Last week, the Houston Texans nearly scored one of the upsets of the year in the NFL against the Dallas Cowboys. This week, they have another chance to pull off a huge upset, as they host the Kansas City Chiefs. In our NFL picks for this weekend, we break down Chiefs vs Texans in what could be a more exciting game than it appears on paper.
Chiefs vs Texans Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 49.5 |
? Recommended Sportsbook Promo: | First bet on Caesars up to $1,250 |
? Promo Code: | ATSBONUSFULL |
This game will be played at NRG Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, December 18, 2022.
Why Bet the Under:
✅ Houston put up some points last week against the Dallas Cowboys, but that is not the norm for them. Houston ranks 30th in scoring this season at 16.2 points per game. They will regress back to their less than stellar mean here.
✅ Both teams have seen more than half of their games go under their respective totals. The Chiefs have gone under the total in seven of their 13 games, while the Texans have done so in eight of their 13 contests.
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
KC | Passing | HOU |
---|---|---|
421 | CMP | 382 |
635 | ATT | 565 |
66.3 | CMP% | 67.6 |
246.4 | YDS/GM | 234.1 |
6.9 | Y/A | 7.7 |
6.3 | NY/A | 6.5 |
17 | INT | 14 |
28 | SK | 46 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Passing | HOU |
---|---|---|
340 | CMP | 372 |
556 | ATT | 592 |
61.2 | CMP% | 62.8 |
176.5 | YDS/GM | 245.5 |
6.0 | Y/A | 7.7 |
4.9 | NY/A | 6.5 |
8 | INT | 8 |
57 | SK | 47 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
KC | Rushing | HOU |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
417 | ATT | 468 |
1784 | YDS | 1643 |
104.9 | Y/G | 96.6 |
4.3 | Y/A | 3.5 |
9 | TD | 19 |
0.5 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Rushing | HOU |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
432 | ATT | 444 |
1925 | YDS | 1647 |
113.2 | Y/G | 96.9 |
4.5 | Y/A | 3.7 |
10 | TD | 10 |
0.6 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
KC | Special Teams | HOU |
---|---|---|
41 | Punts/Ret | 29 |
380 | Punt/Yds | 192 |
9.3 | Punt/Y/R | 6.6 |
12 | Kick Off/Ret | 26 |
241 | Kick Off/Yds | 570 |
20.1 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 21.9 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Special Teams | HOU |
---|---|---|
20 | Punts/Ret | 30 |
207 | Punt/Yds | 292 |
10.4 | Punt/Y/R | 9.7 |
11 | Kick Off/Ret | 23 |
311 | Kick Off/Yds | 613 |
28.3 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 26.7 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
KC | Scoring | HOU |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
9 | RshTD | 19 |
28 | RecTD | 17 |
33 | FGM | 30 |
35 | FGA | 36 |
21.8 | Pts/G | 20.8 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Scoring | HOU |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 10 |
19 | RecTD | 27 |
22 | FGM | 34 |
26 | FGA | 38 |
17.3 | Pts/G | 22.2 |
Team Advanced Defense
KC | Defense | HOU |
---|---|---|
32.9% | Bltz% | 21.0% |
9.8% | Hrry% | 8.5% |
10.8% | QB Hit% | 11.5% |
27.8% | QB Prss% | 25.7% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Bell | TE | Hip | Out | 12/18/22 |
Clyde Edwards-Helaire | RB | Ankle | Out | 12/18/22 |
Darian Kinnard | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Geron Christian | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jerrion Ealy | WR | Suspended | Out | 12/14/22 |
Jordan Franks | TE | Undisclosed | Out | 12/18/22 |
Joshua Kaindoh | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Justyn Ross | WR | Foot | Out | 12/18/22 |
Malik Herring | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Shane Buechele | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Tershawn Wharton | DT | Acl | Out | 12/18/22 |
Chris Jones | DT | Illness | Questionable | 12/18/22 |
Kadarius Toney | WR | Hamstring | Questionable | 12/18/22 |
Mecole Hardman | WR | Abdomen | Questionable | 12/18/22 |
Deon Bush | DB | Elbow | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Derrick Nnadi | DT | Achilles | Probable | 12/16/22 |
Isiah Pacheco | RB | Quad/shoulder | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Jaylen Watson | CB | Hand | Probable | 12/15/22 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | Toe | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Justin Reid | S | Shoulder | Probable | 12/15/22 |
