The Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons have both been relying on mobile quarterbacks to run their offense this season. But in this matchup between Justin Fields and Marcus Mariota, only one quarterback can come out on top. In our NFL betting picks for this weekend, we break down this Bears vs Falcons contest in the NFC.
Bears vs Falcons Betting Pick
This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 20, 2022.
Why Bet The Falcons:
✅ Atlanta should be able to run the ball with ease in this game. Atlanta ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing yards per game, while the Bears have a bottom-five run defense. Expect Atlanta to use that mismatch to their advantage.
✅ Meanwhile, the Bears will not be able to take advantage of the weakness of the Falcons defense. Atlanta has the worst pass defense in the NFL, but the Bears have the worst passing attack in the league.
✅ Chicago has averaged 30.3 points per game over their last three games. But they have lost all three of those games, as their defense has allowed 38.3 points per game over that same span.
Team Advanced Defense
|Alex Leatherwood||OL||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Ja'Tyre Carter||OL||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Justin Layne||CB||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Lamar Jackson||DB||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Anthony Firkser||TE||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Bryan Edwards||WR||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Jovante Moffatt||S||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Matt Dickerson||DE||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Nate Landman||ILB||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|Rashad Fenton||CB||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/20/22|
|38.33||Avg Opp Score||26.33|
|30.67||Avg Opp Score||22.67|
|28.2||Avg Opp Score||25.6|
|27.8||Avg Opp Score||23|
|24.7||Avg Opp Score||25|
|28.2||Avg Opp Score||23.5|
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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The Chicago Bears‘ bad fortune continued last week, as they were beaten at home by the Detroit Lions. Chicago took advantage of the porous defense of the Lions as expected, but they could not get stops defensively. That has become a theme for the Bears of late, as they have allowed over 38 points per game over their last three games.
This week, the Bears need to lock in on the run, something they have done a very poor job of this season. Chicago has the worst run defense in the league in terms of yards allowed per game. They are at risk of being torn apart against a Falcons running game that is back at full strength.
The Atlanta Falcons suffered a disappointing loss on Thursday Night Football last week, falling against the Carolina Panthers. Atlanta’s offense managed just 15 points in that game, but their defense struggled as well, giving up 25 points and getting gashed by D’Onta Foreman.
This week, the Falcons run defense has to be better against a Bears team that ranks first in the NFL in rushing yardage. Working in their favor is the fact that the Bears are so predictable with their offense. Atlanta will know from the start that they are trying to run the ball, which should help them slow Chicago down to some degree.