Lions +7 (-110) over 49ers
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- The 49ers struggled out of the gates in the playoffs, barely squeaking by the Green Bay Packers, and Deebo Samuel’s injury will not help them this week either.
- Detroit’s pass rush should be able to pressure Brock Purdy and make things tougher than usual on him.
This year’s NFC Championship Game is a true David vs Goliath battle, as the San Francisco 49ers host the Detroit Lions in Santa Clara. The top-seeded 49ers have been fixtures at the top of the NFC in recent years, while this is the first time since 1991 that the Lions have won a postseason game. Here, we make our prediction for Lions vs 49ers and break down the keys to this massive contest for the NFC title.
While the 49ers are at home and have been dominant throughout this season, winning 11 games by double-digits, we are taking the seven points with the underdog Detroit Lions. A big reason for that is the injury to Deebo Samuel that kept him out of last week’s Divisional playoff win over the Green Bay Packers. While Samuel should play in some capacity this week, he is not at 100% and that should do some major harm to the 49ers offense.
Another detriment to the San Francisco offense will be the pass rush of the Detroit Lions. Detroit has been getting pressure consistently in the playoffs so far, something that should continue this weekend. If they can hurry Brock Purdy into some rushed throws, the typically efficient 49ers offense could run into the same roadblocks they did last week against Green Bay.
While the Niners as a whole have more playoff experience than the Lions right now, the Lions have the edge in the quarterback experience department. Jared Goff has made it to a Super Bowl and has won an NFC Championship Game before, while Purdy was not able to play for the entirety of last year’s NFC title game due to injury. While the Niners should win this game, we will take the points with a Detroit team looking to shock the world.
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NFL
Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
DET | Passing | SF |
---|---|---|
408 | CMP | 410 |
606 | ATT | 621 |
67.3 | CMP% | 66.0 |
258.9 | YDS/GM | 214.2 |
7.6 | Y/A | 6.4 |
6.9 | NY/A | 5.4 |
12 | INT | 22 |
31 | SK | 48 |
Defense/Offense
DET | Passing | SF |
---|---|---|
371 | CMP | 336 |
588 | ATT | 491 |
63.1 | CMP% | 68.4 |
247.4 | YDS/GM | 257.9 |
7.8 | Y/A | 9.3 |
6.7 | NY/A | 8.4 |
16 | INT | 12 |
41 | SK | 34 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
DET | Rushing | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
500 | ATT | 369 |
2311 | YDS | 1525 |
135.9 | Y/G | 89.7 |
4.6 | Y/A | 4.1 |
27 | TD | 10 |
1.6 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
DET | Rushing | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
408 | ATT | 499 |
1509 | YDS | 2389 |
88.8 | Y/G | 140.5 |
3.7 | Y/A | 4.8 |
15 | TD | 27 |
0.9 | TD/G | 1.6 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
DET | Special Teams | SF |
---|---|---|
29 | Punts/Ret | 22 |
331 | Punt/Yds | 220 |
11.4 | Punt/Y/R | 10.0 |
19 | Kick Off/Ret | 32 |
421 | Kick Off/Yds | 746 |
22.2 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.3 |
Defense/Offense
DET | Special Teams | SF |
---|---|---|
21 | Punts/Ret | 34 |
168 | Punt/Yds | 273 |
8.0 | Punt/Y/R | 8.0 |
27 | Kick Off/Ret | 20 |
563 | Kick Off/Yds | 437 |
20.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 21.9 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
DET | Scoring | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
27 | RshTD | 10 |
30 | RecTD | 20 |
19 | FGM | 29 |
21 | FGA | 33 |
27.1 | Pts/G | 17.5 |
Defense/Offense
DET | Scoring | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
15 | RshTD | 27 |
28 | RecTD | 33 |
26 | FGM | 21 |
30 | FGA | 25 |
23.2 | Pts/G | 28.9 |
Team Advanced Defense
DET | Defense | SF |
---|---|---|
28.7% | Bltz% | 18.0% |
11.2% | Hrry% | 5.4% |
12.2% | QB Hit% | 10.0% |
28.2% | QB Prss% | 21.0% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Anzalone | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Brock Wright | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Brodric Martin | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Charles Harris | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Chase Lucas | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Emmanuel Moseley | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Frank Ragnow | C | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Halapoulivaati Vaitai | G | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Hendon Hooker | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
James Houston | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
James Mitchell | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Jermar Jefferson | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Jerry Jacobs | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Jonah Jackson | G | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Josh Reynolds | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Kalif Raymond | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Matt Nelson | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Mohamed Ibrahim | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Nate Sudfeld | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Sam LaPorta | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Scott Daly | LS | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Shane Zylstra | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Steven Gilmore | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Tracy Walker III | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Zonovan Knight | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ambry Thomas | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Arik Armstead | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Brandon Allen | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Cameron Latu | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Clelin Ferrell | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Curtis Robinson | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Danny Gray | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Deebo Samuel | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/24 |
Drake Jackson | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Dre Greenlaw | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
George Odum | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/25/24 |
Jalen Graham | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Jason Verrett | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Kalia Davis | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Matt Pryor | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Nick Zakelj | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Oren Burks | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Ronnie Bell | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Ross Dwelley | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Samuel Womack III | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Talanoa Hufanga | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Tayler Hawkins | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Willie Snead IV | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/24 |
Betting Trends
DET | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
28.33 | Avg Score | 23.67 |
22 | Avg Opp Score | 17.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
20.67 | Avg Score | 21 |
24 | Avg Opp Score | 25 |
DET | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
26.8 | Avg Score | 27 |
22 | Avg Opp Score | 22.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-5-0 |
27.2 | Avg Score | 23.6 |
27.6 | Avg Opp Score | 21 |
DET | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
27.5 | Avg Score | 29.7 |
23.8 | Avg Opp Score | 17.9 |
AWAY | HOME | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
23.7 | Avg Score | 26.1 |
23.8 | Avg Opp Score | 18.6 |