Atlanta Falcons VS Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Pick & Preview – 10/01/2023

Jay Sanin on September 27th, 2023

Falcons +3 (-105) +136

Jaguars -3 (-115) -162

Jaguars -3 (-115) over Falcons

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Falcons +3 (-105) +136

Jaguars -3 (-115) -162

The Falcons offense is going to need to move the ball with more than just their running game in this contest, and that will be a huge problem for them given their struggles at the quarterback position.
The Jaguars have a huge experience advantage with these international games thanks to Shad Khan’s sporting ties in Europe, which will make a big difference here.

The first international NFL game of the 2023 NFL season will be Falcons vs Jaguars from Wembley Stadium in London. In that game, look for the defense of the Jaguars to do enough to shut down the Falcons running game. That will force Atlanta to put the ball in the air, which will not go well for the Falcons at all. Expect the Jaguars, who have way more experience playing in Europe, to win this game and cover the spread.

NFL

Oct 01, 2023 09:30 AM

Atlanta Falcons

Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-110

-3.5/-110

23% ATL

JAX 77%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+151

-183

10% ATL

JAX 90%

Total Pick Consensus

42.5/-112

42.5/-108

35% UN

OV 65%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

ATL	Team Stats	JAX
11	G	11
244	PTs	316
22.2	PPG	28.7
3977	YDS	4551
361.5	YDS/G	413.7
25	TD	37
2.3	TD/G	3.4
38.9	SC%	48.7
11.5	TO%	6.0

Defense/Offense

ATL	Team Stats	JAX
11	G	11
274	PTs	208
24.9	PPG	18.9
3928	YDS	3199
357.1	YDS/G	290.8
27	TD	21
2.5	TD/G	1.9
47.7	SC%	31.3
8.3	TO%	13.0

Passing

Offense/Defense

ATL	Passing	JAX
248	CMP	266
366	ATT	375
67.8	CMP%	70.9
243.6	YDS/GM	278.3
7.8	Y/A	8.5
6.9	NY/A	7.7
9	INT	5
24	SK	21

Defense/Offense

ATL	Passing	JAX
270	CMP	205
377	ATT	334
71.6	CMP%	61.4
229.9	YDS/GM	189.2
6.9	Y/A	6.8
6.5	NY/A	5.8
7	INT	9
10	SK	24

Rushing

Offense/Defense

ATL	Rushing	JAX
11	G	11
290	ATT	344
1297	YDS	1490
117.9	Y/G	135.5
4.5	Y/A	4.3
8	TD	14
0.7	TD/G	1.3

Defense/Offense

ATL	Rushing	JAX
11	G	11
316	ATT	246
1399	YDS	1118
127.2	Y/G	101.6
4.4	Y/A	4.5
6	TD	10
0.5	TD/G	0.9

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

ATL	Special Teams	JAX
13	Punts/Ret	18
129	Punt/Yds	169
9.9	Punt/Y/R	9.4
21	Kick Off/Ret	5
540	Kick Off/Yds	149
25.7	Kick Off/Y/rt	29.8

Defense/Offense

ATL	Special Teams	JAX
19	Punts/Ret	15
258	Punt/Yds	232
13.6	Punt/Y/R	15.5
22	Kick Off/Ret	19
602	Kick Off/Yds	498
27.4	Kick Off/Y/rt	26.2

Scoring

Offense/Defense

ATL	Scoring	JAX
11	G	11
8	RshTD	14
17	RecTD	23
19	FGM	20
26	FGA	23
22.2	Pts/G	28.7

Defense/Offense

ATL	Scoring	JAX
11	G	11
6	RshTD	10
21	RecTD	11
25	FGM	15
25	FGA	16
24.9	Pts/G	18.9

Team Advanced Defense

ATL	Defense	JAX
22.7%	Bltz%	13.3%
8.2%	Hrry%	7.0%
8.0%	QB Hit%	6.1%
17.8%	QB Prss%	17.3%

Open

Current

Book

ATL

JAX

ATL

JAX

Consensus

+4.5 -111

-4.5 -110

+3.5 -111

-3.5 -110

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+3.0 -110

-3.0 -110

+3.5 -110

-3.5 -110

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Open

Current

Book

ATL

JAX

ATL

JAX

Consensus

+161

-193

+151

-183

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+125

-150

+160

-190

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

45.5 -110

42.5 -110

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45.5 -110

42.5 -108

42.5 -112

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45.5 -110

42.5 -106

42.5 -114

Second chance bet up to $500

45.5 -110

42.0 -110

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

45.5 -110

42.5 -110

—-

43.5 -110

42.5 -110

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43.5 -110

42.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Adetokunbo Ogundeji	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Albert Huggins	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Avery Williams	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Barry Wesley	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Clark Phillips III	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Cordarrelle Patterson	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Ethan Greenidge	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Feleipe Franks	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Ikenna Enechukwu	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Joe Gaziano	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Josh Ali	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Jovaughn Gwyn	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Logan Woodside	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Matt Hennessy	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Penny Hart	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Troy Andersen	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Andrew Wingard	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/29/23
Anton Harrison	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Antonio Johnson	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Cam Robinson	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Chris Claybrooks	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Cooper Hodges	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
DaVon Hamilton	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Dawuane Smoot	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Devin Lloyd	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Elijah Cooks	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Folorunso Fatukasi	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Gregory Junior	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Jamal Agnew	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Jaylon Moore	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Josh Allen	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/29/23
Leonard Taylor	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Ventrell Miller	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23
Zay Jones	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	10/01/23

