A fascinating inter-conference matchup is set to play out in the NFL this weekend. While the Dallas Cowboys have had a much better season than the Jacksonville Jaguars, the line coming into this game is tighter than expected. In our NFL betting picks for Week 15, we look at what could be a very interesting Cowboys vs Jaguars clash.
Cowboys vs Jaguars Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Jaguars +4.5 |
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This game will be played at TIAA Bank Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, December 18, 2022.
Why Bet The Jaguars:
✅ Dallas is simply not as good on the road as they are at home. The Cowboys are 7-1 at home this season, but just 3-2 on the road. While the Cowboys should still win this game, it is going to be closer than anticipated.
✅ From a simple line reading standpoint, it seems very strange that the Cowboys would be favored by under a touchdown against Jacksonville. We will happily back the Jags while most bettors flock to the Cowboys.
NFL
Dallas Cowboys
Jacksonville Jaguars
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
DAL | Passing | JAX |
---|---|---|
428 | CMP | 404 |
614 | ATT | 617 |
69.7 | CMP% | 65.5 |
258.6 | YDS/GM | 239.8 |
7.6 | Y/A | 7.1 |
6.7 | NY/A | 6.2 |
10 | INT | 16 |
40 | SK | 40 |
Defense/Offense
DAL | Passing | JAX |
---|---|---|
308 | CMP | 412 |
509 | ATT | 620 |
60.5 | CMP% | 66.5 |
187.4 | YDS/GM | 242.7 |
6.8 | Y/A | 7.1 |
5.7 | NY/A | 6.2 |
17 | INT | 14 |
46 | SK | 41 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
DAL | Rushing | JAX |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
468 | ATT | 421 |
1920 | YDS | 1752 |
112.9 | Y/G | 103.1 |
4.1 | Y/A | 4.2 |
14 | TD | 15 |
0.8 | TD/G | 0.9 |
Defense/Offense
DAL | Rushing | JAX |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
459 | ATT | 453 |
1910 | YDS | 1646 |
112.4 | Y/G | 96.8 |
4.2 | Y/A | 3.6 |
14 | TD | 17 |
0.8 | TD/G | 1 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
DAL | Special Teams | JAX |
---|---|---|
18 | Punts/Ret | 22 |
98 | Punt/Yds | 143 |
5.4 | Punt/Y/R | 6.5 |
18 | Kick Off/Ret | 14 |
393 | Kick Off/Yds | 356 |
21.8 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 25.4 |
Defense/Offense
DAL | Special Teams | JAX |
---|---|---|
24 | Punts/Ret | 29 |
247 | Punt/Yds | 297 |
10.3 | Punt/Y/R | 10.2 |
8 | Kick Off/Ret | 29 |
198 | Kick Off/Yds | 688 |
24.8 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.7 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
DAL | Scoring | JAX |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 15 |
36 | RecTD | 27 |
36 | FGM | 21 |
38 | FGA | 26 |
29.9 | Pts/G | 21.8 |
Defense/Offense
DAL | Scoring | JAX |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 17 |
21 | RecTD | 22 |
22 | FGM | 30 |
26 | FGA | 37 |
18.5 | Pts/G | 22.2 |
Team Advanced Defense
DAL | Defense | JAX |
---|---|---|
28.5% | Bltz% | 30.0% |
5.5% | Hrry% | 8.5% |
9.4% | QB Hit% | 9.4% |
21.3% | QB Prss% | 22.6% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alec Lindstrom | C | Undisclosed | Out | 12/18/22 |
Anthony Brown | CB | Achilles | Out | 12/18/22 |
Devante Bond | LB | Knee | Out | 12/18/22 |
Devin Harper | LB | Achilles | Out | 12/18/22 |
Ian Bunting | TE | Neck | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jabril Cox | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jake Ferguson | TE | Head | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jake McQuaide | LS | Triceps | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jalen Tolbert | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Johnathan Hankins | DT | Pectoral | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jourdan Lewis | CB | Foot | Out | 12/18/22 |
Matt Farniok | G | Hamstring | Out | 12/18/22 |
Matt Waletzko | OT | Shoulder | Out | 12/18/22 |
Rico Dowdle | RB | Ankle | Out | 12/18/22 |
Simi Fehoko | WR | Shoulder | Out | 12/18/22 |
Terence Steele | OT | Knee | Out | 12/18/22 |
Trayvon Mullen | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
T.Y. Hilton | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Will Grier | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
DeMarcus Lawrence | DE | Foot | Questionable | 12/16/22 |
Jayron Kearse | S | Back/shoulder | Questionable | 12/16/22 |
Trevon Diggs | CB | Thumb | Questionable | 12/14/22 |
Tyron Smith | OT | Knee | Questionable | 12/17/22 |
Dorance Armstrong | DE | Ankle | Probable | 12/18/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Bartch | G | Knee | Out | 12/18/22 |
Calvin Ridley | WR | Suspended | Out | 12/18/22 |
De'Shaan Dixon | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Jordan Smith | DE | Knee | Out | 12/18/22 |
Kendric Pryor | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Montaric Brown | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Shaquill Griffin | CB | Back | Out | 12/18/22 |
Travon Walker | OLB | Ankle | Out | 12/18/22 |
Tyree Gillespie | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/18/22 |
Andre Cisco | S | Shoulder | Probable | 12/15/22 |
Andrew Wingard | S | Shoulder | Probable | 12/18/22 |
Brandon Scherff | G | Abdomen | Probable | 12/18/22 |
Chad Muma | LB | Ankle | Probable | 12/18/22 |
Darious Williams | CB | Abdomen | Probable | 12/18/22 |
Trevor Lawrence | QB | Toe | Probable | 12/18/22 |
Betting Trends
DAL | Betting Trends | JAX |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
36.33 | Avg Score | 26 |
20.67 | Avg Opp Score | 29.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
28.33 | Avg Score | 24 |
20 | Avg Opp Score | 22.67 |
DAL | Betting Trends | JAX |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
35.4 | Avg Score | 24.4 |
19.2 | Avg Opp Score | 27.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
26 | Avg Score | 19 |
17.2 | Avg Opp Score | 20.8 |
DAL | Betting Trends | JAX |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-7-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
31.4 | Avg Score | 21 |
17.7 | Avg Opp Score | 25.6 |
AWAY | HOME | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
26.5 | Avg Score | 18.5 |
17.4 | Avg Opp Score | 19.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Dallas Cowboys
Last week, the Dallas Cowboys narrowly escaped what would have been an embarrassing loss against the Houston Texans. Houston led for nearly the entirety of the game, until the Cowboys mounted a fourth quarter touchdown drive in the final minutes to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Here, the Cowboys will look to ward off another upset bid, this time on the road.
For the Cowboys, the performance of their defense will be huge once again in this contest. They struggled to contain Davis Mills and the Texans offense. If they struggle to get pressure on Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars, they could falter this time around.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jacksonville Jaguars were successful in beating the Tennessee Titans last week, scoring 36 points and winning that game by double digits. Even with Derrick Henry going for well over 100 yards in that game, the Jaguars held strong when they needed to in order to secure a win that brought them to 5-8. Here, the Jaguars look for an upset of the Cowboys that would move them to within two games of the .500 mark.
For Jacksonville, just avoiding mistakes is going to be huge to the outcome of this game. Trevor Lawrence has not thrown an interception since October 30, and the continuation of that streak could be what gives the Jags a chance to win this contest outright.