NFL action on Thanksgiving day kicks off in Detroit, as the Detroit Lions host the Buffalo Bills. This is the second straight week the Bills will be playing in Detroit, as they played a home game there last week. Here, they will look for a second straight win in Detroit on turkey day. In our NFL predictions for Week 12, we break down Bills vs Lions from Ford Field.
Bills vs Lions Betting Pick
This game will be played at Ford Field at 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, November 24, 2022.
Why Bet The Bills:
✅ There is a huge gap in defensive ability in this contest. Buffalo ranks fourth in the NFL in scoring defense, while the Lions rank last in that department. That difference in defense will help the Bills win this game by a comfortable margin.
✅ Buffalo is superior on the offensive side of the ball as well, ranking second in the league in scoring offense. Only the Kansas City Chiefs have averaged more than the Bills’ 28.1 points per game.
✅ Detroit has won three straight games, but a little context is required when it comes to that winning streak. The Lions beat two struggling teams in the Packers and Bears, before beating a Giants team that is not as good as their record shows.
Team Advanced Defense
|Baylon Spector||LB||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/24/22|
|Cam Lewis||CB||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/24/22|
|Tommy Doyle||OT||Knee (acl)||Out||11/24/22|
|Tommy Sweeney||TE||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/24/22|
|Michael Brockers||DL||Gameday Inactive||Out||11/24/22|
|Tracy Walker III||S||Achilles||Out||11/24/22|
|Jameson Williams||WR||Torn Acl||Questionable||11/24/22|
|25.33||Avg Opp Score||19|
|20||Avg Opp Score||29.33|
|22.6||Avg Opp Score||22.4|
|18.2||Avg Opp Score||30.6|
|17.4||Avg Opp Score||28.2|
|21||Avg Opp Score||28.2|
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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The Buffalo Bills got back on track last week, beating the Cleveland Browns in a rare home game in Detroit. Due to intense snowfall, the game was moved from Orchard Park, but the Bills did not miss a beat. Here, they will aim for a second straight strong offensive showing in Detroit, against a porous Lions defense.
Encouraging for the Bills of late has been their performance running the football. Once a huge weakness of this team, the Bills now have a top-10 rushing attack in the league at 134 yards per game on the ground. Against a Lions team that struggles in all facets defensively, the Bills could put up some huge numbers.
The Detroit Lions won a third straight game last week, beating the New York Giants in MetLife Stadium. They did very well defensively in that game, holding the Giants to just 18 points and limiting Saquon Barkley to 22 yards on 15 carries. Here, the Lions will face a much more well-rounded offense, which could cause problems in this Bills vs Lions matchup.
Detroit still has the worst scoring defense in the NFL, though it has been better over the last few weeks. They held the Packers to nine points three games ago, and maintained that level against the Giants. This might be the best offense they have faced this season, though, and it will be important for the Lions not to regress at all.