L'Jarius Sneed | CB | Calf | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Lucas Niang | OT | Knee | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Nazeeh Johnson | S | Hamstring | Probable | 12/16/22 |
Nick Bolton | LB | Groin | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Patrick Mahomes | QB | Right Hand | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Trey Smith | OL | Knee | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Brandin Cooks | WR | Calf | Out | 12/18/22 |
Dameon Pierce | RB | Ankle | Out | 12/18/22 |
Darius Anderson | RB | Knee | Out | 12/18/22 |
Derek Rivers | DE | Bicep | Out | 12/18/22 |
Derek Stingley Jr. | DB | Hamstring | Out | 12/18/22 |
Drew Estrada | WR | Achilles | Out | 12/18/22 |
Garret Wallow | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jalen Camp | WR | Oblique | Out | 12/18/22 |
John Metchie III | WR | Illness | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jordan Steckler | G | Undisclosed | Out | 12/18/22 |
Justin Britt | OL | Personal | Out | 12/18/22 |
Kenyon Green | OL | Ankle | Out | 12/18/22 |
Kevin Pierre-Louis | ILB | Groin | Out | 12/18/22 |
Kyle Allen | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Nico Collins | WR | Foot | Out | 12/18/22 |
O.J. Howard | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Steven Nelson | DB | Ankle | Out | 12/18/22 |
Taylor Stallworth | DT | Calf | Out | 12/18/22 |
Grayland Arnold | CB | Quad | Questionable | 12/18/22 |
Jonathan Greenard | DL | Calf | Questionable | 12/17/22 |
Justin McCray | G | Hamstring | Probable | 12/18/22 |
Kurt Hinish | DL | Shoulder | Probable | 12/16/22 |
Laremy Tunsil | OT | Illness | Probable | 12/16/22 |
Roy Lopez | DL | Hip | Probable | 12/16/22 |
Troy Hairston | FB | Chest | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Betting Trends
KC | Betting Trends | HOU |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
28 | Avg Score | 17.33 |
21.67 | Avg Opp Score | 28 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
29.33 | Avg Score | 13.67 |
27.33 | Avg Opp Score | 26.33 |
KC | Betting Trends | HOU |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-5-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
28.2 | Avg Score | 15.6 |
21.8 | Avg Opp Score | 26.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-5-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
34.6 | Avg Score | 15 |
27.2 | Avg Opp Score | 26 |
KC | Betting Trends | HOU |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-9-0 |
3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
29.6 | Avg Score | 16.2 |
23.3 | Avg Opp Score | 25.5 |
AWAY | HOME | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-8-1 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
32.7 | Avg Score | 17.4 |
26.3 | Avg Opp Score | 27.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Kansas City Chiefs
Last week, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business on the road against the Denver Broncos. They got out to a huge lead, and held on for a 34-28 victory in the Mile High City. This week, the Chiefs will aim to hold off another upset bid, this time from a Houston Texans team that almost beat another elite team in the Dallas Cowboys in Week 14.
Right now, the Chiefs are playing at a very high level offensively. They rank second in the league in scoring average this season, averaging 29.5 points per game. Here, they may need to score in big numbers if the Texans can play the way they did last week.
Houston Texans
Last week, the Houston Texans nearly beat the Dallas Cowboys outright. Despite coming into the game as 17-point underdogs, the Texans offense came to life in that game and nearly pulled off one of the biggest upsets in recent league history. Now, Houston will look to follow that performance up with a win at home against the mighty Chiefs.
For this game, the key for Houston is going to be stringing together some stops. They did that early in the game against the Cowboys last week, and it nearly got them a win. If they can replicate that across four quarters in this game, the Texans could be onto something here.