Zay Flowers projections, stats and prop bet odds for Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs on Sep 5, 2024
Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -135
- Receptions 4.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Zay Flowers has run a route on 91.4% of his offense's passing plays last year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The projections expect Zay Flowers to earn 7.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
With an exceptional 5.5 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) last year, Zay Flowers ranks as one of the top WRs in the NFL in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Ravens as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) last year.
Last year, the strong Chiefs defense has yielded a meager 61.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-best rate in football.
The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the league last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Zay Flowers Receptions Prop Bet
Zay Flowers is projected to have 4.7 Receptions in todays game.
Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 51.5 over: -135
- Receiving Yards 51.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Zay Flowers has run a route on 91.4% of his offense's passing plays last year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The projections expect Zay Flowers to earn 7.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
With an impressive 62.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (83rd percentile) last year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the top WRs in the game in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Ravens as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) last year.
The Chiefs defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) versus WRs last year.
Last year, the tough Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a measly 7.3 yards.
The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the league last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Zay Flowers is projected to have 56.2 Receiving Yards in todays game.
