Buffalo Bills VS Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick & Preview – 12/23/2023

Jay Sanin on December 20th, 2023

Bills -11.5 (-110) -700

Chargers +11.5 (-110) +500

Bills vs Chargers Under 44 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook

Best Bet

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Bills -11.5 (-110) -700

Chargers +11.5 (-110) +500

The offense of the Chargers is in bad shape right now, with Justin Herbert done for the season due to injury.
The Chargers and Bills have gone under the total in 10 of their first 14 games for the season, tied for the most unders in the NFL in 2023.

The under is the best bet for the Bills vs Chargers matchup from SoFi Stadium on Saturday night. Buffalo should get out to an early lead in this contest and coast with their running game the rest of the way, with the Chargers unable to keep up offensively with Easton Stick or any other backup quarterback. Beyond that anticipated game script, both of these teams have gone under the total in 10 of their first 14 games this year, a trend that should continue here in Week 16.

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NFL

Dec 23, 2023 08:00 PM

Buffalo Bills

Los Angeles Chargers

Spread Pick Consensus

-13.0/-105

+13.0/-115

68% BUF

LAC 32%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-783

+535

91% BUF

LAC 9%

Total Pick Consensus

44.5/-115

44.5/-105

39% UN

OV 61%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

BUF	Team Stats	LAC
11	G	10
320	PTs	145
29.1	PPG	14.5
3798	YDS	3171
345.3	YDS/G	317.1
36	TD	15
3.3	TD/G	1.5
49.1	SC%	25.0
6.3	TO%	11.6

Defense/Offense

BUF	Team Stats	LAC
11	G	10
214	PTs	220
19.5	PPG	22
3620	YDS	3264
329.1	YDS/G	326.4
22	TD	23
2	TD/G	2.3
33.9	SC%	38.4
17.9	TO%	3.6

Passing

Offense/Defense

BUF	Passing	LAC
219	CMP	214
342	ATT	340
64.0	CMP%	62.9
226.1	YDS/GM	206.6
7.5	Y/A	6.6
7.0	NY/A	5.5
5	INT	9
13	SK	34

Defense/Offense

BUF	Passing	LAC
257	CMP	178
373	ATT	279
68.9	CMP%	63.8
210	YDS/GM	204.8
6.7	Y/A	7.9
5.8	NY/A	6.7
13	INT	1
27	SK	26

Rushing

Offense/Defense

BUF	Rushing	LAC
11	G	10
307	ATT	235
1311	YDS	1105
119.2	Y/G	110.5
4.3	Y/A	4.7
18	TD	3
1.6	TD/G	0.3

Defense/Offense

BUF	Rushing	LAC
11	G	10
270	ATT	291
1310	YDS	1216
119.1	Y/G	121.6
4.9	Y/A	4.2
6	TD	10
0.5	TD/G	1

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

BUF	Special Teams	LAC
20	Punts/Ret	21
243	Punt/Yds	199
12.2	Punt/Y/R	9.5
11	Kick Off/Ret	16
300	Kick Off/Yds	456
27.3	Kick Off/Y/rt	28.5

Defense/Offense

BUF	Special Teams	LAC
15	Punts/Ret	15
129	Punt/Yds	199
8.6	Punt/Y/R	13.3
11	Kick Off/Ret	8
349	Kick Off/Yds	230
31.7	Kick Off/Y/rt	28.8

Scoring

Offense/Defense

BUF	Scoring	LAC
11	G	10
18	RshTD	3
18	RecTD	12
19	FGM	13
22	FGA	21
29.1	Pts/G	14.5

Defense/Offense

BUF	Scoring	LAC
11	G	10
6	RshTD	10
16	RecTD	13
15	FGM	21
17	FGA	23
19.5	Pts/G	22.0

Team Advanced Defense

BUF	Defense	LAC
15.7%	Bltz%	19.0%
4.8%	Hrry%	3.0%
8.6%	QB Hit%	4.7%
19.1%	QB Prss%	15.5%

Open

Current

Book

BUF

LAC

BUF

LAC

Consensus

-9.5 -112

+9.5 -110

-12.5 -112

+12.5 -110

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-10.0 -110

+10.0 -110

-12.5 -110

+12.5 -110

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Open

Current

Book

BUF

LAC

BUF

LAC

Consensus

-500

+350

-783

+535

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Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins + 3 Free Months of NBA League Pass

Second chance bet up to $500

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

-450

+350

-750

+500

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

40.5 -110

44.5 -109

44.5 -113

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40.5 -110

44.5 -105

44.5 -115

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40.5 -115

40.5 -105

44.5 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

42.0 -110

44.5 -107

44.5 -114

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

40.5 -110

44.0 -110

—-

42.0 -110

44.5 -110

Bet $10, Get $200 in Bonus Bets!

