First place in the AFC East will be on the line when the Buffalo Bills take on the New England Patriots from Gillette Stadium on Sunday. A Buffalo victory would put the Bills even with the Patriots at 9-6, while the Patriots could seal the division with a victory and a season sweep. Our NFL predictions for this week take a look at Bills vs Patriots from a betting perspective, as both teams look to claim a crucial division victory.
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Bills vs Patriots Betting Pick
This game will be played at Gillette Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, December 26, 2021.
Why Bet The Bills:
✅ Buffalo was unlucky not to win the first meeting they had with the Patriots. High winds eliminated the passing game of both teams from the equation, which impacted Buffalo much more than it did the Patriots. This game, assuming there is no weather issue, the Bills’ offense will look much more like the Bills offense against New England.
✅ The Bills’ defense is one of two defenses that has allowed under 5.0 yards per play this season. New England has the third-best yards per play defense in the NFL this season, but Buffalo’s has been number one virtually from wire to wire this season. They will use that defense to stifle Mac Jones and the Patriots offense this week.
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✅ Home field advantage hasn’t been that big an advantage for the Patriots this season. They are 3-4 at home on the year, doing the majority of their damage this season away from home. Here, they will fall to 3-5 at home against a Bills team that is familiar with what it takes to play in Foxboro.
Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills got a huge win last week, stifling Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers at home. It took a while for the Bills to get rolling offensively, but once they did it was smooth sailing from there. This week, the Bills face their toughest test of the season, in a must-win game on the road against the Bill Belichick coached Patriots that have had their number over the years.
Buffalo will need its passing game to come through in a way that it did not against the Patriots in their first meeting. The Bills will be thrilled to see that there are no insane winds in the forecast like there were in their first meeting, but the Bills will still need to execute with their passing game to avoid another defeat at the hands of this Patriots team.
New England Patriots
New England took an important loss last week, falling on Saturday night to the Indianapolis Colts on the road. In that game, the Patriots were incapable of getting going offensively, with Mac Jones taking way too long to string together some effective passes in an insufficient comeback attempt. This week, the Patriots will have to lean on their defense to seal up the AFC East title.
The Patriots relied almost entirely on their defense in their first game against the Bills, though the weather had a lot to do with that. Cold weather is to be expected this time of year in New England, but the Patriots likely won’t be able to rely on the same type of wind to slow Josh Allen and company down.