Tyreek Hill projections, stats and prop bet odds for Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins on Sep 8, 2024
Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 94.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 94.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
The model projects Tyreek Hill to garner 11.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Tyreek Hill has been one of the leading WRs in the league last year, averaging a fantastic 113.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Jacksonville's collection of CBs has been very good last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Tyreek Hill is projected to have 97.4 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: -145
- Receptions 6.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
The model projects Tyreek Hill to garner 11.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With an outstanding 7.7 adjusted receptions per game (98th percentile) last year, Tyreek Hill has been among the leading wide receivers in the game in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Jacksonville's collection of CBs has been very good last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop Bet
Tyreek Hill is projected to have 7.2 Receptions in todays game.
