The Cincinnati Bengals and Detroit Lions have been no strangers to the bottom of the barrel in the NFL in recent years. But the Bengals have been trending upward, while the Lions have struggled to do the same. In our NFL picks for Week 6, we look at Bengals vs Lions and decide where the best bet lies for this contest.
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Bengals vs Lions Betting Pick
This game will be played at Ford Field at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 17, 2021.
Why Bet The Bengals:
✅ The Bengals are gaining 0.8 yards per play more than the Lions this season and allowing 1.2 yards per play less than the Lions through five weeks. That massive net yards per play advantage means that the Bengals should be a heavier favorite than 3.5 points in this contest.
✅ Detroit is falling apart offensively this season. They lost center Frank Ragnow for the season, who was one of the few Pro Bowl caliber players on their roster. And there has been talk of simplifying the playbook for the struggling Jared Goff, signifying that he simply isn’t getting up to speed with the Lions’ system.
✅ The Lions have the sixth worst point differential in the NFL through the first five weeks of the season, posting a -36 point differential to this point. That differential would be worse had they not scored multiple times in garbage time against the 49ers in Week 1 of this season, which obscured just how bad the Lions have been.
Last week, the Cincinnati Bengals suffered a heartbreaking loss at home against the Green Bay Packers. Cincinnati was within striking distance for the entire game, and had multiple chances to win the game with late field goals, which they missed to keep the door open for Green Bay. This week, the Bengals will look to bounce back against the Lions, as they aim to move to 4-2 straight up on the season.
The connection between Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase continued to thrive last week against the Packers. Burrow found Chase for six catches for 159 yards and a touchdown, as the vertical passing game has continued to improve for the Bengals. This week represents an opportunity to use that vertical passing game against a Lions team that is not well-equipped in the defensive backfield.
Detroit also suffered a heartbreaking defeat last week, with their loss coming against the Minnesota Vikings in a division game. The Lions fell behind and remained behind the Vikings for much of the game, but took the lead thanks to a late comeback. All of that was for naught, though, as the Vikings were able to get a late field goal to avoid being upset against a Lions team that is now 0-5.
For the Lions, their offense has been the problem all season long. After their Week 1 loss to the San Francisco 49ers, the Lions have now gone four straight games without scoring 20 points. And with the Bengals putting points on the board proficiently this season, the Lions are likely to need more than 20 points to win this matchup.