Tua Tagovailoa projections, stats and prop bet odds for Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins on Sep 8, 2024
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 267.5 over: -114
- Passing Yards 267.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
With a remarkable rate of 295.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa ranks as one of the leading passers in the league last year.
Tua Tagovailoa has been one of the most accurate QBs in the league last year with an excellent 68.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 90th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Jacksonville's collection of CBs has been very good last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 292.9 Passing Yards in todays game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 22.5 over: -128
- Completions 22.5 under: -102
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
Tua Tagovailoa has been one of the most accurate QBs in the league last year with an excellent 68.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 90th percentile.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year (71.5% Adjusted Completion%).
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Jacksonville's collection of CBs has been very good last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 24.8 Completions in todays game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 3.5 over: -119
- Rushing Yards 3.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Tua Tagovailoa has grinded out a measly 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the lowest marks in the league when it comes to QBs (16th percentile).
Projection For Today's Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 5.1 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 33.5 over: -114
- Pass Attempts 33.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
Projection For Today's Tua Tagovailoa Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 34.8 Pass Attempts in todays game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -142
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 104
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (59.0% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Miami Dolphins.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
Tua Tagovailoa has been one of the most accurate QBs in the league last year with an excellent 68.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 90th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Jacksonville's collection of CBs has been very good last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Tua Tagovailoa Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 1.9 Touchdown Passes in todays game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 2.5 over: 140
- Carries 2.5 under: -190
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to accrue 2.3 carries in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.
Projection For Today's Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 2.1 Carries in todays game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -128
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -102
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
In totaling a whopping 0.83 interceptions per game last year, Tua Tagovailoa ranks among the worst quarterbacks in football (18th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Jacksonville's collection of CBs has been very good last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in todays game.
