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November 14th, 2022

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins NFL Week 10 Pick 11/13/22

Jay Sanin Jay Sanin

In what could be an exciting AFC contest, the Cleveland Browns and Miami Dolphins are slated to meet in Week 10 of the NFL season. Both of these teams have very different offensive styles, but both teams are very effective at doing what they do best when they are in possession of the ball. In our NFL predictions for this week, we look at the betting markets for Browns vs Dolphins and give our best bet for the game.

Browns vs Dolphins Betting Pick

The Pick: Over 48.5

Caesars Sportsbook
Bet Now

This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 13, 2022.

Why Bet The Over:

✅ The two defenses in this game are simply not very good, which is going to be a big factor here. Both defenses have allowed 24.9 points per game so far this season, ranking in the bottom-10. We should see this game hit the 50-point mark in South Florida.

✅ Both teams have specific components to their offenses that make them hard to stop. For the Browns, it is their elite rushing attack. For the Dolphins, it is the passing game. In both cases, these teams are very good offensively, and will move the ball using their strengths from start to finish.

✅ The Browns are 5-2-1 to the over so far this season. That is the best over percentage in the NFL through Week 9. Despite their reputation as a team that likes to move the ball methodically with the run, they are both capable of scoring and giving up big point totals.

NFL

Nov 13, 2022 01:00 PM

Cleveland Browns

VS

Miami Dolphins

Matchup Odds Injuries Trends

Spread Consensus

+3.5/-115
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
-3.5/-105

48% CLE

MIA 52%

MoneyLine Consensus

+152
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
-182

41% CLE

MIA 59%

Total Consensus

49.5/-110
RiversCasinoPA
$500 Risk Free
49.5/-110

26% UN

OV 74%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

CLE Team Stats MIA
17G17
361PTs399
21.2PPG23.5
5934YDS5743
349.1YDS/G337.8
38TD42
2.2TD/G2.5
34.6SC%37.5
11.2TO%7.6

Defense/Offense

CLE Team Stats MIA
17G17
381PTs397
22.4PPG23.4
5631YDS6197
331.2YDS/G364.5
42TD42
2.5TD/G2.5
38.5SC%38.8
10.2TO%11.8

Passing

Offense/Defense

CLE Passing MIA
335CMP416
540ATT624
62.0CMP%66.7
202.6YDS/GM234.8
6.9Y/A6.9
5.9NY/A6.0
12INT8
44SK40

Defense/Offense

CLE Passing MIA
315CMP368
519ATT584
60.7CMP%63.0
196.2YDS/GM265.4
6.8Y/A8.2
6.0NY/A7.3
11INT15
34SK35

Rushing

Offense/Defense

CLE Rushing MIA
17G17
532ATT422
2490YDS1751
146.5Y/G103.0
4.7Y/A4.1
19TD15
1.1TD/G0.9

Defense/Offense

CLE Rushing MIA
17G17
488ATT390
2295YDS1686
135.0Y/G99.2
4.7Y/A4.3
22TD12
1.3TD/G0.7

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

CLE Special Teams MIA
31Punts/Ret30
298Punt/Yds312
9.6Punt/Y/R10.4
41Kick Off/Ret26
943Kick Off/Yds724
23.0Kick Off/Y/rt27.8

Defense/Offense

CLE Special Teams MIA
26Punts/Ret19
319Punt/Yds111
12.3Punt/Y/R5.8
29Kick Off/Ret29
648Kick Off/Yds549
22.3Kick Off/Y/rt18.9

Scoring

Offense/Defense

CLE Scoring MIA
17G17
19RshTD15
19RecTD27
24FGM27
32FGA29
21.2Pts/G23.5

Defense/Offense

CLE Scoring MIA
17G17
22RshTD12
20RecTD30
30FGM26
35FGA32
22.4Pts/G23.4

Team Advanced Defense

CLE Defense MIA
22.9%Bltz%33.3%
7.4%Hrry%8.3%
5.2%QB Hit%8.7%
18.2%QB Prss%21.7%
  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE
MIA
CLE
MIA
Consensus
+5.5 -117
-5.5 -110
+3.5 -117
-3.5 -105
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
+5.5 -120
-5.5 -110
+3.5 -120
-3.5 +100
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+5.5 100
-5.5 -110
+3.0 +100
-3.0 -122
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
+5.5 -117
-5.5 -110
+3.5 -117
-3.5 -105
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+5.5 100
-5.5 -110
+3.0 +100
-3.0 -120
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
+4.0 -110
-4.0 -107
+3.5 -110
-3.5 -105
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
+4.0 -115
-4.0 -110
+3.5 -115
-3.5 -105
Open
Current
Book
CLE
MIA
CLE
MIA
Consensus
+200
-242
+152
-182
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
+195
-230
+150
-175
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+194
-235
+152
-180
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
+195
-240
+155
-177
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+210
-260
+150
-178
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
+185
-225
+150
-180
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
+165
-200
+150
-185
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
46.5 -110
46.5 -110
49.5 -110
49.5 -110
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
46.5 -110
46.5 -110
49.0 -110
49.0 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
48.0 -110
48.0 -110
49.5 -105
49.5 -115
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
47.5 -110
47.5 -110
49.0 -113
49.0 -108
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
47.5 -110
47.5 -110
49.5 -110
49.5 -110
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
47.5 -107
47.5 -107
49.5 -107
49.5 -107
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
48.5 -110
48.5 -110
49.5 -110
49.5 -110

