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Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions Prediction & Picks 9/30/2024
Seahawks vs Lions Betting Odds
Spread: | Seattle Seahawks 3.5, Detroit Lions -3.5 |
Over/Under: | 47 |
Moneyline: | Seattle Seahawks 170, Detroit Lions -195 |
Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Seattle Seahawks - 36% | Seattle Seahawks - 29% |
Detroit Lions - 64% | Detroit Lions - 71% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions Betting Preview
The last time these teams battled was Week 2 of 2023 when the visiting Seahawks pulled off an upset on the road, beating the Lions 37-31. Seattle entered that game as a 4.5 point road underdog. They had an implied win probability of only 36% before pulling of the upset. The Game Total for that game was 47.5 and which the Over hit.
Seattle's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #27 in the league while allowing 358 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to shut down the run game, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #6-most yards per carry: 4.72. The Seahawks linebackers have played a big part in their inability to stop the run, ranking #6-worst in the NFL by this measure. This represents a particular disadvantage for Seattle given that the Lions have excelled in the run game this year, accumulating 4.99 yards per carry (#9-best in the league). In terms of their offense, the Seahawks have ranked #13 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 239 yards per game (#12 in football). On the ground they've ranked #17 with 4.07 yards per carry.
Detroit's primary advantage has been their run defense, which has allowed a scant 3.71 yards per attempt on the ground -- #3-best in the NFL. This Lions run defense has been anchored by their linebackers, who grade out as the #4-best unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Lions check in at #2 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 262 yards per game (#4 in football). Their run game has ranked #9 with 4.99 yards per attempt on the ground.
Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions Prediction
Final Score: Seattle Seahawks 22.62 vs Detroit Lions 29.02
NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.
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