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December 27th, 2022

Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders NFL Week 17 Pick 1/1/23

Jay Sanin Jay Sanin

The Cleveland Browns and Washington Commanders are both in last place in their respective divisions going into Week 17. But the Commanders are still holding onto a playoff spot going into the final two weeks of the regular season. Here, they will look for a win at home against a Browns team that has struggled mightily on the offensive side of the ball. In our NFL picks for Sunday, we break down Browns vs Commanders in a huge game in the NFC playoff picture.

Browns vs Commanders Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Commanders -2.5
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This game will be played at FedEx Field at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, January 1, 2023.

Why Bet The Commanders:

✅ Washington’s defense is set to be the difference maker in this game. They rank fourth in the NFL in total defense, and they will take advantage of the fact that Deshaun Watson and the Browns have struggled to move the ball since his return.

✅ Watson has thrown for 200 or more yards just once in his four games since coming back from his suspension. He has more interceptions than touchdowns, and the Commanders will shut him down once again this week.

✅ The Browns are an abysmal 2-5 on the road this season, and their struggles on the road will not subside this week.

The Pick: Commanders -2.5

Caesars Sportsbook
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NFL

Jan 01, 2023 01:00 PM

Cleveland Browns

VS

Washington Football Team

Matchup Odds Injuries Trends

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-110
Caesars
-1.5/-110

42% CLE

WAS 58%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+103
BetMGM
-122

46% CLE

WAS 54%

Total Pick Consensus

41.5/-110
DraftKings
41.5/-110

52% UN

OV 48%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

CLE Team Stats WAS
4G17
76PTs434
19PPG25.5
1265YDS6108
316.2YDS/G359.3
7TD48
1.8TD/G2.8
29.4SC%42.4
19.6TO%10.7

Defense/Offense

CLE Team Stats WAS
4G17
60PTs335
15PPG19.7
787YDS5502
196.8YDS/G323.6
5TD34
1.2TD/G2
17.6SC%34.6
5.9TO%13.4

Passing

Offense/Defense

CLE Passing WAS
84CMP400
138ATT597
60.9CMP%67.0
172.5YDS/GM254.9
5.8Y/A7.6
4.5NY/A6.8
5INT11
16SK38

Defense/Offense

CLE Passing WAS
57CMP356
106ATT550
53.8CMP%64.7
125YDS/GM202.4
5.6Y/A6.8
4.2NY/A5.8
1INT15
12SK43

Rushing

Offense/Defense

CLE Rushing WAS
4G17
131ATT430
575YDS1775
143.8Y/G104.4
4.4Y/A4.1
3TD14
0.8TD/G0.8

Defense/Offense

CLE Rushing WAS
4G17
89ATT477
287YDS2061
71.8Y/G121.2
3.2Y/A4.3
2TD13
0.5TD/G0.8

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

CLE Special Teams WAS
8Punts/Ret27
50Punt/Yds244
6.3Punt/Y/R9.0
1Kick Off/Ret30
26Kick Off/Yds643
26.0Kick Off/Y/rt21.4

Defense/Offense

CLE Special Teams WAS
8Punts/Ret16
98Punt/Yds134
12.3Punt/Y/R8.4
6Kick Off/Ret36
110Kick Off/Yds904
18.3Kick Off/Y/rt25.1

Scoring

Offense/Defense

CLE Scoring WAS
4G17
3RshTD14
4RecTD34
8FGM27
9FGA29
19.0Pts/G25.5

Defense/Offense

CLE Scoring WAS
4G17
2RshTD13
3RecTD21
4FGM28
5FGA33
15.0Pts/G19.7

Team Advanced Defense

CLE Defense WAS
29.5%Bltz%31.0%
4.1%Hrry%10.2%
18.9%QB Hit%9.2%
30.3%QB Prss%24.2%
  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE
WAS
CLE
WAS
Consensus
+1.5 -112
-1.5 -110
+1.0 -112
-1.0 -109
Draftkings

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+1.5 -110
-1.5 -110
+1.5 -110
-1.5 -110
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+1.5 -115
-1.5 -110
+1.5 -115
-1.5 -105
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+1.5 -112
-1.5 -109
+1.0 -112
-1.0 -109
Caesars

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-1.5 -110
+1.5 -110
+1.0 -110
-1.0 -110
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+2.0 -110
-2.0 -107
+1.5 -110
-1.5 -110
BetMGM

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+2.5 -110
-2.5 -110
+1.5 -110
-1.5 -110
Open
Current
Book
CLE
WAS
CLE
WAS
Consensus
+100
-119
+103
-122
Draftkings

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+100
-120
+100
-120
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+100
-118
+102
-120
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+100
-121
+105
-120
Caesars

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+110
-130
+100
-120
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+110
-130
+105
-125
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+115
-140
+100
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
41.5 -110
41.5 -112
Draftkings

