Zack Moss projections, stats and prop bet odds for New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals on Sep 8, 2024
Zack Moss Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 47.5 over: -117
- Rushing Yards 47.5 under: -112
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
In this week's contest, Zack Moss is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.0 rush attempts.
Out of all running backs, Zack Moss grades out in the 81st percentile for carries last year, accounting for 48.6% of the workload in his team's ground game.
Zack Moss has picked up 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest marks in football among RBs (82nd percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to run on 37.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
The New England Patriots defense owns the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing running games last year, giving up just 3.59 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Patriots safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in the league last year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection For Today's Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Zack Moss is projected to have 50.9 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Zack Moss Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -145
- Receptions 1.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Zack Moss has run a route on 44.7% of his team's passing plays last year, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.6%) versus running backs last year (87.6%).
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, New England's group of safeties has been easily exploitable last year, ranking as the 8th-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
Projection For Today's Zack Moss Receptions Prop Bet
Zack Moss is projected to have 2 Receptions in todays game.
Zack Moss Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 9.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 9.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Zack Moss has run a route on 44.7% of his team's passing plays last year, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Zack Moss has totaled a whopping 1.0 air yards per game last year: 81st percentile among RBs. (This may not seem like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.6%) versus running backs last year (87.6%).
Last year, the shaky Patriots defense has allowed the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a whopping 6.06 yards.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
Projection For Today's Zack Moss Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Zack Moss is projected to have 13.3 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Zack Moss Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 12.5 over: -135
- Carries 12.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
In this week's contest, Zack Moss is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.0 rush attempts.
Out of all running backs, Zack Moss grades out in the 81st percentile for carries last year, accounting for 48.6% of the workload in his team's ground game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to run on 37.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
The Patriots safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in the league last year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection For Today's Zack Moss Carries Prop Bet
Zack Moss is projected to have 11.8 Carries in todays game.