Injuries

Cleveland Browns Miami Dolphins
Name Position Injury Status Updated
Anthony Walker Jr.LBQuadOut11/13/22
Chris OdomLBKnee (acl)Out11/13/22
David NjokuTEAnkleOut11/13/22
Dawson DeatonGAclOut11/13/22
Demetric Felton Jr.RBGameday InactiveOut11/13/22
Deshaun WatsonQBSuspensionOut11/13/22
Isaiah WestonWRKneeOut11/13/22
Jacob PhillipsLBPectoralOut11/13/22
Jakeem Grant Sr.WRAchillesOut11/13/22
Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLBKneeOut11/13/22
Jesse JamesTEBicepsOut11/13/22
Joe HaegOTConcussionOut11/13/22
Kellen MondQBGameday InactiveOut11/13/22
Michael DunnGBackOut11/13/22
Nick HarrisCKneeOut11/13/22
Perrion WinfreyDTIllnessOut11/13/22
Stephen WeatherlyDEKneeOut11/13/22
Thomas Graham Jr.CBGameday InactiveOut11/13/22
Chase WinovichDEHamstringQuestionable11/13/22
Greg Newsome IICBObliqueQuestionable11/11/22
Jack ConklinOTFootQuestionable11/11/22
Jerome FordRBAnkleQuestionable11/12/22
Wyatt TellerGCalfQuestionable11/11/22
Denzel WardCBConcussionProbable11/11/22
Martin Emerson Jr.CBIllnessProbable11/11/22
Name Position Injury Status Updated
Adam ShaheenTEKneeOut11/13/22
Brandon JonesSKnee (acl)Out11/13/22
Byron JonesCBAchillesOut11/13/22
Cethan CarterTEConcussionOut11/13/22
Erik EzukanmaWRGameday InactiveOut11/13/22
Hunter LongTEConcussionOut11/13/22
John LovettFBKneeOut11/13/22
Liam EichenbergOLKneeOut11/13/22
Myles GaskinRBGameday InactiveOut11/13/22
Nik NeedhamCBAchillesOut11/13/22
Noah IgbinogheneCBGameday InactiveOut11/13/22
Porter GustinLBUndisclosedOut11/13/22
River CracraftWRIllnessOut11/13/22
Teddy BridgewaterQBKneeOut11/13/22
Trey FlowersLBFootOut11/13/22
Trill WilliamsCBKnee (acl)Out11/13/22
Durham SmytheTEHamstringQuestionable11/11/22
Austin JacksonOLAnkle/calfProbable11/13/22
Christian WilkinsDTHandProbable11/10/22
Jaylen WaddleWRShoulderProbable11/10/22
Raekwon DavisDTKneeProbable11/11/22
Tanner ConnerTEKneeProbable11/13/22
Terron ArmsteadOTToeProbable11/13/22
Trent SherfieldWRToeProbable11/13/22
Zach SielerDTKneeProbable11/11/22

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
CLE Betting Trends MIA
OVERALLOVERALL
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
22.33Avg Score27.33
24.67Avg Opp Score23
AWAYHOME
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
22Avg Score17.67
23.33Avg Opp Score17.67
CLE Betting Trends MIA
OVERALLOVERALL
1-4-0Win/Loss/Tie3-2-0
2-3-0ATS W/L/P1-4-0
23Avg Score23
25.4Avg Opp Score26.6
AWAYHOME
1-4-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P3-2-0
20.4Avg Score21.2
24Avg Opp Score16.8
CLE Betting Trends MIA
OVERALLOVERALL
4-6-0Win/Loss/Tie7-3-0
4-6-0ATS W/L/P5-5-0
23.5Avg Score24.6
24.1Avg Opp Score24.8
AWAYHOME
3-7-0Win/Loss/Tie9-1-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P7-3-0
21.6Avg Score22.9
25.1Avg Opp Score14.6

