On Saturday night, we get a tantalizing matchup in the NFL Wild Card round. The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Miami Dolphins in a rematch of their game from Germany earlier in the season, with plenty of star power on both sides looking to help their team get to the Divisional round. Here, we make our NFL betting picks for this massive matchup, with our best Dolphins vs Chiefs props.
Dolphins vs Chiefs Player Prop #1: Tua Tagovailoa Under 230.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The first of our Dolphins vs Chiefs Props for Saturday night is the under on Tua Tagovailoa’s passing yards. Tagovailoa has been great for so much of this season, making the over on a number like this one tempting to most bettors. But a deeper dive would suggest that he is going to struggle in this game against the defending Super Bowl champions.
First, bettors should consider the weather going into this game. Temperatures are expected to be well below zero when the wind chill is factored in. While this may not be the most important factor, it will make it tougher for quarterbacks to grip the ball and deliver accurate strikes. Combine that with the Dolphins playing against one of the best defensive teams in the NFL and we should see Tagovailoa struggle a bit in this matchup.
Dolphins vs Chiefs Player Prop #2: Patrick Mahomes Under 28.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
We are taking another quarterback under in this game as well. Patrick Mahomes will stay under his rushing yardage total in this matchup, thanks in large part to the injury situation surrounding the Miami Dolphins. Bradley Chubb is out and the pass rush for the Dolphins is decimated coming into the playoffs. That should allow Mahomes time to be the pocket passer that he needs to be in order for the Chiefs to have success.
Another reason we have added this to our list of Dolphins vs Chiefs props for Saturday is Mahomes’ injury history in the playoffs. He has hurt himself scrambling or taking hits in multiple postseasons, which has made things tougher for the Chiefs late in the playoffs than they would have been otherwise. Expect Mahomes to stay clean in the pocket in this game to avoid complications down the road for him and his team.
