Two teams that have been in the Super Bowl picture over the last couple of seasons will meet in Week 14 of the NFL season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and San Francisco 49ers are both leading their divisions, albeit in very different ways so far, and will look for a statement win against a fellow NFC contender. In our NFL betting predictions for Week 14, we take a closer look at this Buccaneers vs 49ers showdown.
Buccaneers vs 49ers Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | 49ers -3.5 |
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This game will be played at Levi’s Stadium at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, December 11, 2022.
Why Bet The 49ers:
✅ Tampa Bay’s offense has been putrid this season. They are ranked 27th in the league in scoring and needed a miracle comeback just to hit 17 points and beat the New Orleans Saints at home on Monday night. Expect the Niners to lock Tom Brady and company down in this contest.
✅ This is a great chance to get a discounted price on the red-hot 49ers. This line would be much higher if Brock Purdy was not starting at quarterback for San Francisco, but Purdy showed great command of the offense in the team’s win over the Miami Dolphins in Week 13.
✅ The Buccaneers are the worst team in the NFL against the spread this season. They are 3-8-1 against the number on the year, and they will not fare any better here against a Niners team whose defense is playing at an incredible level.
NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
San Francisco 49ers
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
TB | Passing | SF |
---|---|---|
364 | CMP | 410 |
568 | ATT | 621 |
64.1 | CMP% | 66.0 |
224.2 | YDS/GM | 214.2 |
7.1 | Y/A | 6.4 |
6.3 | NY/A | 5.4 |
10 | INT | 22 |
40 | SK | 48 |
Defense/Offense
TB | Passing | SF |
---|---|---|
404 | CMP | 336 |
611 | ATT | 491 |
66.1 | CMP% | 68.4 |
248.9 | YDS/GM | 257.9 |
7.5 | Y/A | 9.3 |
6.4 | NY/A | 8.4 |
13 | INT | 12 |
48 | SK | 34 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
TB | Rushing | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
439 | ATT | 369 |
1509 | YDS | 1525 |
88.8 | Y/G | 89.7 |
3.4 | Y/A | 4.1 |
8 | TD | 10 |
0.5 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
TB | Rushing | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
422 | ATT | 499 |
1620 | YDS | 2389 |
95.3 | Y/G | 140.5 |
3.8 | Y/A | 4.8 |
11 | TD | 27 |
0.6 | TD/G | 1.6 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
TB | Special Teams | SF |
---|---|---|
25 | Punts/Ret | 22 |
234 | Punt/Yds | 220 |
9.4 | Punt/Y/R | 10.0 |
16 | Kick Off/Ret | 32 |
327 | Kick Off/Yds | 746 |
20.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.3 |
Defense/Offense
TB | Special Teams | SF |
---|---|---|
38 | Punts/Ret | 34 |
455 | Punt/Yds | 273 |
12.0 | Punt/Y/R | 8.0 |
26 | Kick Off/Ret | 20 |
491 | Kick Off/Yds | 437 |
18.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 21.9 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
TB | Scoring | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
8 | RshTD | 10 |
28 | RecTD | 20 |
29 | FGM | 29 |
31 | FGA | 33 |
20.5 | Pts/G | 17.5 |
Defense/Offense
TB | Scoring | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
11 | RshTD | 27 |
23 | RecTD | 33 |
29 | FGM | 21 |
36 | FGA | 25 |
19.1 | Pts/G | 28.9 |
Team Advanced Defense
TB | Defense | SF |
---|---|---|
40.1% | Bltz% | 18.0% |
6.5% | Hrry% | 5.4% |
6.9% | QB Hit% | 10.0% |
19.7% | QB Prss% | 21.0% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Stinnie | G | Knee (acl) (mcl) | Out | 12/11/22 |
Antoine Winfield Jr. | S | Ankle | Out | 12/11/22 |
Breshad Perriman | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Cam Gill | OLB | Foot | Out | 12/11/22 |
Kyle Rudolph | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Kyle Trask | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Mike Edwards | S | Hamstring | Out | 12/11/22 |
Ryan Jensen | C | Knee | Out | 12/11/22 |
Sean Murphy-Bunting | CB | Quad | Out | 12/11/22 |
Shaquil Barrett | OLB | Achilles | Out | 12/11/22 |
Tristan Wirfs | OT | Lower Leg | Out | 12/11/22 |
K.J. Britt | ILB | Ankle | Questionable | 12/07/22 |
Vita Vea | DL | Foot/shoulder | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Akiem Hicks | DL | Foot | Probable | 12/11/22 |
Cameron Brate | TE | Illness | Probable | 12/08/22 |
Leonard Fournette | RB | Foot | Probable | 12/11/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Curtis Robinson | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Elijah Mitchell | RB | Knee (mcl) | Out | 12/11/22 |
Emmanuel Moseley | CB | Knee | Out | 12/11/22 |
Hassan Ridgeway | DL | Pectoral Strain | Out | 12/11/22 |
Jason Verrett | CB | Knee | Out | 12/11/22 |
Javon Kinlaw | DT | Knee | Out | 12/11/22 |
Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | Foot | Out | 12/11/22 |
Jordan Matthews | TE | Leg/knee | Out | 12/11/22 |
Kalia Davis | DL | Undisclosed | Out | 12/11/22 |
Maurice Hurst | DL | Bicep | Out | 12/11/22 |
Nick Zakelj | OL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Ross Dwelley | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Tarvarius Moore | DB | Knee | Out | 12/11/22 |
Trey Lance | QB | Ankle | Out | 12/11/22 |
Tyrion Davis-Price | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Arik Armstead | DL | Ankle/foot | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Christian McCaffrey | RB | Knee | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Deebo Samuel | WR | Quad | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Spencer Burford | OL | Ankle | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Nick Bosa | DL | Hamstring | Probable | 12/11/22 |
Betting Trends
TB | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
18.33 | Avg Score | 28 |
18.33 | Avg Opp Score | 9 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
12.67 | Avg Score | 22.67 |
21.33 | Avg Opp Score | 11 |
TB | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
1-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
18.6 | Avg Score | 27.4 |
19 | Avg Opp Score | 11.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
15.4 | Avg Score | 23 |
15.4 | Avg Opp Score | 17.2 |
TB | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
1-8-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
17.8 | Avg Score | 24.5 |
20.6 | Avg Opp Score | 16.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 8-2-0 |
22.4 | Avg Score | 26.1 |
18.4 | Avg Opp Score | 14.9 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It was not easy, and it was not pretty, but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers got a huge victory over the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football in Week 13. The Bucs trailed 16-3 in the fourth quarter of that game, but scored two touchdowns in the final minutes to steal the game away at the very end. This week, the Bucs will aim to build on that win in the Bay Area against the 49ers.
For the Buccaneers, generating consistent offense is going to be a challenge in this contest. Until the final minutes, where Tom Brady put together two very solid touchdown drives, the Bucs weren’t able to get anything going against the Saints. On the road against arguably the best defense in football this week, things are not likely to get easier for the Tampa Bay offense.
San Francisco 49ers
Last week, the San Francisco 49ers got a big win over the Miami Dolphins. But that win came with a price, as quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo was lost for the season with a broken foot. Brock Purdy stepped in admirably in the place of Garoppolo, and it will be Purdy who gets his first start as a pro this week against a tough Tampa Bay defense.
Through Week 13, the 49ers are number one in the NFL in total defense, run defense, and scoring defense. Against a Buccaneers team that really struggles to run the ball, the Niners should have no problem forcing Tom Brady into plenty of third and long situations, where he has struggled throughout this year.