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
11/24/19
MIA
CLE
46
-11
+401
-537
0
14
3
14
14
0
7
13
0
0
24
41
09/25/16
CLE
MIA
42
-10
+333
-450
0
7
13
3
0
7
11
7
0
6
24
30
09/08/13
MIA
CLE
41
-2.5
N/A
N/A
3
0
3
7
7
3
10
0
0
0
23
10
09/25/11
MIA
CLE
41.5
1
N/A
N/A
7
0
3
7
3
3
3
7
0
0
16
17
12/05/10
CLE
MIA
43.5
-5.5
N/A
N/A
0
0
3
3
7
0
3
7
0
0
13
10
10/14/07
MIA
CLE
44.5
-4.5
N/A
N/A
3
14
7
13
14
0
7
14
0
0
31
41
11/20/05
MIA
CLE
36.5
-2
N/A
N/A
0
9
0
3
0
10
0
0
0
0
0
22
12/26/04
CLE
MIA
40
-8
N/A
N/A
7
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
7
10
10/10/93
MIA
CLE
36.5
1.5
N/A
N/A
0
7
10
7
14
0
0
0
0
0
24
14
09/14/92
MIA
CLE
38
3
N/A
N/A
14
0
0
0
3
3
10
20
0
0
27
23

Teams Last 10

Cleveland Browns Miami Dolphins
DATE TM SC LN TOP RA-YDS C-ATT-YDS
01/08/23
CLE
PIT
12
24
33.8
-2.1
29:04
30:56
19-113
31-125
16-24-146
11-24-160
01/01/23
CLE
WAS
31
13
53.6
-1.3
26:28
33:32
39-189
48-176
12-23-200
21-36-160
12/24/22
NO
CLE
4
3
0.9
16.3
29:14
30:46
20-77
17-63
2-4-47
4-16-64
12/17/22
BAL
CLE
4
16
48.3
-3.7
26:52
33:08
34-242
40-175
21-37-154
22-34-171
12/11/22
CLE
CIN
2
10
0.8
20.7
31:52
28:08
11-31
11-60
11-19-120
4-15-100
12/04/22
CLE
HOU
39
20
66.3
10.7
32:16
27:44
54-248
31-117
17-31-185
29-56-287
11/27/22
TB
CLE
11
15
-2.3
27.0
30:37
39:04
13-62
22-122
19-28-147
15-24-114
11/20/22
CLE
BUF
31
42
10.9
68.0
31:22
28:38
35-109
45-232
38-56-429
24-37-253
11/13/22
CLE
MIA
6
22
28.5
-2.0
26:46
33:14
14-64
19-112
13-20-106
15-19-170
10/31/22
CIN
CLE
17
42
59.4
6.1
23:15
36:45
13-48
58-227
33-46-255
22-30-354
DATE TM SC LN TOP RA-YDS C-ATT-YDS
01/15/23
MIA
BUF
22
24
6.8
30.7
27:47
32:13
14-29
18-75
13-31-132
16-27-221
01/08/23
NYJ
MIA
4
8
2.8
31.2
24:35
35:25
17-32
27-137
15-28-126
17-26-118
01/01/23
MIA
NE
27
30
53.6
-3.9
33:48
26:12
35-111
27-98
31-52-319
26-43-224
12/25/22
GB
MIA
13
10
25.1
-1.8
32:00
28:00
13-40
5-42
12-19-113
4-13-149
12/17/22
MIA
BUF
35
39
10.5
53.9
30:07
29:53
31-230
35-184
21-37-266
31-49-362
12/11/22
MIA
LAC
3
10
-1.3
24.0
20:22
39:38
4-41
10-36
2-12-56
17-22-154
12/04/22
MIA
SF
24
47
65.6
-7.8
19:26
40:34
11-47
48-173
26-48-392
39-58-328
11/27/22
HOU
MIA
6
19
30.2
-9.0
27:33
32:27
6-23
17-42
17-25-112
15-26-176
11/13/22
CLE
MIA
6
22
28.5
-2.0
26:46
33:14
14-64
19-112
13-20-106
15-19-170
11/06/22
MIA
CHI
43
40
-5.0
57.1
25:14
34:46
29-96
50-313
26-37-375
21-35-144
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Cleveland Browns

Last week, the Cleveland Browns had their bye week, going into their week off with a 3-5 record. This week, they will aim for a key victory in Miami to get to 4-5 and still be in the playoff hunt with plenty of time to get back to having a winning record.

Cleveland’s running game is always going to be the focal point of its offense. But the Browns will need a strong finish to Jacoby Brissett’s time as their starting quarterback over the next few weeks. The Browns find themselves in the middle of the pack in passing offense. Some improvement on that front would be huge against a Miami team that Cleveland will need to score big to beat.

Miami Dolphins

It was a close game, but the Miami Dolphins beat the Chicago Bears in Week 9. The offense of the Dolphins moved the ball at will in that game, making up for a lackluster defensive showing. This week, the Dolphins will need to be better against the run to secure another victory.

Working in the Dolphins’ favor is the fact that they will face a more conventional rushing attack than they did against the Bears. Jacoby Brissett is not going to set the single-game quarterback rushing record this week the way that Justin Fields did against the Dolphins last week. But Nick Chubb is just as daunting a weapon on the ground, and Miami has to slow him down.

[optin-monster-inline slug=”zv14tnlnqbvigyfuxt8k”]

Tags: Cleveland Browns, miami dolphins
Previous article

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans NFL Week 10 Pick 11/13/22

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Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears NFL Week 10 Prediction 11/13/22

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