Betting Trends

ATL	Betting Trends	JAX
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
18.33	Avg Score	19
18	Avg Opp Score	25
AWAY		HOME
0-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
11	Avg Score	19
19.33	Avg Opp Score	28

ATL	Betting Trends	JAX
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
21	Avg Score	21.6
18	Avg Opp Score	26.4
AWAY		HOME
0-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
1-4-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
12.2	Avg Score	23.4
20.4	Avg Opp Score	26.8

ATL	Betting Trends	JAX
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	7-3-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	7-3-0
18.8	Avg Score	25.4
19	Avg Opp Score	21
AWAY		HOME
1-9-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
4-5-1	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
16.2	Avg Score	21.2
24.1	Avg Opp Score	23.8

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
11/28/21	ATL JAX	46 2	-124 +105	7 0	7 3	7 8	0 3	21 14
12/22/19	JAX ATL	48 -7.5	+271 -344	0 14	3 3	3 0	6 7	12 24
12/20/15	ATL JAX	48 -2	N/A N/A	7 0	10 3	0 14	6 0	23 17
12/15/11	JAX ATL	42.5 -12	N/A N/A	0 10	0 17	7 14	7 0	14 41
09/16/07	ATL JAX	34.5 -10	N/A N/A	0 0	7 3	0 0	0 10	7 13
12/28/03	JAX ATL	44 -3	N/A N/A	7 14	0 7	7 0	0 0	14 21
11/07/99	JAX ATL	41.5 6	N/A N/A	7 0	10 7	10 0	3 0	30 7
12/22/96	ATL JAX	45.5 -10	N/A N/A	0 7	3 6	7 3	7 3	17 19

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	ATL DEN	1 12	13.7 -0.6	29:55 30:05	2-15 2-32	2-3-54 3-10-91
11/10/24	ATL NO	18 21	49.4 3.9	35:07 24:53	34-190 28-101	24-40-302 17-26-283
11/03/24	DAL ATL	14 19	1.4 35.9	30:40 29:20	14-95 21-69	21-34-166 13-17-145
10/27/24	ATL TB	46 38	70.0 3.3	27:26 32:34	43-190 32-150	34-43-390 55-74-486
10/20/24	SEA ATL	21 5	1.2 32.0	28:52 31:08	16-64 20-96	12-18-147 16-22-133
10/13/24	ATL CAR	53 28	64.7 11.9	30:40 29:20	53-278 34-160	27-42-316 37-53-311
10/03/24	TB ATL	17 20	0.8 24.1	27:38 33:37	14-89 6-41	11-13-96 23-33-265
09/29/24	NO ATL	32 35	4.5 56.9	35:42 24:18	44-175 20-118	37-48-315 28-47-304
09/22/24	KC ATL	11 4	-1.5 22.7	34:57 25:03	16-62 12-40	13-19-106 5-14-112
09/16/24	ATL PHI	28 27	59.1 -7.0	24:21 35:39	36-193 47-236	25-37-296 29-38-228

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	JAX DET	1 16	1.3 14.6	20:54 39:06	2-13 13-60	2-3-40 3-10-138
11/10/24	MIN JAX	13 8	-7.4 44.7	42:19 17:41	45-178 19-59	25-40-245 15-23-92
11/03/24	JAX PHI	16 19	31.7 -5.2	21:48 38:12	12-41 32-164	11-21-107 12-17-145
10/27/24	GB JAX	44 40	72.2 7.6	34:09 25:51	57-250 34-134	27-40-371 31-47-440
10/20/24	NE JAX	6 20	2.7 26.4	26:45 33:15	6-24 24-106	16-23-160 6-12-120
10/13/24	JAX CHI	22 49	-2.1 62.6	29:20 30:40	28-96 41-214	34-51-295 32-41-311
10/06/24	IND JAX	19 21	24.7 -1.9	31:32 28:28	11-55 13-70	19-25-193 16-19-206
09/29/24	JAX HOU	27 32	9.9 59.6	26:43 33:17	32-212 35-135	24-44-208 36-54-447
09/23/24	JAX BUF	2 23	1.0 22.7	28:20 31:40	4-45 14-60	13-22-72 12-15-130
09/15/24	CLE JAX	23 17	52.7 -3.8	34:23 25:37	37-159 27-161	28-43-219 18-38-249

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Tags: Atlanta Falcons, Jacksonville Jaguars

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