Our NFL Week 12 Same Game Parlay picks at ATS begin with previews of the Thanksgiving slate, including a New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys matchup. Both teams are poised to make the playoffs via the NFC Wild Card but this Thanksgiving game is crucial if either team wants to catch the Philadelphia Eagles for the NFC East crown.
Both the Cowboys and Giants sit at 7-3 on the season, a bit of a surprise to some given the low expectations in New York and the fact Dallas had to start Cooper Rush for about a month at quarterback. Yet, both teams come into Thanksgiving feeling good about the direction they are headed as the playoff push begins across the NFL.
NFL betting odds list the Giants as heavy +10 underdogs against the spread against the Cowboys. The total is set at 45.5.
|Pick 1||New York Giants +10.5 (-125)|
|Pick 2||Saquon Barkley Over 72.5 Rushing Yards (-130)|
|Pick 3||Dak Prescott Over 257.5 Passing Yards (-110)|
|Giants vs Cowboys Parlay Odds||+500 (Bet $20 to win $100)|
New York Giants
Team Advanced Defense
|Adoree' Jackson||CB||Knee (mcl)||Out||11/24/22|
|Darrian Beavers||ILB||Knee (acl)||Out||11/24/22|
|Marcus McKethan||OL||Knee (acl)||Out||11/24/22|
|Markquese Bell||S||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/24/22|
|Takk McKinley||DE||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/24/22|
|Will Grier||QB||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/24/22|
|Dante Fowler Jr.||DE||Illness||Questionable||11/24/22|
|24.67||Avg Opp Score||21|
|22||Avg Opp Score||15|
|22.2||Avg Opp Score||19|
|23||Avg Opp Score||16.2|
|20.4||Avg Opp Score||16.7|
|25.6||Avg Opp Score||18.2|
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
Pick 1: New York Giants +10.5 (-125)
The New York Giants enter this game coming off one of their worst performances of the season in a blowout loss to the lowly Detroit Lions. The G-Men also lost the first meeting against the Cowboys earlier this season 23-16 with Cooper Rush at quarterback for Dallas. So it makes sense why they are double digit underdogs going into Thanksgiving.
However, ten points is a lot of cushion and the Giants have been over performing to their expectations all season. The Giants have won a ton of games as underdogs and have shocked the likes of the Baltimore Ravens and Green Bay Packers already this season playing the underdog role.
The Giants are also well set up to exploit the Cowboys defense that is loaded on secondary talent but is ranked 26th in rush defense. If Saquon Barkley can move the chains on the ground, the Giants should keep this one close.
Pick 2: Saquon Barkley Over 72.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
Barkley failed to exploit a favorable matchup last week when was held to a season low 22 yards against the Detroit Lions and the second worst run defense in the league.
The good news for Barkley is he has another favorable matchup to bounce back against the Cowboys mediocre run defense. Barkley had 81 yards and a touchdown in the first meeting with the Cowboys, numbers that would be good enough to cash the over on his yardage prop if he can repeat them on Thursday afternoon.
Barkley bounced back well from his previous season low. When he was held to 53 yards by the Seahawks, he exploded for 152 yards two weeks later.
Pick 3: Dak Prescott Over 257.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Prescott was balling last week in the blowout win over the Vikings to lead the Dallas Cowboys to their most lopsided road win in their history. The now healthy Prescott had the second-highest completion rate of his career at 88% (22/25) and put up 276 yards in the 40-3 win.
Those numbers likely would have been higher if the Cowboys weren’t so far in front by the time the fourth quarter came around. Against a Giants team that just lost a key player in the secondary in Adoree’ Jackson, Prescott should have another big statistical game to continue his stellar post-injury play.
Giants vs Cowboys Preview
The Giants will be without three starters in the offensive line in center Jon Feliciano along with the rookie pair of right tackle Evan Neal and left guard Josh Ezeudu. Those absences are huge for the Giants, who will need some big performances from backups to overcome the Cowboys pass rush.
Micah Parsons will hope a weakened offensive line can allow him to have a big day on Thanksgiving. Parsons has five multi-sack games but the Giants are one of the rare teams to hold him without a sack this season.
The Cowboys and Giants have played 121 times previously but this is just the second time the two NFC East will play on Thanksgiving. Dallas blew out the Giants in that only meeting, winning 30-3 way back in 1992.
Dak Prescott has won nine consecutive games against the Giants. The only two losses Prescott has been handed by New York came in his rookie year as the Dallas quarterback has tormented the Giants for his entire career.