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42.5 -110
42.5 -110
41.5 -110
41.5 -110
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40.5 -110
40.5 -110
41.5 -106
41.5 -114
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42.0 -112
42.0 -109
41.5 -109
41.5 -112
Caesars

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42.5 -110
42.5 -110
41.0 -110
41.0 -110
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41.5 -107
41.5 -107
41.5 -110
41.5 -110
BetMGM

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39.5 -110
39.5 -110
41.5 -110
41.5 -110

Injuries

Cleveland Browns Washington Football Team
Name Position Injury Status Updated
Anthony SchwartzWRConcussionOut01/01/23
Anthony Walker Jr.LBQuadOut01/01/23
Ben StilleDLGameday InactiveOut01/01/23
Chris HubbardOTGameday Inactive1Out01/01/23
Chris OdomLBKnee (acl)Out01/01/23
Dawson DeatonGAclOut01/01/23
Demetric Felton Jr.RBIllnessOut01/01/23
Isaiah ThomasDEGameday InactiveOut01/01/23
Isaiah WestonWRKneeOut01/01/23
Jacob PhillipsLBPectoralOut01/01/23
Jakeem Grant Sr.WRAchillesOut01/01/23
Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLBFootOut01/01/23
Jesse JamesTEBicepsOut01/01/23
Joe HaegOTConcussionOut01/01/23
Jordan KunaszykLBHandOut01/01/23
Kellen MondQBGaemday InactiveOut01/01/23
Michael DunnGBackOut01/01/23
Nick HarrisCKneeOut01/01/23
Sione TakitakiLBKnee (acl)Out01/01/23
Stephen WeatherlyDEKneeOut01/01/23
Thomas Graham Jr.CBGameday InactiveOut01/01/23
Tommy TogiaiDTGameday Inactive1Out01/01/23
Amari CooperWRHipQuestionable12/30/22
Jedrick Wills Jr.OTBackQuestionable12/30/22
John Johnson IIISThighQuestionable12/30/22
Denzel WardCBShoulderProbable12/29/22
Jadeveon ClowneyDEConcussionProbable01/01/23
Jordan ElliottDTElbowProbable12/29/22
Kareem HuntRBShoulderProbable12/29/22
Wyatt TellerGAnkleProbable12/29/22
Name Position Injury Status Updated
Antonio GibsonRBFoot/kneeOut01/01/23
Benjamin St-JusteCBAnkleOut01/01/23
Chase RoullierCKneeOut01/01/23
Chris PaulGGameday InactiveOut01/01/23
Cole HolcombLBFootOut01/01/23
James Smith-WilliamsDEConcussionOut01/01/23
J.D. McKissicRBNeckOut01/01/23
Jon BosticLBPectoralOut01/01/23
Kamren CurlSAnkleOut01/01/23
Nolan LaufenbergGUndisclosedOut01/01/23
Phidarian MathisDTTorn MeniscusOut01/01/23
Saahdiq CharlesOTConcussionOut01/01/23
Sam HowellQBGameday InactiveOut01/01/23
Tyler LarsenCKneecapOut01/01/23
Armani RogersTEKneeQuestionable01/01/23
Curtis HodgesTEThighQuestionable01/01/23
Darrick ForrestSIllnessQuestionable12/30/22
Tariq Castro-FieldsCBKneeQuestionable01/01/23
Wes SchweitzerGIllnessQuestionable12/30/22
Andrew NorwellGShoulderProbable12/30/22
Brian Robinson Jr.RBQuadProbable12/29/22
Chase YoungDEIllnessProbable12/30/22
Christian HolmesCBAnkleProbable01/01/23
Percy ButlerSHipProbable01/01/23
Shaka ToneyDEAnkleProbable12/30/22

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
CLE Betting Trends WAS
OVERALLOVERALL
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie0-2-1
1-2-0ATS W/L/P0-3-0
11Avg Score17.33
14.33Avg Opp Score25.67
AWAYHOME
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie1-2-0
1-1-1ATS W/L/P1-1-1
20Avg Score16
22.67Avg Opp Score17.67
CLE Betting Trends WAS
OVERALLOVERALL
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-2-1
3-2-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
16.6Avg Score18.8
14.8Avg Opp Score20
AWAYHOME
1-4-0Win/Loss/Tie2-3-0
2-2-1ATS W/L/P2-2-1
19.4Avg Score17.6
26Avg Opp Score19
CLE Betting Trends WAS
OVERALLOVERALL
4-6-0Win/Loss/Tie6-3-1
5-4-1ATS W/L/P6-3-1
19Avg Score19.5
21.8Avg Opp Score18.5
AWAYHOME
2-8-0Win/Loss/Tie4-6-0
4-5-1ATS W/L/P5-4-1
18.9Avg Score17.7
24.3Avg Opp Score20.3

