Tony Pollard NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins on Sep 30, 2024
Tony Pollard Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 15.5 over: -105
- Receiving Yards 15.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Titans, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Titans to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
Tony Pollard has run a route on 57.8% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
In this week's contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by the projections to finish in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets.
Tony Pollard has totaled a colossal 1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the predictive model to run only 61.7 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Titans since the start of last season (just 54.3 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Dolphins, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.0 per game) since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Tony Pollard ranks as one of the least efficient receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, averaging a lowly 4.55 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 13th percentile.
Projection For Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Tony Pollard is projected to have 18.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 50.5 over: -130
- Rushing Yards 50.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
In this contest, Tony Pollard is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 75th percentile among running backs with 11.9 carries.
Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 60.9% of the workload in his team's run game.
With an outstanding total of 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (87th percentile), Tony Pollard has been among the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.
With an impressive total of 3.64 yards after contact (82nd percentile), Tony Pollard has been as one of the most efficient RBs in the league this year.
The Miami Dolphins defensive tackles rank as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Titans, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
The model projects the Titans as the 3rd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the predictive model to run only 61.7 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Titans since the start of last season (just 54.3 per game on average).
The Dolphins defense has had the 7th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, allowing just 4.21 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
Projection For Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Tony Pollard is projected to have 52.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
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