Travis Kelce projections, stats and prop bet odds for Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs on Sep 5, 2024
Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 58.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 58.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year.
This week, Travis Kelce is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 8.4 targets.
As it relates to air yards, Travis Kelce grades out in the lofty 98th percentile among TEs last year, totaling a whopping 56.0 per game.
With an impressive 87.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (100th percentile) last year, Travis Kelce rates as one of the top pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
Last year, the tough Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered a mere 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 8th-fewest in the league.
The Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.45 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal last year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Today's Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Travis Kelce is projected to have 64.8 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -139
- Receptions 5.5 under: 107
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year.
This week, Travis Kelce is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 8.4 targets.
Travis Kelce's 52.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 100th percentile for tight ends.
Travis Kelce profiles as one of the best pass-game TEs last year, averaging an excellent 7.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal last year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Today's Travis Kelce Receptions Prop Bet
Travis Kelce is projected to have 5.6 Receptions in todays game.