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
09/27/20
WAS
CLE
45
-7
+262
-327
7
0
0
17
13
0
0
17
0
0
20
34
10/02/16
CLE
WAS
47.5
-7.5
+275
-350
0
14
17
3
3
0
0
14
0
0
20
31
12/16/12
WAS
CLE
40.5
-4
N/A
N/A
7
7
3
7
14
0
14
7
0
0
38
21
10/19/08
CLE
WAS
42.5
-7
N/A
N/A
0
0
0
0
3
7
8
7
0
0
11
14
10/03/04
WAS
CLE
35
3
N/A
N/A
3
3
7
0
0
7
3
7
0
0
13
17
10/13/91
CLE
WAS
36.5
-13.5
N/A
N/A
7
7
0
14
10
7
0
14
0
0
17
42
11/27/88
CLE
WAS
40.5
-1
N/A
N/A
0
0
3
0
0
10
14
3
0
0
17
13
10/27/85
WAS
CLE
36
-2.5
N/A
N/A
14
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
14
7

Teams Last 10

Cleveland Browns Washington Football Team
DATE TM SC LN TOP RA-YDS C-ATT-YDS
10/01/23
BAL
CLE
38
6
52.0
2.8
29:50
30:10
45-179
34-127
21-26-226
26-49-100
09/24/23
TEN
CLE
1
18
1.5
25.1
21:31
38:29
7-17
20-51
6-16-45
18-22-174
09/18/23
CLE
PIT
12
14
21.0
0.7
35:28
24:32
19-108
11-30
12-22-114
4-16-109
09/10/23
CIN
CLE
3
23
44.5
-0.5
24:10
35:50
19-72
38-197
13-31-64
15-28-138
01/08/23
CLE
PIT
12
24
33.8
-2.1
29:04
30:56
19-113
31-125
16-24-146
11-24-160
01/01/23
CLE
WAS
31
13
53.6
-1.3
26:28
33:32
39-189
48-176
12-23-200
21-36-160
12/24/22
NO
CLE
4
3
0.9
16.3
29:14
30:46
20-77
17-63
2-4-47
4-16-64
12/17/22
BAL
CLE
4
16
48.3
-3.7
26:52
33:08
34-242
40-175
21-37-154
22-34-171
12/11/22
CLE
CIN
2
10
0.8
20.7
31:52
28:08
11-31
11-60
11-19-120
4-15-100
12/04/22
CLE
HOU
39
20
66.3
10.7
32:16
27:44
54-248
31-117
17-31-185
29-56-287
DATE TM SC LN TOP RA-YDS C-ATT-YDS
01/08/23
DAL
WAS
4
22
34.2
5.3
23:48
36:12
23-54
35-127
12-32-100
8-16-133
01/01/23
CLE
WAS
31
13
53.6
-1.3
26:28
33:32
39-189
48-176
12-23-200
21-36-160
12/24/22
WAS
SF
10
19
1.7
19.0
33:35
26:25
17-40
13-78
13-17-137
4-11-111
12/18/22
NYG
WAS
24
15
49.6
-4.9
30:30
29:30
37-157
32-195
26-39-196
21-35-279
12/04/22
WAS
NYG
29
29
-2.9
57.8
41:11
28:49
51-235
43-191
39-58-351
36-44-260
11/27/22
ATL
WAS
5
12
26.0
-2.3
26:51
33:09
19-107
24-113
6-16-106
6-15-89
11/20/22
WAS
HOU
31
14
-4.1
55.7
34:56
25:04
54-208
22-29
20-37-260
26-45-173
11/14/22
WAS
PHI
18
12
3.6
24.7
40:24
19:36
28-87
12-54
6-17-102
6-15-98
11/06/22
MIN
WAS
25
21
54.0
4.6
29:13
30:47
27-70
37-170
29-51-304
19-35-156
10/30/22
WAS
IND
22
21
4.4
52.8
30:40
29:20
37-127
38-178
30-41-351
22-30-250
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Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns knocked themselves out of playoff contention by losing at home to the New Orleans Saints last week. Cleveland could not take advantage of the weather or the fact that the conditions suited their running game, losing a defensive struggle in the snow. Now the focus of the Browns will shift from trying to make the playoffs to trying to get Deshaun Watson going before this season ends.

Watson has been a disaster for the Browns since taking over at quarterback after his suspension ended. He has two touchdown passes in four games, throwing three interceptions over that span. If he does not do better over the next couple of weeks, there will be some loud questions about his viability going into next season.

Washington Commanders

The Washington Commanders lost their second straight game last week, faltering on the road against the San Francisco 49ers. For the second straight week, the Commanders offense was not adequate, which has dropped them to 7-7-1 on the season. Now, the Commanders control their own destiny for a playoff spot, but their grasp on the final Wild Card spot in the NFC is tenuous.

Washington has not won a game in a month going into this Week 17 contest, as they have lost two straight after tying the Giants three games ago. Taylor Heinicke has thrown five touchdowns to just one interception in that span, but the Commanders may need more than that from their quarterback to get an eighth win and give their playoff hopes a huge boost.

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Tags: Cleveland Browns, washington commanders
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