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January 9th, 2023

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Week 18 Pick 1/8/23

Jay Sanin Jay Sanin

The Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers will face off in an AFC North rivalry game. Cleveland is out of playoff contention, and simply looking to build something positive for next season, while the Steelers need a win and some help to get into the playoffs themselves. In our NFL betting picks for the final Sunday of the regular season, we look at this key Browns vs Steelers matchup.

Browns vs Steelers Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Steelers -3
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This game will be played at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, January 1, 2023.

Why Bet The Steelers:

✅ Pittsburgh has been on fire lately, winning three straight games to remain in playoff contention. They have found their running game with Najee Harris of late and will continue to do so en route to a win over Cleveland.

✅ Also key for the Steelers has been the clutch play of Kenny Pickett. Pickett has led game-winning drives in the fourth quarter in two straight games and his ability to perform in big moments will be beneficial to Pittsburgh here.

✅ Pittsburgh has been outperforming the point spread for most of this season. They are 9-6-1 against the number this season and they will get one last win against the number to keep their playoff hopes alive once again.

The Pick: Steelers -3

Caesars Sportsbook
Bet Now

NFL

Jan 08, 2023 01:00 PM

Cleveland Browns

VS

Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup Odds Injuries Trends

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-105
FanDuel
-2.5/-115

46% CLE

PIT 54%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+128
PointsBet
-152

42% CLE

PIT 58%

Total Pick Consensus

40.0/-110
RiversCasinoPA
40.0/-110

82% UN

OV 18%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

CLE Team Stats PIT
2G2
46PTs52
23PPG26
758YDS799
379YDS/G399.5
4TD5
2TD/G2.5
31.0SC%37.0
20.7TO%18.5

Defense/Offense

CLE Team Stats PIT
2G2
29PTs33
14.5PPG16.5
397YDS494
198.5YDS/G247
1TD2
0.5TD/G1
13.8SC%16.0
6.9TO%16.0

Passing

Offense/Defense

CLE Passing PIT
38CMP41
69ATT69
55.1CMP%59.4
177YDS/GM206.5
5.6Y/A6.6
4.5NY/A5.3
2INT1
9SK9

Defense/Offense

CLE Passing PIT
29CMP46
62ATT76
46.8CMP%60.5
133.5YDS/GM199
4.9Y/A6.0
4.0NY/A4.8
1INT3
4SK7

Rushing

Offense/Defense

CLE Rushing PIT
2G2
75ATT69
404YDS386
202.0Y/G193.0
5.4Y/A5.6
2TD2
1TD/G1

Defense/Offense

CLE Rushing PIT
2G2
41ATT31
130YDS96
65.0Y/G48.0
3.2Y/A3.1
0TD0
N/ATD/GN/A

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

CLE Special Teams PIT
3Punts/Ret3
15Punt/Yds41
5.0Punt/Y/R13.7
N/AKick Off/RetN/A
N/AKick Off/YdsN/A
N/AKick Off/Y/rtN/A

Defense/Offense

CLE Special Teams PIT
4Punts/Ret2
38Punt/Yds16
9.5Punt/Y/R8.0
3Kick Off/Ret4
45Kick Off/Yds91
15.0Kick Off/Y/rt22.8

Scoring

Offense/Defense

CLE Scoring PIT
2G2
2RshTD2
2RecTD3
5FGM5
6FGA6
23.0Pts/G26.0

Defense/Offense

CLE Scoring PIT
2G2
N/ARshTDN/A
1RecTD2
3FGM2
4FGA2
14.5Pts/G16.5

Team Advanced Defense

CLE Defense PIT
34.8%Bltz%36.1%
4.5%Hrry%18.1%
22.6%QB Hit%11.6%
31.8%QB Prss%38.6%
  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE
PIT
CLE
PIT
Consensus
+2.5 -107
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -107
-2.5 -115
Draftkings

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+1.0 -105
-1.0 -110
+2.5 -105
-2.5 -115
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+2.5 -102
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -102
-2.5 -120
BetRivers

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+2.5 -106
-2.5 -113
+2.5 -106
-2.5 -115
Caesars

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+1.0 -110
-1.0 -110
+2.5 -110
-2.5 -110
PointsBet

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+3.0 -120
-3.0 -105
+3.0 -120
-3.0 +100
BetMGM

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+3.0 -105
-3.0 -105
+2.5 -105
-2.5 -115
Open
Current
Book
CLE
PIT
CLE
PIT
Consensus
+105
-125
+128
-152
Draftkings

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+100
-120
+130
-150
FanDuel

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+110
-130
+134
-158
BetRivers

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+117
-143
+128
-148
Caesars

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+118
-140
+130
-155
PointsBet

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+125
-145
+130
-150
BetMGM

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+130
-155
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
37.5 -110
37.5 -110
40.0 -112
40.0 -110
Draftkings

