The Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs have both reached the Divisional playoff round in the AFC. Kansas City did so by getting a first round bye, while the Jaguars needed an historic comeback to remain alive in the postseason. These teams will kick off the second round of the playoffs on Saturday afternoon. In our NFL playoff picks for the Divisional round, we look at Jaguars vs Chiefs from Kansas City.
Jaguars vs Chiefs Betting Pick
|ℹ️ The Pick:||Chiefs -8.5|
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This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium at 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, January 21, 2023.
Why Bet the Chiefs:
✅ Jacksonville came back from 27-0 down to beat the Chargers in the Wild Card round. But they did fall behind by 27 points before that comeback, and the Chiefs will not be as forgiving as the Chargers were.
✅ These teams played at Arrowhead Stadium earlier this season, with the Chiefs winning that game by 10 points. Patrick Mahomes threw four touchdown passes, and the Chiefs will remain dominant over their opponents from Duval County.
✅ The Jaguars are 4-5 straight up and against the spread on the road this season. They did the majority of their damage at home this year, and will not summon any magic to pull a second straight playoff upset.
Kansas City Chiefs
Team Advanced Defense
|16.33||Avg Opp Score||15.67|
|9.33||Avg Opp Score||14.67|
|17.2||Avg Opp Score||19.8|
|19||Avg Opp Score||15.6|
|22.2||Avg Opp Score||19.7|
|24.6||Avg Opp Score||21.8|
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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The Jacksonville Jaguars come into the Divisional round riding high after an incredible comeback in the Wild Card round. They were down 27-0 in the first half against the Los Angeles Chargers, and stormed back to win the game 31-30, scoring 31 of the final 34 points in the game. Here, the Jaguars will hope to build on the momentum from that game with an upset of the Chiefs, but they will know that they cannot afford a similar start.
For the Jaguars, the key to this game will be how quarterback Trevor Lawrence handles the pressure of his first career road playoff start. Lawrence is no stranger to playing in and winning big games given his collegiate resume. But he made a series of bad decisions early in his first playoff start against the Chargers, and Jacksonville cannot afford the same to start this contest in a hostile environment.
Kansas City Chiefs
Wild Card weekend saw the Kansas City Chiefs inactive, as they enjoyed the first round bye they earned by finishing as the number one seed in the AFC. They return to action this week at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars, with the question being whether the Chiefs can avoid any rust from having this past week off.
Kansas City needs to stop the run if they want to enjoy a victory over the Jaguars as straightforward as the one they earned in the regular season. In that game, the Chiefs held the Jags to just 75 rushing yards as a team, with Travis Etienne held to 45 yards on the ground. If they can make the Jaguars one-dimensional, the Chiefs could be well on their way to the AFC Championship Game.
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