |
---|---|---|
421 | CMP | 384 |
635 | ATT | 634 |
66.3 | CMP% | 60.6 |
246.4 | YDS/GM | 191.9 |
6.9 | Y/A | 5.9 |
6.3 | NY/A | 4.7 |
17 | INT | 18 |
28 | SK | 60 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Passing | BAL |
---|---|---|
340 | CMP | 328 |
556 | ATT | 494 |
61.2 | CMP% | 66.4 |
176.5 | YDS/GM | 213.8 |
6.0 | Y/A | 7.9 |
4.9 | NY/A | 6.8 |
8 | INT | 7 |
57 | SK | 41 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
KC | Rushing | BAL |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
417 | ATT | 415 |
1784 | YDS | 1860 |
104.9 | Y/G | 109.4 |
4.3 | Y/A | 4.5 |
9 | TD | 6 |
0.5 | TD/G | 0.4 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Rushing | BAL |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
432 | ATT | 541 |
1925 | YDS | 2661 |
113.2 | Y/G | 156.5 |
4.5 | Y/A | 4.9 |
10 | TD | 26 |
0.6 | TD/G | 1.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
KC | Special Teams | BAL |
---|---|---|
41 | Punts/Ret | 32 |
380 | Punt/Yds | 433 |
9.3 | Punt/Y/R | 13.5 |
12 | Kick Off/Ret | 20 |
241 | Kick Off/Yds | 459 |
20.1 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.0 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Special Teams | BAL |
---|---|---|
20 | Punts/Ret | 29 |
207 | Punt/Yds | 417 |
10.4 | Punt/Y/R | 14.4 |
11 | Kick Off/Ret | 13 |
311 | Kick Off/Yds | 319 |
28.3 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 24.5 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
KC | Scoring | BAL |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
9 | RshTD | 6 |
28 | RecTD | 18 |
33 | FGM | 32 |
35 | FGA | 35 |
21.8 | Pts/G | 16.5 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Scoring | BAL |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 26 |
19 | RecTD | 27 |
22 | FGM | 32 |
26 | FGA | 37 |
17.3 | Pts/G | 28.4 |
Team Advanced Defense
KC | Defense | BAL |
---|---|---|
32.9% | Bltz% | 21.9% |
9.8% | Hrry% | 3.8% |
10.8% | QB Hit% | 8.7% |
27.8% | QB Prss% | 19.5% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
BJ Thompson | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Blaine Gabbert | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Bryan Cook | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Cam Jones | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Charles Omenihu | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Derrick Nnadi | DT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Ekow Boye-Doe | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Felix Anudike-Uzomah | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Gerrit Prince | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Isiah Pacheco | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Jerick McKinnon | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Jody Fortson | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Joe Thuney | G | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Joshua Williams | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Kadarius Toney | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Keith Taylor Jr. | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
L'Jarius Sneed | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Mike Edwards | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Nazeeh Johnson | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Prince Tega Wanogho | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Rashee Rice | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Skyy Moore | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Trent McDuffie | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Trey Smith | G | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Wanya Morris | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Willie Gay | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Vorhees | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Damarion Williams | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Daryl Worley | DB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
David Ojabo | OLB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Del'Shawn Phillips | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Jalyn Armour-Davis | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
J.K. Dobbins | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Josh Johnson | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Keaton Mitchell | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Kevon Seymour | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Malik Cunningham | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Malik Hamm | OLB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Mark Andrews | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Marlon Humphrey | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Nick Moore | LS | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Rock Ya-Sin | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Sam Mustipher | C | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Trayvon Mullen | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Tylan Wallace | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Tyus Bowser | OLB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Betting Trends
KC | Betting Trends | BAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
22 | Avg Score | 33.33 |
14.33 | Avg Opp Score | 15.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
2-0-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
22.33 | Avg Score | 33.33 |
17.67 | Avg Opp Score | 15.33 |
KC | Betting Trends | BAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
21 | Avg Score | 31.2 |
16 | Avg Opp Score | 14.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
3-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
23.4 | Avg Score | 34.2 |
19.4 | Avg Opp Score | 19.4 |
KC | Betting Trends | BAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
5-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
21.6 | Avg Score | 31.5 |
18.2 | Avg Opp Score | 16.9 |
AWAY | HOME | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
23.1 | Avg Score | 32.1 |
20.5 | Avg Opp Score | 17 |