Jay Sanin on February 6, 2025
Dallas Goedert projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles on Feb 9, 2025
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this week's contest, Dallas Goedert is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 80th percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets.
Dallas Goedert's 50.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 38.4.
Dallas Goedert's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 73.8% to 83.4%.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.
The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Dallas Goedert's receiving performance has tailed off this season, compiling just 3.3 adjusted catches compared to 4.3 last season.
Dallas Goedert is projected to have 4.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this week's contest, Dallas Goedert is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 80th percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets.
Dallas Goedert has compiled a staggering 36.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Dallas Goedert's 50.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 38.4.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.
The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Dallas Goedert has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (42.0).
Dallas Goedert is projected to have 50.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