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42.0 -110
42.0 -110
39.5 -110
39.5 -110
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37.5 -110
37.5 -110
39.5 -118
39.5 -104
BetRivers

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41.0 -109
41.0 -112
40.0 -112
40.0 -109
Caesars

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40.5 -110
40.5 -110
39.5 -110
39.5 -110
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40.5 -110
40.5 -110
40.0 -110
40.0 -110
BetMGM

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39.0 -110
39.0 -110
40.0 -110
40.0 -110

Injuries

Cleveland Browns Pittsburgh Steelers
Name Position Injury Status Updated
Anthony SchwartzWRConcussionOut01/08/23
Anthony Walker Jr.LBQuadOut01/08/23
Ben StilleDLGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Chris OdomLBKnee (acl)Out01/08/23
Dawson DeatonGAclOut01/08/23
Demetric Felton Jr.RBGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Isaiah ThomasDEFootOut01/08/23
Isaiah WestonWRKneeOut01/08/23
Jack ConklinOTAnkleOut01/08/23
Jacob PhillipsLBPectoralOut01/08/23
Jadeveon ClowneyDENon Injury Related (personal)Out01/08/23
Jakeem Grant Sr.WRAchillesOut01/08/23
Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLBFootOut01/08/23
Jesse JamesTEBicepsOut01/08/23
Joe HaegOTConcussionOut01/08/23
Jordan KunaszykLBHandOut01/08/23
Kellen MondQBGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Michael DunnGBackOut01/08/23
Nick HarrisCKneeOut01/08/23
Sione TakitakiLBKnee (acl)Out01/08/23
Stephen WeatherlyDEKneeOut01/08/23
Thomas Graham Jr.CBGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Amari CooperWRHipQuestionable01/06/23
D'Ernest JohnsonRBShoulderQuestionable01/06/23
Ethan PocicCIllnessQuestionable01/06/23
Denzel WardCBShoulderProbable01/08/23
Name Position Injury Status Updated
Anthony MillerWRShoulderOut01/08/23
Calvin Austin IIIWRFootOut01/08/23
Carlins PlatelDBUndisclosedOut01/08/23
Chris WormleyDLKneeOut01/08/23
Jeremy McNicholsRBShoulderOut01/08/23
Jonathan MarshallDLGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Karl JosephSAnkle/footOut01/08/23
Kendrick GreenCGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Malik ReedLBGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Marcus AllenLBBicepOut01/08/23
Mason RudolphQBGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Tae CrowderILBGameday InactiveOut01/08/23
Tre NorwoodDBHamstringOut01/08/23
Ahkello WitherspoonCBHamstringQuestionable01/08/23
Alex HighsmithLBAnkleQuestionable01/06/23
Arthur MauletCBIllnessQuestionable01/06/23
Larry OgunjobiDTToeQuestionable01/06/23
William JacksonCBBackQuestionable01/08/23
Diontae JohnsonWRHipProbable01/06/23
James PierreCBConcussionProbable01/05/23
Kevin DotsonOLShoulderProbable01/06/23
Minkah FitzpatrickSAnkleProbable01/08/23
Myles JackLBGroinProbable01/08/23

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
CLE Betting Trends PIT
OVERALLOVERALL
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P3-0-0
15.67Avg Score17.67
10Avg Opp Score13
AWAYHOME
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie1-2-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
20.33Avg Score19
15.67Avg Opp Score21
CLE Betting Trends PIT
OVERALLOVERALL
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P4-1-0
16.8Avg Score17.2
13.4Avg Opp Score14.2
AWAYHOME
2-3-0Win/Loss/Tie3-2-0
2-2-1ATS W/L/P3-2-0
20.2Avg Score19.4
23.4Avg Opp Score18.2
CLE Betting Trends PIT
OVERALLOVERALL
5-5-0Win/Loss/Tie6-4-0
6-3-1ATS W/L/P7-3-0
19.9Avg Score18.3
19Avg Opp Score18.6
AWAYHOME
3-7-0Win/Loss/Tie6-4-0
5-4-1ATS W/L/P6-3-1
20.3Avg Score19.6
23.7Avg Opp Score17.8

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
09/22/22
PIT
CLE
38
-4.5
+176
-210
0
7
14
6
0
3
3
13
0
0
17
29
01/03/22
CLE
PIT
43.5
1
-114
-105
0
0
0
10
7
3
7
13
0
0
14
26
10/31/21
PIT
CLE
43
-5.5
+179
-218
0
3
3
0
6
7
6
0
0
0
15
10
01/10/21
CLE
PIT
48.5
-5.5
+197
-242
28
0
7
10
0
13
13
14
0
0
48
37
01/03/21
PIT
CLE
44.5
-10
+368
-481
0
7
6
3
3
7
13
7
0
0
22
24
10/18/20
CLE
PIT
50
-3
+146
-175
0
10
7
14
0
7
0
7
0
0
7
38
12/01/19
CLE
PIT
40
1
-122
+101
3
0
7
10
0
7
3
3
0
0
13
20
11/14/19
PIT
CLE
41.5
-3
+133
-160
0
7
0
7
7
0
0
7
0
0
7
21
10/28/18
CLE
PIT
47.5
-9
+348
-390
6
0
0
14
6
9
6
10
0
0
18
33
09/09/18
PIT
CLE
41
3.5
-170
+160
0
0
7
0
14
7
0
14
0
0
21
21