42.5 -110

44.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
A.J. Epenesa	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Alec Anderson	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Dalton Kincaid	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/21/23
Damien Harris	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
DaQuan Jones	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Dawson Knox	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/20/23
Germain Ifedi	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
James Cook	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/21/23
Jordan Phillips	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Josh Allen	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/20/23
Justin Shorter	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Kaiir Elam	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Kameron Cline	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Leonard Floyd	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/21/23
Matt Milano	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Micah Hyde	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Nyheim Hines	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Reid Ferguson	LS	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/20/23
Sam Martin	P	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/20/23
Tommy Doyle	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Tre'Davious White	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Ty Johnson	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Von Miller	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/20/23
Zach Davidson	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Amechi Uzodinma	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Amen Ogbongbemiga	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/21/23
Andrew Trainer	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Chris Rumph II	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Corey Linsley	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Deane Leonard	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Donald Parham Jr.	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Essang Bassey	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Joey Bosa	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
JT Woods	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Justin Herbert	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Keenan Allen	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Max Duggan	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Mike Williams	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Nick Vannett	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Nick Williams	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Raheem Layne	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Tanner Muse	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Trey Pipkins III	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/21/23
Will Clapp	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Zack Bailey	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/23/23
Zion Johnson	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/20/23

Betting Trends

BUF	Betting Trends	LAC
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
28.33	Avg Score	11.33
21.33	Avg Opp Score	29
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
24	Avg Score	18.33
26	Avg Opp Score	28.33

BUF	Betting Trends	LAC
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
27.8	Avg Score	12.8
18.8	Avg Opp Score	26
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
26.8	Avg Score	20.4
22	Avg Opp Score	23.6

BUF	Betting Trends	LAC
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-7-0
3-7-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
24	Avg Score	19.3
19.9	Avg Opp Score	24.1
AWAY		HOME
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	4-5-1
25.4	Avg Score	23.1
20	Avg Opp Score	21.2

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
11/29/20	LAC BUF	51 -4	+180 -217	6 7	0 10	8 7	3 3	17 27
09/16/18	LAC BUF	41.5 7.5	-307 +270	14 0	14 6	0 7	3 7	31 20
11/19/17	BUF LAC	41.5 -7	+270 -300	7 10	0 27	3 10	14 7	24 54
09/21/14	LAC BUF	45.5 -2.5	N/A N/A	7 0	6 3	7 7	2 0	22 10
12/11/11	BUF LAC	48.5 -7	N/A N/A	0 7	0 9	10 14	0 7	10 37
10/19/08	LAC BUF	46.5 2	N/A N/A	7 3	0 10	7 7	0 3	14 23
12/03/06	LAC BUF	41 6	N/A N/A	10 0	7 0	0 14	7 7	24 21
11/20/05	BUF LAC	42.5 -11.5	N/A N/A	3 14	7 21	0 3	0 10	10 48
12/15/02	LAC BUF	42.5 -3	N/A N/A	3 7	7 6	0 0	3 7	13 20
10/28/01	BUF LAC	39 -7	N/A N/A	0 10	10 3	0 0	14 14	24 27

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	KC BUF	2 3	0.3 14.4	25:57 34:03	2-24 3-32	2-10-56 3-12-80
11/10/24	BUF IND	32 21	49.4 5.0	32:08 27:52	33-142 23-127	23-39-295 27-37-252
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159
10/27/24	BUF SEA	46 15	66.3 6.5	38:03 21:57	50-242 25-47	35-50-414 31-43-296
10/20/24	TEN BUF	4 21	3.7 25.5	32:46 27:14	15-55 12-46	16-25-124 13-21-196
10/14/24	BUF NYJ	32 28	58.3 2.0	29:34 30:26	46-209 30-170	27-35-295 32-49-382
10/06/24	BUF HOU	11 13	26.4 -0.8	26:50 33:10	16-83 16-52	3-17-70 16-21-184
09/29/24	BUF BAL	13 47	4.5 63.6	28:57 31:03	31-108 46-363	23-42-208 19-25-209
09/23/24	JAX BUF	2 23	1.0 22.7	28:20 31:40	4-45 14-60	13-22-72 12-15-130
09/12/24	BUF MIA	39 13	62.3 -3.2	23:41 36:19	33-137 43-177	17-24-177 32-50-269

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	CIN LAC	3 10	14.7 -0.3	34:08 25:52	2-34 2-48	3-15-105 2-11-86
11/10/24	TEN LAC	18 28	9.4 42.1	29:01 30:59	22-139 41-153	19-24-165 15-19-173
11/03/24	LAC CLE	19 5	-1.4 28.6	25:51 34:09	16-66 17-55	12-19-170 18-32-147
10/27/24	NO LAC	12 38	11.0 61.1	28:52 31:08	31-172 43-180	32-62-367 29-47-377
10/21/24	LAC ARI	6 11	-0.6 27.7	34:14 25:46	14-37 18-113	17-24-209 5-16-90
10/13/24	LAC DEN	32 22	-4.2 52.0	37:23 22:37	53-180 25-155	30-48-312 27-46-290
09/29/24	KC LAC	23 13	55.6 12.6	29:08 30:52	35-135 32-74	25-39-305 21-36-226
09/22/24	LAC PIT	2 5	17.6 -1.2	26:09 33:51	5-30 15-56	3-5-51 12-16-113
09/15/24	LAC CAR	33 5	-5.7 48.9	36:18 23:42	56-278 23-114	18-25-165 23-33-88
09/08/24	LV LAC	2 4	0.5 17.0	31:44 28:16	4-30 11-74	10-14-94 3-11-59

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Tags: Buffalo Bills, los angeles chargers

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