The NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award is one that is associated with young quarterback play. But the recent reality of this award is that quarterbacks have been anything but guaranteed to win it. Only five of the last 11 recipients of this award have been quarterbacks. Instead, talented young wide receivers and running backs have had just as good a chance as first year signal callers to claim it.
One big reason for the parity with this award is that rookie quarterbacks are often put into tough spots. If they are playing right away, it is a product of organizational distress in many cases. The roster issues that prompt a rookie quarterback to play immediately are not often conducive to big numbers, winning games, or winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year award.
Let’s look at the betting odds from our top NFL Sportsbooks for the AP Offensive Rookie of the Year and then handicap the top prices and other contenders.
Bettors can also take a look at our preview of the Defensive Rookie Of The Year award.
2023 NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR ODDS
| Player |  |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Robinson
|
+175 | +325 | +300 | +300 | +320 |
|
Richardson
|
+225 | +450 | +450 | +450 | +650 |
|
Stroud
|
+400 | +400 | |||
|
Nacua
|
+800 | +750 | +650 | +700 | +700 |
|
Achane
|
+1000 | +1000 | |||
|
Achane
|
+1000 | +1000 | |||
|
Stroud
|
+1300 | +450 | +450 | +300 | |
|
Flowers
|
+1300 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1600 |
|
Young
|
+1500 | +4000 | +3000 | +4000 | +3400 |
|
Gibbs
|
+1500 | +1400 | +1400 | +1500 | +1600 |
|
Addison
|
+1500 | +1500 | +1400 | +1500 | +1600 |
|
Dell
|
+1600 | +1600 | |||
|
Dell
|
+2000 | +2000 | |||
|
Smith-Njigba
|
+2200 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
|
Johnston
|
+2500 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 |
|
Kincaid
|
+3000 | +4000 | +5000 | +5000 | +6000 |
|
Rice
|
+3000 | +4000 | +2000 | +4000 | +5000 |
|
Laporta
|
+3000 | +3000 | |||
|
O'Connell
|
+4000 | +4000 | |||
|
Hyatt
|
+5000 | +10000 | +8000 | +10000 | +12000 |
When looking at Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, usage is the biggest key of all. Bettors should ask themselves before locking in a bet on any player whether that player will see action regularly. On top of that, will those players see touches to go with any snaps that they do get? If the answers to those questions are yes, that player is at least worth considering for the award.
Quarterbacks
Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers
Bryce Young has started the season for the Carolina Panthers, which gives him a chance to win this award. But Young will need to be at least decent at quarterback to earn more consideration, something he was not in Week 1 against the Atlanta Falcons. Still, his price is something worth monitoring this season, as the Panthers are likely to stick with him.
Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts
It is hard to see Anthony Richardson winning Offensive Rookie of the Year honors this season. He struggled in the SEC at Florida last season, and will likely struggle with his first encounters with professional defenses this season. But he is also starting for his team in his rookie season, which is a huge hurdle to clear.
CJ Stroud, Houston Texans
The best actual quarterback prospect from this most recent NFL Draft class is CJ Stroud out of Ohio State. But the roster around Stroud is so bleak that he could be penalized in the race for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. Look for Stroud to see plenty of action at quarterback this season for the Texans, which could help him to come away with this honor even if the Texans do not win many games.
Running Backs, Wide Receivers, and Tight Ends
Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons
The favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023 is Bijan Robinson of the Atlanta Falcons. Robinson gives the Falcons a true running back option this season, which will be necessary with Desmond Ridder as the team’s starting quarterback. Robinson scored a touchdown in his first game as a pro, which is a very encouraging sign.
Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
Going into this season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba of the Seahawks was considered the most likely wide receiver to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. But Zay Flowers may have been the best looking rookie in the entire league on offense in Week 1 of this season. He looked dynamic with the ball in his hands and got some touches in the Ravens offense, making him someone to monitor closely.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions
With usage being such an important component to winning this award, Jahmyr Gibbs could be in a perfect position to win it. He will see a ton of running back touches for a Lions team that lost D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams in the offseason. Sharing the backfield with a player in David Montgomery who can be vulnerable to injuries, Gibbs could become the primary back in Detroit en route to the OROY.
2023 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Prediction
It is going to take a lot for Bijan Robinson not to win Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023, but it might be worth a play on Jahmyr Gibbs instead. Gibbs can be found at a much more favorable price, and could see just as much usage for the Lions as the volume Robinson will see in Atlanta. The ability for Gibbs to catch passes out of the backfield, a huge part of the Detroit offense last season, could set him apart in what should be a fun race between two running backs.