Teams Last 10

Cleveland Browns Pittsburgh Steelers
DATE TM SC LN TOP RA-YDS C-ATT-YDS
09/18/23
CLE
PIT
12
14
21.0
0.7
35:28
24:32
19-108
11-30
12-22-114
4-16-109
09/10/23
CIN
CLE
3
23
44.5
-0.5
24:10
35:50
19-72
38-197
13-31-64
15-28-138
01/08/23
CLE
PIT
12
24
33.8
-2.1
29:04
30:56
19-113
31-125
16-24-146
11-24-160
01/01/23
CLE
WAS
31
13
53.6
-1.3
26:28
33:32
39-189
48-176
12-23-200
21-36-160
12/24/22
NO
CLE
4
3
0.9
16.3
29:14
30:46
20-77
17-63
2-4-47
4-16-64
12/17/22
BAL
CLE
4
16
48.3
-3.7
26:52
33:08
34-242
40-175
21-37-154
22-34-171
12/11/22
CLE
CIN
2
10
0.8
20.7
31:52
28:08
11-31
11-60
11-19-120
4-15-100
12/04/22
CLE
HOU
39
20
66.3
10.7
32:16
27:44
54-248
31-117
17-31-185
29-56-287
11/27/22
TB
CLE
11
15
-2.3
27.0
30:37
39:04
13-62
22-122
19-28-147
15-24-114
11/20/22
CLE
BUF
31
42
10.9
68.0
31:22
28:38
35-109
45-232
38-56-429
24-37-253
DATE TM SC LN TOP RA-YDS C-ATT-YDS
09/18/23
CLE
PIT
12
14
21.0
0.7
35:28
24:32
19-108
11-30
12-22-114
4-16-109
09/10/23
SF
PIT
29
6
-1.0
39.7
37:23
22:37
33-180
9-39
18-28-194
30-44-189
01/08/23
CLE
PIT
12
24
33.8
-2.1
29:04
30:56
19-113
31-125
16-24-146
11-24-160
01/01/23
PIT
BAL
21
17
0.8
45.9
34:14
25:46
53-256
36-155
19-35-198
18-27-155
12/24/22
LV
PIT
3
3
19.3
-1.3
27:21
32:39
5-29
14-54
4-15-73
13-20-124
12/18/22
PIT
CAR
29
20
4.5
45.3
36:11
23:49
55-191
20-26
21-27-207
17-28-230
12/11/22
BAL
PIT
3
3
16.1
-0.7
32:59
27:01
19-95
4-29
2-3-41
4-14-116
12/04/22
PIT
ATL
27
23
-1.4
61.3
32:55
27:05
53-220
40-208
23-40-281
19-34-228
11/28/22
PIT
IND
15
11
1.0
25.4
34:22
25:38
23-111
16-71
13-18-97
14-22-116
11/20/22
CIN
PIT
50
41
53.7
6.5
31:36
28:24
33-84
33-139
33-53-470
34-57-338
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Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns got a nice win last week, beating the Washington Commanders in a game Washington had to have in Week 17. Cleveland did more offensively than they had for most of Deshaun Watson’s time there, as Watson hit Amari Cooper for a couple of big plays to propel Cleveland to a win. Here, the Browns will look to play spoiler and ruin the postseason hopes of Pittsburgh.

For the Browns, finding more passing offense would be huge in this contest. Pittsburgh ranks seventh in the NFL against the run, and running the football may not be as easy as usual for the Browns. They will need Deshaun Watson to avoid pressure and make plays down the field again to have success against the Steelers.

Pittsburgh Steelers

In Week 17, the Pittsburgh Steelers got a huge win on Sunday Night Football over the Baltimore Ravens. Pittsburgh trailed by 10 points in that game, but scored 13 straight to end it, including a game-winning touchdown pass from Kenny Pickett to Najee Harris in the final two minutes of action. In this game, the Steelers defense will look to carry them to a win to help them reach the postseason.

Pittsburgh will also need losses by the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins if they want to make the playoffs. But focusing on their task on the field will be the only way to win this week. Specifically, stopping Nick Chubb and the Browns ground game will be the key to keeping their postseason hopes alive through their game and into the games of the AFC East teams they need to lose.

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Tags: Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers
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